johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850 
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Post by johng on Nov 3, 2020 22:29:38 GMT
Does anyone have a link of somewhere to watch Fox News online? Always nice to get the other side. Foxnews.com is working for me. Thanks.
I put it on. What's the first thing I see? Two medicine adverts. Jeez.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 3, 2020 22:30:08 GMT
Final YouGov MRP pointing to a Biden landslide.  |
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Post by Andrew_S on Nov 3, 2020 22:31:01 GMT
Evening everyone. Did anyone predict a Trump victory? Mine is 279 to 259 in favour of Biden.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 3, 2020 22:33:36 GMT
CBS News live stream
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on Nov 3, 2020 22:35:04 GMT
Evening everyone. Did anyone predict a Trump victory? Mine is 279 to 259 in favour of Biden. My prediction yesterday was 351-187 for Biden. I'm still happy with that. |
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Post by swanarcadian on Nov 3, 2020 22:35:20 GMT
I usually prefer to go to bed as normal and get up an hour or two before I normally would on these occasions, especially if I'm going to work (and I'm one of those who "absolutely cannot work from home"). It seems more practical than hanging around with nothing much going on for the first few hours.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 3, 2020 22:36:37 GMT
I usually prefer to go to bed as normal and get up an hour or two before I normally would on these occasions, especially if I'm going to work (and I'm one of those who "absolutely cannot work from home"). It seems more practical than hanging around with nothing much going on for the first few hours. That's the exciting part. Hardly any votes from smallish counties that seesaws. American elections are mental, in a good way. |
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 3, 2020 22:38:00 GMT
Evening everyone. Did anyone predict a Trump victory? Mine is 279 to 259 in favour of Biden. Not me. I'm predicting Biden 359, including Texas and Georgia but Trump to get Iowa, Ohio and Florida. |
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,689
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Post by Jack on Nov 3, 2020 22:38:14 GMT
Generic survey questions are not an "exit poll"!
Bloody Americans.
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,689
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Post by Jack on Nov 3, 2020 22:41:11 GMT
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 3, 2020 22:42:54 GMT
PPP has an exit poll for Protect Our Care (they're pro-ACA so have a certain lean - PPP itself is pretty good but the sponsor may have chosen not to release the results if they were less rosy):
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,054
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Post by jamie on Nov 3, 2020 22:43:25 GMT
Beware spin on Twitter and elsewhere. In this case, Arizona Republicans are claiming to be on course to hit their registration advantage target, yet said target was what yielded a 6% Biden lead in the last NYT/Siena poll. There's nothing that can really be gleaned from the registration of those who voted, as it really all comes down to how the indepenents have voted (polls say strongly Biden nationally, whether that in practice is the question).
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Nov 3, 2020 22:43:37 GMT
🤣
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,721
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Post by CatholicLeft on Nov 3, 2020 22:45:43 GMT
Biden 305 Trump 233
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Post by MacShimidh on Nov 3, 2020 22:47:51 GMT
I'll go with Biden 351 - Trump 187
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,054
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Post by jamie on Nov 3, 2020 22:50:48 GMT
They had a 6.7% advantage in 2018 which yielded a 50/50 state as independents went heavily Democratic, so if i was a Republican i wouldn't be immediately thrilled with what looks like a ~3% advantage... |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 3, 2020 22:51:42 GMT
There's a sticky brown mess on the table on CNN ...
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 3, 2020 22:53:09 GMT
I'm going to have to link another excellent CNAlysis page: a live map of state legislative results.
Edit: they seem to be treating every state as safe R/D in their forecast as already called for the dominant party, FYI. |
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Nov 3, 2020 22:57:20 GMT
I have effective bets (not necessarily predictions) on Biden winning in TX, OH, NC, FL and GA. So add those into other likely Dem states in that scenario and you get...something or other.
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Nov 3, 2020 22:57:54 GMT
Very worrying poll really, as it implies that, allowing for don't knows, maybe 40% opt for the windows or just straight through the wall. Though it does remind me of the traditional Glaswegian pleasantry: "Pick a window, pal, 'cos you're going through it." |
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