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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 23, 2021 22:09:12 GMT
But we have a new pollster entering the ring
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,491
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Post by johng on Feb 23, 2021 22:16:41 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP.
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 23, 2021 22:36:28 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP. As noted above the poll is not reliable, being based on just 154 voters.
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 23, 2021 22:37:58 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP. As noted above the poll is not reliable, being based on just 154 voters. Looks as if they did the survey in Inverness!
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,491
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Post by johng on Feb 23, 2021 22:40:22 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP. As noted above the poll is not reliable, being based on just 154 voters. I thought that was apparent by my comment. Perhaps not.
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Eastwood
Non-Aligned
Politically restricted post
Posts: 2,086
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Post by Eastwood on Feb 23, 2021 23:23:08 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP. I wonder if we might see an impact for the SNP on the list but not the constituency. Can see a few people holding their nose to vote back in an SNP constituency member but departing for Green / AFI / Other on the list.
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Post by MacShimidh on Feb 23, 2021 23:31:09 GMT
I imagine multiple members here (and on Twitter) quite literally ejaculated at the sight of those figures.
In reality, I can't see this current scandal hitting the SNP by more than a couple of point. Those most interested are the type who have never and will never vote SNP. I wonder if we might see an impact for the SNP on the list but not the constituency. Can see a few people holding their nose to vote back in an SNP constituency member but departing for Green / AFI / Other on the list. I have noticed social media has been ablaze recently with "Both Votes SNP," a bit earlier than might be expected. Whether that's showing up in their polling or it's just a bit of residual PTSD from 2016 I'm not sure though.
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Post by greyfriar on Feb 23, 2021 23:46:43 GMT
I wonder if we might see an impact for the SNP on the list but not the constituency. Can see a few people holding their nose to vote back in an SNP constituency member but departing for Green / AFI / Other on the list. I have noticed social media has been ablaze recently with "Both Votes SNP," a bit earlier than might be expected. Whether that's showing up in their polling or it's just a bit of residual PTSD from 2016 I'm not sure though. The cost of the list seats for the SNP - 500k votes each - is becoming better understood and I expect a reasonable shift in list votes towards alternatives, whether Green or one of the pro-Indy umbrellas if they can gain traction, which could deliver far more than four list seats. The worst of both worlds for the SNP would see that happening alongside a few tight FPTP losses to Labour in the central belt and Conservatives up north.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 25, 2021 10:54:03 GMT
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max11
Conservative
Posts: 41
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Post by max11 on Feb 25, 2021 11:02:19 GMT
If you look at the comments she says it is supposed to be released around 11.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 25, 2021 11:03:27 GMT
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 25, 2021 11:03:54 GMT
Yes still in the lead but the momentum is with the unionists atm, need to keep the pressure up.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Feb 25, 2021 11:07:18 GMT
The interesting thing to note is the dates. It was before everything went south over the last two days. The next one will be the truly interesting one.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 25, 2021 11:09:15 GMT
The interesting thing to note is the dates. It was before everything went south over the last two days. The next one will be the truly interesting one. Interesting to note that the salmond inquiry has made 36% of people view the SNP less favourably and that’s before shit hit the fan this week.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 25, 2021 11:11:32 GMT
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 28, 2021 9:18:01 GMT
Haven’t got Westminster or Holyrood figures yet but
Survation poll
Independence No=44% Yes=43%
Including don’t knows No=50% Yes=50%
Also the poll was conducted before salmonds evidence.
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Tom
Unionist
Posts: 1,998
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Post by Tom on Feb 28, 2021 13:06:07 GMT
I think we will see a string of No polls in the current weeks. The vaccine success must also be helping.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,491
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Post by johng on Mar 1, 2021 12:06:36 GMT
No evidence of a big SNP drop yet. This was mainly done before Salmond spoke, but when it was leading on the news.
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Tom
Unionist
Posts: 1,998
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Post by Tom on Mar 1, 2021 12:17:59 GMT
No evidence of a big SNP drop yet. This was mainly done before Salmond spoke, but when it was leading on the news. A very poor regional list result for the SNP though, 4% below their 2016 performance. I'd be shocked if the Greens actually got 11%.
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Tom
Unionist
Posts: 1,998
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Post by Tom on Mar 1, 2021 12:57:35 GMT
On this poll, the SNP are polling quite a bit worse than they did at this stage before the 2016 election. E.g. a Survation poll on 29 February 2016 had them on 43% for the list and 54% for the constituency vote. (The Greens were 9% on the list)
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