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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 23, 2020 17:43:42 GMT
Indeed Labour would only have to have lost 3 seats to lost their overall majority in 1994 and they were defending in 28 wards having won only 15 of these the last time they were contested, so suggesting the possibility that this might happen might not have seemed so silly at the time as it obviously does with hindsight. I don't know how the Lib Dem councillors would have played things in that scenario - whether the 'Progressive Alliance' which emerged later would have been a possibility then
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Apr 23, 2020 17:52:20 GMT
One other thought - Edgbaston is another illustration (see discussion on the Leeds NW seat) of how voting patterns have changed. Back in the poll tax locals (1990), the three Edgbaston wards (Edgbaston, Harborne, Quinton - BG wasn't then in the seat) were the ONLY Tory wards in Birmingham outside of the the then three Sutton wards. Those were the last elections in Birmingham before I moved here to do my PGCE at the University. It is remarkable that Edgbaston stays Labour (and seemingly increasingly safely) when so many other seats in the Midlands and elsewhere have been lost by them - illustrates how voting patterns have changed The Tories do quite well to still hold Edgbaston ward, although they certainly wouldn’t win it in a local election on a general Election Day. Outside of London there aren’t many wards close to City centres that they can win. They managed it in 2015. |
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Post by andrewp on Apr 23, 2020 18:07:28 GMT
The Tories do quite well to still hold Edgbaston ward, although they certainly wouldn’t win it in a local election on a general Election Day. Outside of London there aren’t many wards close to City centres that they can win. They managed it in 2015. And 2010, having looked it up. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 8, 2022 17:40:47 GMT
2021 Census
Owner occupied 50.7% 492/573
Private rented 24.3% 126/573
Social rented 25.0% 68/573
White 58.3%
Black 10.7%
Asian 19.7%
(South Asian 14.4%)
Mixed 6.1%
Other 5.2%
Managerial & professional 32.5% 278/573
Routine & Semi-routine 19.6% 431/573
2011 on same criteria
Owner occupied 52.6% 503/573
Private rented 22.2% 104/573
Social rented 25.2% 82/573
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 8, 2022 20:02:28 GMT
Notional result 2019 on the proposed new boundaries | Lab | 23478 | 51.3% | | Con | 16330 | 35.7% | | LD | 3540 | 7.7% | | Grn | 1232 | 2.7% | | BxP | 1154 | 2.5% |
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| | | | | | Majority | 7148 | 15.6% |
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