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Post by andrew111 on Sept 20, 2021 13:14:39 GMT
Probably explains gas prices
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 28, 2021 20:38:46 GMT
Panelbase have a poll out for the LOCAL elections, so pitch of salt as they don't include the 10% that vote independents.
SNP 45% Conservatives 22% Labour 21% Liberal Democrats 6% Greens 4% Alba 2%
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 28, 2021 22:20:38 GMT
Yeah,
1. Most local elections polling is garbage. 2. Local election polling over 6 months out doubly so. 3. As you say there's at least 10% missing for indies, localists and other odds and sods 4. I'd be amazed if Alba had anywhere near enough candidates to get 2% nationally 5. All that said, the changes vs. 2017 are SNP up massively, Tories down a few, Lab, LD and Greens hardly changing at all. 6. It's panelbase and the SNP usually significantly underperform at locals compared to other elections so that 45% feels way too high.
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Post by stb12 on Oct 30, 2021 9:38:19 GMT
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jamie
Top Poster
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Post by jamie on Oct 30, 2021 9:51:21 GMT
Yeah, 1. Most local elections polling is garbage. 2. Local election polling over 6 months out doubly so. 3. As you say there's at least 10% missing for indies, localists and other odds and sods 4. I'd be amazed if Alba had anywhere near enough candidates to get 2% nationally 5. All that said, the changes vs. 2017 are SNP up massively, Tories down a few, Lab, LD and Greens hardly changing at all. 6. It's panelbase and the SNP usually significantly underperform at locals compared to other elections so that 45% feels way too high. Worth noting that the February/March 2017 local election polling had the SNP on 46%-47%. They got 32%. So yeah, probably not happening this time either.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 25, 2021 8:58:47 GMT
Independence poll by yougov
No=53% Yes=47%
Which after the shambles of the last few weeks U.K. wide isn't bad going. Also to note no change since April 2021
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 25, 2021 11:33:41 GMT
Johnson apparently claimed this week that support for the SNP was dropping in "the polls". When asked for actual evidence of this, a Number 10 spokesperson referred to a recent YouGov subsample. FFS
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 25, 2021 13:30:58 GMT
Leaders ratings
Nicola Sturgeon +12 (down 15 points) Douglas Ross -38 (down 4 points), Anas Sarwar is -1 (down 21 points) Boris Johnson is -62 (down 17) Keir Starmer -35 (down 13). Lorna Slater and Patrick Harvie -38 Alex Cole-Hamilton -16.
Basically everyone's down.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Dec 1, 2021 13:46:06 GMT
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Post by afleitch on Dec 1, 2021 15:00:53 GMT
Nice.
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johng
Labour
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Post by johng on Dec 1, 2021 15:18:11 GMT
It certainly seems like a bit of an outlier compared to other recent polls.
Here's more from the poll in this thread.
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Post by afleitch on Dec 1, 2021 16:47:18 GMT
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Post by afleitch on Dec 1, 2021 16:49:58 GMT
It's helpful that there is still a very strong age component in the split. It's frustrating in the short term definitely, but 7 years on seeing voters enter the electorate being overwhelmingly Yes is good news.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Dec 1, 2021 17:32:02 GMT
As there won't be a S30 referendum this side of 2026 the question is currently moot. In the meantime I would imagine the Tories will use the Internal Market legislation amongst others to systematically undermine devolution.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Dec 1, 2021 18:42:28 GMT
An outlier poll of 897 people isn't something that is going to get me too concerned.
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johng
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Post by johng on Dec 1, 2021 19:29:19 GMT
As there won't be a S30 referendum this side of 2026 the question is currently moot. In the meantime I would imagine the Tories will use the Internal Market legislation amongst others to systematically undermine devolution. Undoubtedly strengthening the SNP's hand.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Dec 1, 2021 21:15:44 GMT
As there won't be a S30 referendum this side of 2026 the question is currently moot. In the meantime I would imagine the Tories will use the Internal Market legislation amongst others to systematically undermine devolution. This is a deluded statement the government won't do no such thing, if anything they'll try and devolve power further down to councils.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
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Post by Khunanup on Dec 2, 2021 0:57:24 GMT
As there won't be a S30 referendum this side of 2026 the question is currently moot. In the meantime I would imagine the Tories will use the Internal Market legislation amongst others to systematically undermine devolution. This is a deluded statement the government won't do no such thing, if anything they'll try and devolve power further down to councils. Yeah right...
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 2, 2021 7:06:15 GMT
Local government in Scotland is a devolved matter, so I'm not sure how a Westminster government could do one without having first done the other...
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Tony Otim
Green
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 2, 2021 9:51:14 GMT
Which exactly proves my point...
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