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Post by hullenedge on Jul 7, 2020 11:41:19 GMT
Enoch Powell and his intervention in the February 1974 campaign could have pushed this seat towards Labour (possibly Coventry SW too) besides the unwind of the 1970 swing, the effect of the three-day week in the West Mids and the Tory candidate previously representing miles away Chislehurst.By which you mean Dame Patricia Hornsby-Smith. She had to move there after losing the selection contest in Sidcup to then Prime Minister Edward Heath. Sidcup was separated from Chislehurst as a result of the redistribution, to coincide with new London Borough boundaries, and combined with Mr Heath's previous seat of Bexley. Didn't she choose to step aside for Heath? It's very probable that a local Tory candidate would have held this seat in February 1974. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 7, 2020 11:42:41 GMT
"The Brownhills Kipper" is a fantastic turn of phrase. Sounds like the world's least-interesting serial killer. It well with a Bexhill Batter Pudding. Not! NOT !! The 'Dreaded' Batter Pudding Hurler of Bexhill-on-Sea? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 7, 2020 12:10:36 GMT
By which you mean Dame Patricia Hornsby-Smith. She had to move there after losing the selection contest in Sidcup to then Prime Minister Edward Heath. Sidcup was separated from Chislehurst as a result of the redistribution, to coincide with new London Borough boundaries, and combined with Mr Heath's previous seat of Bexley. Didn't she choose to step aside for Heath? It's very probable that a local Tory candidate would have held this seat in February 1974. It's an odd thing because Bexley and Bromley together gained a seat in 1974 and the redrawn Chislehurst was not less safe than the predecessor (if anything it was more safe, the majority was larger in both 1974 elections than it was in 1970 on the old boundaries). So there was an opening for a new Conservative MP in the area and no need for one of the existing ones to be displaced |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 7, 2020 12:40:18 GMT
Didn't she choose to step aside for Heath? It's very probable that a local Tory candidate would have held this seat in February 1974. It's an odd thing because Bexley and Bromley together gained a seat in 1974 and the redrawn Chislehurst was not less safe than the predecessor (if anything it was more safe, the majority was larger in both 1974 elections than it was in 1970 on the old boundaries). So there was an opening for a new Conservative MP in the area and no need for one of the existing ones to be displaced Copied via Wikipedia:- www.barneshistorian.com/vm-hornsbysmith.phpMay be mistaken but recall that Heath may have been thinking, at some stage, of moving to another London seat (London & Westminster?). She was 'obliged' to seek nomination elsewhere. |
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Post by andrewp on Jul 7, 2020 13:01:20 GMT
Didn't she choose to step aside for Heath? It's very probable that a local Tory candidate would have held this seat in February 1974. It's an odd thing because Bexley and Bromley together gained a seat in 1974 and the redrawn Chislehurst was not less safe than the predecessor (if anything it was more safe, the majority was larger in both 1974 elections than it was in 1970 on the old boundaries). So there was an opening for a new Conservative MP in the area and no need for one of the existing ones to be displaced Times have perhaps changed, Had Boundary changes happened to force any sitting PM Since Heath into the prospect of a selection contest with a fellow MP, I can’t help feeling the other MP would have been slotted into the Lords or put on every shortlist for every safe vacant seat. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 7, 2020 14:35:43 GMT
Clement Attlee was displaced by boundary changes in 1950 - his seat merging with three others. He chose to go to a new seat not far away. I wonder if there was a debate at the time about whether he had a right to displace Stoker Edwards.
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 7, 2020 15:16:29 GMT
Clement Attlee was displaced by boundary changes in 1950 - his seat merging with three others. He chose to go to a new seat not far away. I wonder if there was a debate at the time about whether he had a right to displace Stoker Edwards. ' There's a piece in 'Great Figures in the Labour Movement' (p.130)...it was decided that Attlee should not be involved in a hard and bitter campaign against Phil Piratin. |
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Post by Robert Waller on May 12, 2021 12:44:24 GMT
2011 Census
Age 65+ 21.6% 68/650
Owner-occupied 75.6% 58/650
Private rented 8.2% 633/650
Social rented 14.5% 371/650
White 93.1% 368/650
Black 1.0% 273/650
Asian 4.0% 272/650
Managerial & professional 28.7%
Routine & Semi-routine 28.6%
Degree level 20.5% 492/650
No qualifications 29.5% 110/650
Students 6.2% 452/650
2021 Census
Owner occupied 73.8% 75/573
Private rented 11.0% 567/573
Social rented 15.2% 286/573
White 88.7%
Black 1.9%
Asian 6.1%
Managerial & professional 30.7% 326/573
Routine & Semi-routine 26.9% 184/573
Degree level 26.3% 449/573
No qualifications 22.3% 115/573
General Election 2019: Aldridge-Brownhills
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Wendy Morton 27,850 70.8 +5.4
Labour David Morgan 8,014 20.4 -9.4
Liberal Democrats Ian Garrett 2,371 6.0 +2.7
Green Bill McComish 771 2.0
Monster Raving Loony Mark Beech 336 0.9 -0.5
C Majority 19,836 50.4 +14.8
Registered electors 60,138
Turnout 39,342 65.4 -2.1
Conservative hold
Swing 7.4 Lab to C
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 4, 2022 22:38:41 GMT
The West Midlands region is losing two seats in total and both abolished seats are effectively within the broadly defined Black Country area. Essentially the Sandwell/Dudley pairing goes from 7 seats to 6 and Walsall and Wolverhampton are paired with 5 seats replacing the current 6. The Boundary Commission seem happy with their initial proposals as they affected the three Wolverhampton seats as their revised plans make no changes. In Walsall they have gone for a complete about face (or rather technically a 90 degree turn). Initially and on the face of it this seat was to be abolished, divided between Walsall North and South seats whence it came nearly half a century ago. The greater part of this seat (four of the six wards) were to be merged with the greater part of Walsall North in a seat which more or less revived the pre-1974 boundaries of Walsall North but was in fact to be called Bloxwich & Brownhills. In fact a small majority of the voters in that seat would have come from Aldridge Brownhills making that the technical succesor to this seat and Walsall North the seat to be abolished. In the revise proposals, the BC have taken a completely different tack, preserving Aldridge Brownhills whole and simply adding the Pheasey ward from Walsall South together with about a third of the Paddock ward. Both of these are Conservative wards albeit not as overwhelmingly as those already within the seat. The Conservatives would have had a large notional majority in Bloxwich & Brownhills but with a fickle electorate may not have been as safe as it looked. The preserved Aldridge Brownhills will continue to be a more genuinely safe seat. | Con | 32798 | 68.3% | | Lab | 10754 | 22.4% | | LD | 2792 | 5.8% | | Grn | 941 | 2.0% | | BxP | 333 | 0.7% | | Oth | 381 | 0.8% |
| | | | Majority | 22044 | 45.9% |
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