There appears to be 7 by-elections for 7 seats during November: - 1 on 5th November - 1 on 12th - 3 on 19th - 2 on 26th
All 7 of the by-elections are for Scottish authorities, all elected in 2017
SNP defend 6 seats, 1 following the death of the previous Councillor and 5 a resignation, 1 of which was sitting as an Independent Conservatives defend 1 seat following a resignation
With all seats having declared nominations: Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, SNP and Scottish Greens have a full slate of 7 candidates, UKIP have 3, Libertarian Party have 2 along with 5 Independents and 1 No Description contesting 3 seats - a total of 46 candidates for 7 seats.
Predictions on this thread by 9am on the morning of the election. Reminder that for Scottish elections predictions are of first preferences and that if you want to choose a different winner after transfers then this must be specified. If no specification is made then the first preference winner will be taken as the default. Welcome back everyone!
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Nov 4, 2020 20:28:30 GMT
Aberdeen - Kincorth Nigg and CoveAberdeen - Kincorth Nigg and Cove SNP win on transfers. SNP 40%, Con 22%, Ind (Finlayson) 13%, Lab 6%, LD 5.5%, Scottish Libertarian 5%, Green 4.5%, McLEAN, (Independent) 2%, BELLIZZI HOUSTON (No Description)1.2%, IROH, Sochima (Independent) 0.8%
On time , certainly- whether correct remains to be seen! We seem to have come to broadly similar conclusions -maybe more than a bit of herding there? Terribly difficult to sort out these strange Scottish elections with a plethora of Indies complicating the issue.
With no English elections to predict for the forseeable future we might have been better trying to predict the elections going on across the pond- something easier like picking winners in Georgia, say