Post by robert1 on Dec 22, 2022 16:12:13 GMT
A second independence referendum would be 'too close to call' after Supreme Court ruling - Savanta for The Scotsman
• Indy Ref II voting intention: Yes 44% (-1); No 46% (=); Undecided 9% (+1)
• Westminster voting intention: SNP 43% (-3); LAB 30% (=); CON 19% (+4); LD 6% (-1); Other 2% (=)
• Holyrood constituency voting intention: SNP 44% (-3); LAB 28% (+3); CON 18% (+1); LD 8% (=); Other 3% (+1)
• Holyrood list voting intention: SNP 32% (=); LAB 24% (-2); CON 18% (-1); Green 13% (=); LD 10% (+2); Other 2% (-1)
A second independence referendum would be "too close to call" if held tomorrow, sccording to the latest polling from Savanta for The Scotsman.
'No' remains on 51% compared with Savanta's last poll at the start of October, maintaining the narrowest of leads over 'Yes' (49%), once undecided voters have been removed from the figures.
This new poll comes almost a month after the Supreme Court ruling that Holyrood would not have the power to legislate for an independence referendum itself. Other pollsters found that support for independence outweighed opposition in the immediate aftermath of the decision.
The SNP sees a drop in support of three points in both the Westminster (43%) and Holyrood constituency (44%) VI, although still enjoys a sizable lead over Labour in both (30% Westminster; 28% Holyrood).
The Conservatives enjoy a four-point boost to 19% in the Westminster VI in the first Savanta Scottish poll conducted since Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister. His personal net favourability rating (-24) remains virtually unchanged since October.
Nicola Sturgeon, however, has her lowest net favourability rating (+6) for some time, down six points since the last Savanta poll, while the Scottish government's net favourability (+4) is down by eight points.
Sturgeon also sees a nine point drop in the proportion of Scottish adults that perceive her to be genuine, from 55% in October to 46% here.
However, she still leads all Scottish leaders in the 'genuine' metric, with her closest challenger, Anas Sarwar, on 39%.
• Indy Ref II voting intention: Yes 44% (-1); No 46% (=); Undecided 9% (+1)
• Westminster voting intention: SNP 43% (-3); LAB 30% (=); CON 19% (+4); LD 6% (-1); Other 2% (=)
• Holyrood constituency voting intention: SNP 44% (-3); LAB 28% (+3); CON 18% (+1); LD 8% (=); Other 3% (+1)
• Holyrood list voting intention: SNP 32% (=); LAB 24% (-2); CON 18% (-1); Green 13% (=); LD 10% (+2); Other 2% (-1)
A second independence referendum would be "too close to call" if held tomorrow, sccording to the latest polling from Savanta for The Scotsman.
'No' remains on 51% compared with Savanta's last poll at the start of October, maintaining the narrowest of leads over 'Yes' (49%), once undecided voters have been removed from the figures.
This new poll comes almost a month after the Supreme Court ruling that Holyrood would not have the power to legislate for an independence referendum itself. Other pollsters found that support for independence outweighed opposition in the immediate aftermath of the decision.
The SNP sees a drop in support of three points in both the Westminster (43%) and Holyrood constituency (44%) VI, although still enjoys a sizable lead over Labour in both (30% Westminster; 28% Holyrood).
The Conservatives enjoy a four-point boost to 19% in the Westminster VI in the first Savanta Scottish poll conducted since Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister. His personal net favourability rating (-24) remains virtually unchanged since October.
Nicola Sturgeon, however, has her lowest net favourability rating (+6) for some time, down six points since the last Savanta poll, while the Scottish government's net favourability (+4) is down by eight points.
Sturgeon also sees a nine point drop in the proportion of Scottish adults that perceive her to be genuine, from 55% in October to 46% here.
However, she still leads all Scottish leaders in the 'genuine' metric, with her closest challenger, Anas Sarwar, on 39%.