London GLA results 2021 by Parliamentary Constituency

[Georg Ebner]

I have saved all numbers in "MicroSoft-Word"; if anyone wants - and Pete Whitehead permits - i can copy them into GoogleDrive and hand out a link.

[Pete Whitehead]

Highest and lowest vote shares, changes in vote share and two-party swing. The first is predictable and uninteresting enough - the changes more interesting

Mayoral vote - Labour

Hackney North & Stoke Newington	57.9%		Richmond Park	+7.8%		Richmond Park	14.3%
Camberwell & Peckham	56.1%		Twickenham	+6.6%		Twickenham	11.3%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	56.0%		Putney	+4.9%		Putney	8.2%
Walthamstow	56.0%		Battersea	+3.3%		Wimbledon	7.4%
Lewisham Deptford	55.8%		Wimbledon	+3.2%		Cities of London & Westminster	7.0%
Tottenham	55.8%		Cities of London & Westminster	+3.0%		Chelsea & Fulham	6.9%
Hornsey & Wood Green	55.4%		Chelsea & Fulham	+2.6%		Battersea	6.8%
Islington North	55.0%		Beckenham	+2.5%		Kingston & Surbiton	5.0%
Dulwich & West Norwood	53.2%		Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	+2.4%		Kensington	4.7%
Bethnal Green & Bow	53.1%		Kingston & Surbiton	+1.8%		Hampstead & Kilburn	4.7%
Croydon South	26.0%		Poplar & Canning Town	-10.5%
Beckenham	25.4%		Brent Central	-10.7%
Uxbridge & South Ruislip	25.0%		Tottenham	-10.8%
Bromley & Chislehurst	24.6%		Croydon North	-10.8%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	24.1%		Ilford South	-11.2%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	20.2%		Bethnal Green & Bow	-11.5%
Romford	19.0%		Barking	-12.9%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	17.8%		West Ham	-14.1%
Hornchurch & Upminster	17.8%		Edmonton	-16.2%
Orpington	17.1%		East Ham	-17.5%

Mayoral vote - Conservative

Orpington	63.1%		Dagenham & Rainham	+14.8%		East Ham	14.0%
Hornchurch & Upminster	62.7%		Barking	+14.1%		Barking	13.5%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	62.6%		Erith & Thamesmead	+11.9%		Edmonton	13.3%
Romford	62.5%		Edmonton	+10.4%		Dagenham & Rainham	11.4%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	60.6%		East Ham	+10.4%		West Ham	11.0%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	56.4%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	+9.8%		Erith & Thamesmead	10.4%
Harrow East	54.4%		Hornchurch & Upminster	+8.7%		Bethnal Green & Bow	9.7%
Uxbridge & South Ruislip	54.2%		Romford	+8.3%		Ilford South	8.7%
Croydon South	52.4%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	+8.0%		Brent Central	8.3%
Bromley & Chislehurst	52.4%		Bethnal Green & Bow	+7.9%		Croydon North	7.8%
Vauxhall	20.0%		Kensington	-8.1%
Dulwich & West Norwood	18.4%		Kingston & Surbiton	-8.1%
Walthamstow	17.3%		Hampstead & Kilburn	-8.3%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	17.3%		Battersea	-10.3%
Tottenham	17.1%		Cities of London & Westminster	-10.9%
Hornsey & Wood Green	16.6%		Chelsea & Fulham	-11.1%
Camberwell & Peckham	16.4%		Putney	-11.5%
Lewisham Deptford	15.2%		Wimbledon	-11.6%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	14.9%		Twickenham	-16.0%
Islington North	14.3%		Richmond Park	-20.7%

Mayoral vote - Green (vote share and change from 2016)

Islington North	14.5%		Islington North	+5.3%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	14.0%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	+3.5%
Lewisham Deptford	13.3%		Richmond Park	+3.5%
Dulwich & West Norwood	13.1%		Tooting	+3.4%
Camberwell & Peckham	12.2%		Twickenham	+3.3%
Streatham	11.8%		Dulwich & West Norwood	+3.1%
Holborn & St Pancras	11.7%		Vauxhall	+2.9%
Lewisham West & Penge	11.4%		Beckenham	+2.9%
Vauxhall	11.3%		Camberwell & Peckham	+2.8%
Walthamstow	11.1%		Streatham	+2.8%
Ilford North	4.6%		Ealing North	+1.1%
Brent North	4.6%		Ilford North	+1.1%
Romford	4.5%		Bethnal Green & Bow	+1.0%
Dagenham & Rainham	4.5%		Hayes & Harlington	+1.0%
Feltham & Heston	4.3%		Brent North	+0.9%
Harrow East	4.3%		Feltham & Heston	+0.9%
East Ham	4.3%		Chingford & Woodford Green	+0.8%
Barking	4.1%		Romford	+0.8%
Ilford South	3.8%		Barking	+0.8%
Hayes & Harlington	3.7%		East Ham	-0.8%

Mayoral vote - Lib Dem (vote share and change from 2016)

Kingston & Surbiton	13.8%		Richmond Park	+5.5%
Twickenham	13.8%		Twickenham	+4.2%
Richmond Park	12.1%		Wimbledon	+3.1%
Wimbledon	9.4%		Kingston & Surbiton	+2.0%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	8.3%		Hampstead & Kilburn	+1.6%
Sutton & Cheam	8.2%		Vauxhall	+1.3%
Carshalton & Wallington	8.2%		Chelsea & Fulham	+1.3%
Hampstead & Kilburn	7.3%		Brentford & Isleworth	+0.9%
Ealing Central & Acton	6.4%		Kensington	+0.9%
Hornsey & Wood Green	6.1%		Putney	+0.9%
Edmonton	2.3%		Lewisham West & Penge	-1.4%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	2.2%		Hornchurch & Upminster	-1.4%
Hornchurch & Upminster	2.2%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	-1.5%
East Ham	2.1%		Chingford & Woodford Green	-1.6%
Romford	2.0%		Romford	-1.6%
Hayes & Harlington	2.0%		Eltham	-1.7%
Erith & Thamesmead	1.9%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	-1.7%
Barking	1.8%		Sutton & Cheam	-2.5%
Ilford South	1.8%		Bermondsey and Old Southwark	-3.9%
Dagenham & Rainham	1.6%		Carshalton & Wallington	-5.3%

[Pete Whitehead]

Various others, best and worst

Niko Omilana - Independent			Reclaim (Lawrence Fox)			London Real (Brian Rose)
East Ham	4.6%		Cities of London & Westminster	3.6%		West Ham	2.4%
Ilford South	4.6%		Hornchurch & Upminster	3.5%		Barking	2.0%
Hayes & Harlington	4.0%		Bromley & Chislehurst	3.4%		East Ham	1.9%
Poplar & Canning Town	3.9%		Chelsea & Fulham	3.4%		Brent Central	1.8%
West Ham	3.8%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	3.3%		Ealing North	1.8%
Wimbledon	0.9%		Brent North	1.0%		Bromley & Chislehurst	0.8%
Beckenham	0.9%		East Ham	0.9%		Beckenham	0.7%
Orpington	0.9%		Ealing Southall	0.9%		Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	0.7%
Twickenham	0.8%		Ilford South	0.9%		Twickenham	0.7%
Richmond Park	0.8%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.9%		Orpington	0.6%

Rejoin EU			Count Binface			Women's Equality
Ealing Central & Acton	1.9%		Lewisham West & Penge	1.6%		Islington North	1.8%
Ealing Southall	1.8%		Lewisham Deptford	1.5%		Lewisham Deptford	1.6%
Ealing North	1.8%		Greenwich & Woolwich	1.4%		Dulwich & West Norwood	1.6%
Barking	1.7%		Leyton & Wanstead	1.4%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	1.5%
Feltham & Heston	1.6%		Vauxhall	1.4%		Camberwell & Peckham	1.4%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	0.6%		Barking	0.6%		Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	0.5%
Hornchurch & Upminster	0.6%		Ilford North	0.6%		Feltham & Heston	0.5%
Carshalton & Wallington	0.6%		Feltham & Heston	0.6%		East Ham	0.4%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	0.6%		Edmonton	0.6%		Orpington	0.4%
Orpington	0.6%		Ilford South	0.4%		Hornchurch & Upminster	0.4%

Let London Live (Corbyn)			Animal Welfare			UKIP
Edmonton	1.4%		Barking	1.0%		Dagenham & Rainham	1.8%
West Ham	1.3%		Ealing Southall	1.0%		Barking	1.5%
Islington North	1.3%		Feltham & Heston	0.9%		Hornchurch & Upminster	1.4%
East Ham	1.2%		Bethnal Green & Bow	0.9%		Romford	1.3%
Brent North	1.2%		Brent North	0.9%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	1.2%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	0.4%		Tooting	0.5%		Battersea	0.3%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	0.4%		Richmond Park	0.4%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.3%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	0.4%		Dulwich & West Norwood	0.4%		Hackney South & Shoreditch	0.2%
Beckenham	0.4%		Croydon South	0.4%		Richmond Park	0.2%
Orpington	0.3%		Twickenham	0.4%		Tooting	0.2%

Farah London (Independent) Best: Islington South & Finsbury 1.3% Worst: Wimbledon 0.2%

David Kurten (Heritage) Best: Old Bexley & Sidcup 0.84% Worst: Hackney North & Stoke Newington 0.25%

Nims Obunga (Independent) Best:  Tottenham 1.1% Worst: Twickenham 0.1%

SDP Best: Edmonton  0.6%  Worst Tooting 0.2%

Renew Best: Brent North 0.5% Worst: Twickenham 0.2%

Max Fosh (Independent) Best Hammersmith 0.5% Worst: Croydon North 0.1%

Burning Pink Best: Lewisham Deptford 0.4% Worst Bromley & Chislehurst 0.1%


 

[Georg Ebner]

Here are all data in the format of "MS-Word":

drive.google.com/file/d/1R3C2xzV1IHJ_vpVnJzM4GDEIvcFHPLC3/view?usp=sharing

drive.google.com/file/d/1H4Ub46REt8eewITpPrayh8UNeBjMfv7U/view?usp=sharing

[Pete Whitehead]

Same routine for the list vote. Vote share - change since 2016 - two-party swing

Labour

East Ham	58.5%		Putney	+3.3%		Battersea	6.2%
Bethnal Green & Bow	56.6%		Battersea	+3.1%		Putney	5.9%
Ilford South	55.7%		Cities of London & Westminster	+2.2%		Richmond Park	5.2%
Tottenham	54.9%		Beckenham	+1.9%		Cities of London & Westminster	4.7%
Ealing Southall	53.7%		Poplar & Canning Town	+1.7%		Chelsea & Fulham	4.4%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	53.5%		Chingford & Woodford Green	+1.7%		Hampstead & Kilburn	3.9%
West Ham	53.3%		Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	+1.7%		Wimbledon	3.9%
Walthamstow	53.1%		Chelsea & Fulham	+1.4%		Kensington	3.3%
Poplar & Canning Town	51.7%		Finchley & Golders Green	+1.1%		Twickenham	3.2%
Camberwell & Peckham	51.3%		Kensington	+1.0%		Finchley & Golders Green	3.0%
Sutton & Cheam	20.7%		Islington South & Finsbury	-6.0%
Romford	20.7%		Hackney South & Shoreditch	-6.2%
Beckenham	20.7%		West Ham	-6.6%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	20.6%		Tottenham	-7.3%
Kingston & Surbiton	20.3%		Croydon North	-7.5%
Hornchurch & Upminster	18.5%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	-7.8%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	17.7%		Ealing Southall	-7.9%
Twickenham	17.2%		Islington North	-8.7%
Richmond Park	16.6%		Edmonton	-8.9%
Orpington	13.8%		East Ham	-9.9%

Conservative

Orpington	59.3%		Dagenham & Rainham	+17.1%		East Ham	9.3%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	58.0%		Hornchurch & Upminster	+14.3%		Dagenham & Rainham	9.0%
Romford	56.3%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	+13.8%		Hornchurch & Upminster	9.0%
Hornchurch & Upminster	55.9%		Romford	+13.5%		Erith & Thamesmead	8.8%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	54.1%		Erith & Thamesmead	+12.9%		Barking	8.4%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	53.7%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	+12.6%		Edmonton	8.4%
Croydon South	50.3%		Barking	+11.9%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	7.8%
Harrow East	50.1%		Carshalton & Wallington	+10.6%		Romford	7.0%
Uxbridge & South Ruislip	49.7%		Orpington	+9.1%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	6.9%
Beckenham	48.7%		East Ham	+8.7%		West Ham	6.2%
Dulwich & West Norwood	14.9%		Finchley & Golders Green	-4.8%
Bethnal Green & Bow	14.6%		Kensington	-5.5%
Hornsey & Wood Green	13.7%		Cities of London & Westminster	-7.2%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	13.3%		Hampstead & Kilburn	-7.2%
Walthamstow	13.0%		Chelsea & Fulham	-7.3%
Tottenham	12.9%		Wimbledon	-8.1%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	12.2%		Putney	-8.5%
Camberwell & Peckham	11.5%		Battersea	-9.2%
Lewisham Deptford	11.5%		Twickenham	-10.0%
Islington North	10.8%		Richmond Park	-12.0%

Green

Islington North	21.9%		Islington North	+8.4%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	20.9%		Beckenham	+6.0%
Dulwich & West Norwood	20.8%		Dulwich & West Norwood	+5.9%
Lewisham Deptford	20.1%		Vauxhall	+5.4%
Camberwell & Peckham	18.7%		Walthamstow	+5.4%
Streatham	18.6%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	+5.3%
Hornsey & Wood Green	18.4%		Hornsey & Wood Green	+5.3%
Lewisham West & Penge	17.6%		Lewisham West & Penge	+5.3%
Vauxhall	17.4%		Tooting	+5.3%
Holborn & St Pancras	16.8%		Camberwell & Peckham	+5.2%
Hendon	6.6%		Dagenham & Rainham	+2.3%
Ilford North	6.5%		Ealing North	+2.2%
Harrow East	6.1%		Hackney South & Shoreditch	+2.1%
Brent North	6.0%		Bethnal Green & Bow	+2.1%
Feltham & Heston	5.9%		Barking	+2.1%
Dagenham & Rainham	5.7%		Brent North	+1.9%
East Ham	5.6%		Feltham & Heston	+1.9%
Barking	5.6%		Hayes & Harlington	+1.8%
Ilford South	5.2%		Ilford South	+1.7%
Hayes & Harlington	4.8%		East Ham	+1.5%

Lib Dem

Twickenham	30.0%		Twickenham	+13.7%
Kingston & Surbiton	27.3%		Richmond Park	+13.6%
Richmond Park	26.0%		Kingston & Surbiton	+7.9%
Carshalton & Wallington	16.2%		Wimbledon	+7.0%
Wimbledon	16.0%		Chelsea & Fulham	+3.5%
Sutton & Cheam	15.5%		Putney	+2.7%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	13.4%		Kensington	+2.6%
Hornsey & Wood Green	11.3%		Brentford & Isleworth	+2.6%
Hampstead & Kilburn	10.5%		Hampstead & Kilburn	+2.5%
Ealing Central & Acton	10.1%		Battersea	+2.4%
Ilford North	3.3%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	-0.9%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	3.3%		Hornchurch & Upminster	-0.9%
Edmonton	3.2%		Erith & Thamesmead	-0.9%
Romford	3.0%		Dagenham & Rainham	-0.9%
East Ham	2.9%		Dulwich & West Norwood	-1.1%
Erith & Thamesmead	2.7%		Romford	-1.1%
Ilford South	2.5%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	-1.3%
Hayes & Harlington	2.5%		Islington South & Finsbury	-2.0%
Barking	2.5%		Bermondsey and Old Southwark	-3.1%
Dagenham & Rainham	2.1%		Carshalton & Wallington	-3.6%

[Pete Whitehead]

Highest and lowest for others

WEP			Rejoin EU			Animal Welfare
Dulwich & West Norwood	5.3%		Ealing Central & Acton	3.0%		Dagenham & Rainham	2.5%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	5.0%		Ealing North	2.9%		Hornchurch & Upminster	2.3%
Islington North	4.8%		Kensington	2.8%		Eltham	2.3%
Lewisham Deptford	4.4%		Barking	2.7%		Barking	2.3%
Hornsey & Wood Green	3.9%		Ealing Southall	2.7%		Romford	2.2%
Ilford South	1.1%		Romford	1.1%		Richmond Park	1.3%
Hornchurch & Upminster	1.1%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	1.1%		Ilford South	1.3%
Orpington	1.1%		Orpington	1.1%		Dulwich & West Norwood	1.3%
Hayes & Harlington	1.1%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	1.0%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	1.2%
Brent North	1.0%		Hornchurch & Upminster	1.0%		Twickenham	1.2%

CPA			UKIP			Reform UK
Croydon North	2.2%		Dagenham & Rainham	3.9%		Hornchurch & Upminster	2.2%
Erith & Thamesmead	2.2%		Hornchurch & Upminster	3.4%		Dagenham & Rainham	2.1%
Barking	2.0%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	3.0%		Romford	1.8%
Dagenham & Rainham	2.0%		Barking	2.7%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	1.8%
West Ham	1.9%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	2.7%		Barking	1.6%
Islington South & Finsbury	0.6%		Tottenham	0.5%		Ilford South	0.6%
Richmond Park	0.5%		Hornsey & Wood Green	0.4%		Walthamstow	0.6%
Bethnal Green & Bow	0.5%		Tooting	0.4%		Tooting	0.6%
Hornsey & Wood Green	0.5%		Streatham	0.4%		Tottenham	0.6%
Twickenham	0.5%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.4%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.4%

London Real			Let London Live			Heritage
West Ham	1.3%		West Ham	1.0%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	0.9%
East Ham	1.1%		Feltham & Heston	1.0%		Hornchurch & Upminster	0.9%
Edmonton	1.1%		Croydon North	0.9%		Dagenham & Rainham	0.8%
Barking	1.0%		Westminster North	0.9%		Eltham	0.8%
Brent Central	1.0%		Barking	0.9%		Romford	0.8%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	0.5%		Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	0.4%		Dulwich & West Norwood	0.3%
Beckenham	0.5%		Twickenham	0.4%		Brent North	0.3%
Richmond Park	0.4%		Wimbledon	0.4%		East Ham	0.3%
Orpington	0.4%		Beckenham	0.3%		Ilford South	0.3%
Twickenham	0.4%		Orpington	0.3%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.3%

TUSC - Best: Walthamstow >1.0% - Worst: Orpington, Richmond Park <0.1%

Communist - Best: Hackney North & Stoke Newington 0.6% - Worst: Hendon 0.2%

SDP - Best: Bermondsey and Old Southwark 0.5% - Worst Ilford South 0.2%

Londependence - Best: Poplar & Canning Town, Bethnal Green & Bow >0.5% - Worst: Wimbledon, Richmond Park, Twickenham <0.1%

National Liberal - Best: Brent North 0.3% - Worst  Croydon South 0.04%

[Pete Whitehead]

Interestingly Hackney North & Stoke Newington has the lowest vote of any constituency for UKIP, for Reform UK and for the Heritage Party (all three broadly successor parties of UKIP).
Hornchurch & Upminster and Dagenham & Rainham are in the top three for vote share for all three parties. So far so predictable. Those constituencies also occupied the two highest scores for the Animal Welfare party (and others where the UKIP legacy parties did well also featured highly) and Hackney North & Stoke Newington was one of the lowest, suggesting that whatever the platform of that party may be, it appeals to perhaps a rather right-wing or anti-woke type of animal lover (with the more left leaning types liable to opt for the Green party)

[Pete Whitehead]

Finally the constituency vote

Labour

East Ham	62.6%		Cities of London & Westminster	+4.3%		Battersea	7.4%
Tottenham	59.9%		Battersea	+3.9%		Richmond Park	6.9%
Ilford South	59.7%		Putney	+3.9%		Putney	6.8%
Bethnal Green & Bow	59.5%		Beckenham	+2.6%		Cities of London & Westminster	5.7%
Ealing Southall	57.8%		Chelsea & Fulham	+2.5%		Hampstead & Kilburn	5.2%
West Ham	57.6%		Bethnal Green & Bow	+2.2%		Chelsea & Fulham	4.7%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	57.3%		Hammersmith	+2.2%		Twickenham	4.3%
Walthamstow	57.2%		Kensington	+2.2%		Wimbledon	4.0%
Camberwell & Peckham	56.0%		Chingford & Woodford Green	+1.9%		Kensington	3.7%
Mitcham & Morden	54.9%		Poplar & Canning Town	+1.8%		Hammersmith	3.2%
Beckenham	22.9%		Lewisham Deptford	-6.2%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	22.1%		East Ham	-6.5%
Hornchurch & Upminster	21.1%		Ealing Southall	-6.8%
Carshalton & Wallington	20.9%		Hendon	-7.3%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	20.8%		Hackney South & Shoreditch	-7.6%
Sutton & Cheam	20.1%		Tottenham	-8.1%
Kingston & Surbiton	19.4%		Islington South & Finsbury	-8.6%
Orpington	15.1%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	-8.9%
Richmond Park	14.2%		Edmonton	-8.9%
Twickenham	14.2%		Islington North	-12.2%

Conservative

Orpington	62.4%		Dagenham & Rainham	+18.3%		Dagenham & Rainham	8.7%
Old Bexley & Sidcup	61.0%		Hornchurch & Upminster	+15.2%		Edmonton	8.3%
Romford	59.9%		Romford	+13.6%		Erith & Thamesmead	8.1%
Hornchurch & Upminster	58.7%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	+12.9%		East Ham	7.4%
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	56.7%		Erith & Thamesmead	+12.8%		Hornchurch & Upminster	7.3%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	56.3%		Barking	+12.7%		Barking	7.1%
Croydon South	53.8%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	+11.9%		Old Bexley & Sidcup	6.6%
Uxbridge & South Ruislip	52.6%		Carshalton & Wallington	+10.0%		Hackney South & Shoreditch	6.6%
Beckenham	51.7%		Eltham	+9.9%		Islington North	6.6%
Chelsea & Fulham	51.4%		Orpington	+8.4%		Eltham	6.5%
Dulwich & West Norwood	16.0%		Kensington	-5.2%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	15.0%		Kingston & Surbiton	-5.8%
Walthamstow	14.9%		Chelsea & Fulham	-6.8%
Bethnal Green & Bow	14.7%		Cities of London & Westminster	-7.1%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	13.8%		Hampstead & Kilburn	-8.5%
Tottenham	13.3%		Putney	-9.7%
Hornsey & Wood Green	12.9%		Wimbledon	-9.9%
Lewisham Deptford	12.3%		Battersea	-10.8%
Camberwell & Peckham	12.2%		Twickenham	-14.4%
Islington North	12.0%		Richmond Park	-17.0%

Green

Islington North	26.6%		Islington North	+12.8%
Lewisham Deptford	25.9%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	+7.5%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	24.1%		Islington South & Finsbury	+7.3%
Dulwich & West Norwood	23.4%		Dulwich & West Norwood	+7.0%
Camberwell & Peckham	20.9%		Lewisham East	+6.9%
Streatham	20.3%		Walthamstow	+6.9%
Lewisham West & Penge	20.1%		Camberwell & Peckham	+6.4%
Islington South & Finsbury	18.7%		Beckenham	+6.2%
Hackney South & Shoreditch	18.7%		Lewisham West & Penge	+6.2%
Vauxhall	18.7%		Leyton & Wanstead	+5.8%
Dagenham & Rainham	8.1%		Kensington	+1.8%
East Ham	8.0%		Feltham & Heston	+1.8%
Romford	7.9%		Sutton & Cheam	+1.7%
Hendon	7.5%		Ealing North	+1.5%
Harrow East	7.4%		Carshalton & Wallington	+1.5%
Brent North	7.3%		Bethnal Green & Bow	+1.4%
Feltham & Heston	7.2%		Ilford South	+1.2%
Ilford North	7.1%		Hayes & Harlington	+1.1%
Ilford South	6.2%		Richmond Park	+0.7%
Hayes & Harlington	5.6%		Twickenham	+0.6%

Lib Dem

Twickenham	44.3%		Twickenham	+24.0%
Richmond Park	37.5%		Richmond Park	+22.0%
Kingston & Surbiton	36.1%		Kingston & Surbiton	+13.7%
Carshalton & Wallington	24.9%		Wimbledon	+10.9%
Sutton & Cheam	24.4%		Sutton & Cheam	+6.2%
Hornsey & Wood Green	19.8%		Hornchurch & Upminster	+5.1%
Wimbledon	19.5%		Hornsey & Wood Green	+5.0%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	17.6%		Brent North	+4.9%
Hampstead & Kilburn	13.0%		Putney	+4.6%
Ealing Central & Acton	12.3%		Brentford & Isleworth	+4.3%
Hornchurch & Upminster	5.1%		Walthamstow	+0.1%
East Ham	4.8%		Ilford North	+0.1%
Barking	4.7%		Bexleyheath & Crayford	+0.1%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	4.6%		Hackney North & Stoke Newington	0.0%
Ilford North	4.6%		Bethnal Green & Bow	-0.1%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	4.4%		Dulwich & West Norwood	-0.6%
Romford	4.4%		Lewisham West & Penge	-0.9%
Dagenham & Rainham	4.0%		Romford	-1.1%
Ilford South	4.0%		Barking	-1.3%
Erith & Thamesmead	4.0%		Chingford & Woodford Green	-1.4%

Reform UK Highest and Lowest (change with UKIP 2016 vote not meaningful)

Dagenham & Rainham	6.1%
Barking	5.7%
Hornchurch & Upminster	4.7%
West Ham	4.3%
Ealing North	4.2%
Uxbridge & South Ruislip	4.0%
Hayes & Harlington	3.9%
Romford	3.8%
Bexleyheath & Crayford	3.7%
East Ham	3.7%
Hornsey & Wood Green	1.5%
Ilford South	1.4%
Hammersmith	1.4%
Chelsea & Fulham	1.4%
Richmond Park	1.3%
Westminster North	1.3%
Tooting	1.3%
Twickenham	1.3%
Kensington	1.2%
Hackney North & Stoke Newington	1.2%

[heslingtonian]

May 27, 2021 16:14:29 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Hackney South & Shoreditch

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	19547	56.0%	-10.3%	Lab	19347	53.5%	-6.2%	Lab	20848	57.3%	-7.6%
Con	6022	17.3%	+4.9%	Con	4821	13.3%	+3.8%	Con	5469	15.0%	+5.5%
Grn	3796	10.9%	+1.1%	Grn	5924	16.4%	+2.1%	Grn	6797	18.7%	+3.7%
LD	944	2.7%	-0.2%	LD	1523	4.2%	+0.1%	LD	2049	5.6%	+0.8%
Rec etc*	778	2.2%	+0.4%	Ref etc*	636	1.8%	+1.0%	Ref	716	2.0%	-1.4%
Ind	745	2.1%		Oth	2209	6.1%		Oth	512	1.4%
Oth	3409	9.8%

Hackney North & Stoke Newington

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	20742	57.9%	-9.2%	Lab	18735	50.9%	-7.8%	Lab	20291	54.9%	-8.9%
Con	5348	14.9%	+3.1%	Con	4477	12.2%	+2.3%	Con	5106	13.8%	+3.8%
Grn	5018	14.0%	+3.5%	Grn	7682	20.9%	+5.3%	Grn	8920	24.1%	+7.5%
LD	802	2.2%	-0.7%	LD	1222	3.3%	-0.4%	LD	1712	4.6%	0.0%
Rec etc*	600	1.7%	+0.7%	Ref etc*	403	1.1%	-0.7%	Ref	437	1.2%	-1.0%
Ind	627	1.8%		Oth	1870	5.1%		Oth	525	1.4%
Oth	2977	8.3%

Islington North

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	19777	55.0%	-9.4%	Lab	17486	47.7%	-8.7%	Lab	18380	50.1%	-12.2%
Con	5140	14.3%	+0.6%	Con	3974	10.8%	-0.3%	Con	4420	12.0%	+0.9%
Grn	5197	14.5%	+5.3%	Grn	8005	21.9%	+8.4%	Grn	9778	26.6%	+12.8%
LD	1344	3.7%	-0.6%	LD	2304	6.3%	+0.4%	LD	3018	8.2%	+0.3%
Rec etc*	878	2.4%	+0.8%	Ref etc*	648	1.8%	-0.8%	Ref	630	1.7%	-1.4%
Ind	550	1.5%		Oth	1784	4.9%		Oth	472	1.3%
Oth	3439	9.6%

Islington South & Finsbury

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	14793	47.7%	-8.1%	Lab	13664	43.2%	-6.0%	Lab	14496	45.7%	-8.6%
Con	6705	21.6%	+0.8%	Con	5732	18.1%	+1.1%	Con	6400	20.2%	+2.9%
Grn	3198	10.3%	+2.1%	Grn	4954	15.7%	+4.5%	Grn	5931	18.7%	+7.3%
LD	1727	5.6%	+0.6%	LD	2753	8.7%	-2.0%	LD	3598	11.3%	+2.9%
Rec etc*	1100	3.5%	+0.2%	Ref etc*	998	3.2%	-2.2%	Ref	922	2.9%	-3.7%
Ind	519	1.7%		Oth	1877	5.9%		Oth	399	1.3%
Oth	3336	10.8%

The collapse of the Lib Dem vote in Islington is quite remarkable given they controlled the Council relatively recently.

[heslingtonian]

Somewhat amusing that the Animal Welfare Party had their strongest result in Barking.

[timrollpickering]

May 30, 2021 15:52:33 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Those constituencies also occupied the two highest scores for the Animal Welfare party (and others where the UKIP legacy parties did well also featured highly) and Hackney North & Stoke Newington was one of the lowest, suggesting that whatever the platform of that party may be, it appeals to perhaps a rather right-wing or anti-woke type of animal lover (with the more left leaning types liable to opt for the Green party)

If you look at the maps on the Parliament petitions website in general animal welfare petitions do not align to the pattern of metropolitan middle class and university towns having the largest number of signatures that you see on many (most obviously anything opposing Brexit but the pattern goes well beyond that).

[Pete Whitehead]

May 31, 2021 0:57:00 GMT @boogieeck said:

May 30, 2021 18:36:33 GMT heslingtonian said:

Somewhat amusing that the Animal Welfare Party had their strongest result in Barking.

And not Battersea

Pete Whitehead general exalts, the possible recipient of my quixotic nomination for end-of-year honours.

BTW, that Taking the Initiative @blm racist dog-whistling thingy, does it actually exist outwith the BBC?

I think this party stood in some of the local by-elections in Croydon and Enfield but wasn't on any of the GLA ballots.

[timrollpickering]

I think you've got the Green % instead of the increase in Ilford South.

[Pete Whitehead]

May 31, 2021 11:37:29 GMT timrollpickering said:

I think you've got the Green % instead of the increase in Ilford South.

Fixed it now

[greenhert]

May 31, 2021 0:47:43 GMT timrollpickering said:

May 30, 2021 15:52:33 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Those constituencies also occupied the two highest scores for the Animal Welfare party (and others where the UKIP legacy parties did well also featured highly) and Hackney North & Stoke Newington was one of the lowest, suggesting that whatever the platform of that party may be, it appeals to perhaps a rather right-wing or anti-woke type of animal lover (with the more left leaning types liable to opt for the Green party)

If you look at the maps on the Parliament petitions website in general animal welfare petitions do not align to the pattern of metropolitan middle class and university towns having the largest number of signatures that you see on many (most obviously anything opposing Brexit but the pattern goes well beyond that).

Take this petition as an example: petitionmap.unboxedconsulting.com/?petition=573147

The highest concentrations of signatures were in the ex-County Durham part of Tyne & Wear and the Durham coast!

Animal welfare petitions also tend to gather higher proportions of signatures in rural constituencies.

[greenhert]

May 30, 2021 18:27:53 GMT heslingtonian said:

May 27, 2021 16:14:29 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

Hackney South & Shoreditch

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	19547	56.0%	-10.3%	Lab	19347	53.5%	-6.2%	Lab	20848	57.3%	-7.6%
Con	6022	17.3%	+4.9%	Con	4821	13.3%	+3.8%	Con	5469	15.0%	+5.5%
Grn	3796	10.9%	+1.1%	Grn	5924	16.4%	+2.1%	Grn	6797	18.7%	+3.7%
LD	944	2.7%	-0.2%	LD	1523	4.2%	+0.1%	LD	2049	5.6%	+0.8%
Rec etc*	778	2.2%	+0.4%	Ref etc*	636	1.8%	+1.0%	Ref	716	2.0%	-1.4%
Ind	745	2.1%		Oth	2209	6.1%		Oth	512	1.4%
Oth	3409	9.8%

Hackney North & Stoke Newington

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	20742	57.9%	-9.2%	Lab	18735	50.9%	-7.8%	Lab	20291	54.9%	-8.9%
Con	5348	14.9%	+3.1%	Con	4477	12.2%	+2.3%	Con	5106	13.8%	+3.8%
Grn	5018	14.0%	+3.5%	Grn	7682	20.9%	+5.3%	Grn	8920	24.1%	+7.5%
LD	802	2.2%	-0.7%	LD	1222	3.3%	-0.4%	LD	1712	4.6%	0.0%
Rec etc*	600	1.7%	+0.7%	Ref etc*	403	1.1%	-0.7%	Ref	437	1.2%	-1.0%
Ind	627	1.8%		Oth	1870	5.1%		Oth	525	1.4%
Oth	2977	8.3%

Islington North

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	19777	55.0%	-9.4%	Lab	17486	47.7%	-8.7%	Lab	18380	50.1%	-12.2%
Con	5140	14.3%	+0.6%	Con	3974	10.8%	-0.3%	Con	4420	12.0%	+0.9%
Grn	5197	14.5%	+5.3%	Grn	8005	21.9%	+8.4%	Grn	9778	26.6%	+12.8%
LD	1344	3.7%	-0.6%	LD	2304	6.3%	+0.4%	LD	3018	8.2%	+0.3%
Rec etc*	878	2.4%	+0.8%	Ref etc*	648	1.8%	-0.8%	Ref	630	1.7%	-1.4%
Ind	550	1.5%		Oth	1784	4.9%		Oth	472	1.3%
Oth	3439	9.6%

Islington South & Finsbury

Mayor	1st Prefs	%	Change	List		%	Change	Constituency		%	Change
Lab	14793	47.7%	-8.1%	Lab	13664	43.2%	-6.0%	Lab	14496	45.7%	-8.6%
Con	6705	21.6%	+0.8%	Con	5732	18.1%	+1.1%	Con	6400	20.2%	+2.9%
Grn	3198	10.3%	+2.1%	Grn	4954	15.7%	+4.5%	Grn	5931	18.7%	+7.3%
LD	1727	5.6%	+0.6%	LD	2753	8.7%	-2.0%	LD	3598	11.3%	+2.9%
Rec etc*	1100	3.5%	+0.2%	Ref etc*	998	3.2%	-2.2%	Ref	922	2.9%	-3.7%
Ind	519	1.7%		Oth	1877	5.9%		Oth	399	1.3%
Oth	3336	10.8%

The collapse of the Lib Dem vote in Islington is quite remarkable given they controlled the Council relatively recently.

It is a clear sign that Lib Dem voters are being replaced by Green voters in these areas. Also see Streatham and Hornsey & Wood Green.

[timrollpickering]

May 31, 2021 11:56:11 GMT greenhert said:

May 31, 2021 0:47:43 GMT timrollpickering said:

If you look at the maps on the Parliament petitions website in general animal welfare petitions do not align to the pattern of metropolitan middle class and university towns having the largest number of signatures that you see on many (most obviously anything opposing Brexit but the pattern goes well beyond that).

Take this petition as an example: petitionmap.unboxedconsulting.com/?petition=573147

The highest concentrations of signatures were in the ex-County Durham part of Tyne & Wear and the Durham coast!

Animal welfare petitions also tend to gather higher proportions of signatures in rural constituencies.

Note also that in Brighton & Hove the lowest number of signatures is in Brighton Pavilion. In Bristol the lowest number is in Bristol West. Bath is similarly low compared to surrounding seats.

[iang]

May 31, 2021 12:02:09 GMT greenhert said:

May 30, 2021 18:27:53 GMT heslingtonian said:

The collapse of the Lib Dem vote in Islington is quite remarkable given they controlled the Council relatively recently.

It is a clear sign that Lib Dem voters are being replaced by Green voters in these areas. Also see Streatham and Hornsey & Wood Green.

Not H&WG I think - on the constituency vote the LDs finished 2nd, ahead of the Greens (without checking everything, I think this was the only seat where Labour lead on the constituency vote and the Lib Dems are second). The dynamics of council elections next year will also be rather different

[finsobruce]

Jun 2, 2021 15:46:43 GMT iang said:

May 31, 2021 12:02:09 GMT greenhert said:

It is a clear sign that Lib Dem voters are being replaced by Green voters in these areas. Also see Streatham and Hornsey & Wood Green.

Not H&WG I think - on the constituency vote the LDs finished 2nd, ahead of the Greens (without checking everything, I think this was the only seat where Labour lead on the constituency vote and the Lib Dems are second). The dynamics of council elections next year will also be rather different

The Greens have always underperformed in H&WG, comparative to the demographics and the 'political atmosphere'. They might have expected the GLA elections to give them a big push and push there was, but as you say not enough to displace the Lib Dems in second in the constituency vote, unlike other places. I would still expect them to be more competitive next year, but they could well just flatter to deceive again. I'm presuming that there won't be a pact to help them. Their political strategy and targetting has always been rubbish here.

[OWL]

Mayoral by Westminster constituency (using Pete Whitehead's figures)
Shades: 35-40, 40-45, 45-50, 50-55, 55-60, 60-55