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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 5, 2022 14:35:04 GMT
Notional result 2019 on the proposed new boundaries | Con | 23566 | 42.1% | | LD | 23208 | 41.5% | | Lab | 8742 | 15.6% | | Grn | 102 | 0.2% | | Oth | 370 | 0.7% |
| | | | Majority | 358 | 0.6% |
Ooh. I've had to edit my post as there was an error (I included Milton). I was surprised that this seat is closer on the new boundaries (hence why I was checking) because you would think bringing in other areas would on balance weaken the Lib Dems. But I guess the Conservative strenth is greatest in the North of this constituency, in the areas being moved out to Mid Cambridgeshire (Papworth, Swavesey, Willingham etc) and the areas coming in from SE Cambridgeshire are hardly weak for the Lib Dems. Cherry Hinton won't help the Conservatives much either. I don't think the Lib Dems would have been far ahead of the Conservatvies there in 2019 (if at all), but once tactical voting kicks in.. |
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Post by rockefeller on Dec 5, 2022 16:02:30 GMT
I've had to edit my post as there was an error (I included Milton). I was surprised that this seat is closer on the new boundaries (hence why I was checking) because you would think bringing in other areas would on balance weaken the Lib Dems. But I guess the Conservative strenth is greatest in the North of this constituency, in the areas being moved out to Mid Cambridgeshire (Papworth, Swavesey, Willingham etc) and the areas coming in from SE Cambridgeshire are hardly weak for the Lib Dems. Cherry Hinton won't help the Conservatives much either. I don't think the Lib Dems would have been far ahead of the Conservatvies there in 2019 (if at all), but once tactical voting kicks in.. Browne toast |
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Post by batman on Dec 5, 2022 16:54:15 GMT
perhaps but he could of course be re-elected by a Browne nose
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