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Post by greenhert on Nov 2, 2020 19:38:02 GMT
If Trump loses Pennsylvania the only realistic way I can see for him to win the election overall is to hold Wisconsin and gain Nevada. If he does indeed lose Pennsylvania he has little chance of holding Wisconsin or gaining Nevada, and he will likely lose Michigan as well. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are key swing states in this election partly because they are demographically similar.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 2, 2020 20:43:50 GMT
This one could be keeping us in susPenns on election night Your Pennsylvania inspired puns are the Pitts burgh
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Post by conservativeestimate on Nov 2, 2020 21:09:15 GMT
This one could be keeping us in susPenns on election night Your Pennsylvania inspired puns are the Pitts burghMy puns are a little rust(belt)y
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David
Scottish Conservative
Posts: 7,880
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Post by David on Nov 2, 2020 22:01:37 GMT
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,725
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Post by mondialito on Nov 2, 2020 22:56:20 GMT
There goes Ohio and Florida 
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Post by heslingtonian on Nov 2, 2020 23:37:41 GMT
Pretty much every Pennsylvania poll has Biden around 50% and Trump around 44/45%. Arguably the state with the least elastic electorate in the whole USA.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 7,081
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Post by iain on Nov 3, 2020 1:33:20 GMT
Pretty much every Pennsylvania poll has Biden around 50% and Trump around 44/45%. Arguably the state with the least elastic electorate in the whole USA. That honour would almost certainly go to a state in the Deep South.
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Post by heslingtonian on Nov 3, 2020 6:44:14 GMT
Pretty much every Pennsylvania poll has Biden around 50% and Trump around 44/45%. Arguably the state with the least elastic electorate in the whole USA. That honour would almost certainly go to a state in the Deep South. Mississippi is definitely another contender
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Post by conservativeestimate on Nov 3, 2020 15:21:43 GMT
Biden up 1.2% in the RCP average. In 2016 Trump outperformed the RCP average by 3 points.
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AJS
Top Poster
Posts: 22,677
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Post by AJS on Nov 3, 2020 16:15:41 GMT
Biden up 1.2% in the RCP average. In 2016 Trump outperformed the RCP average by 3 points. 538 says they've been cherry-picking polls to make the situation look better for Trump than it is.
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Post by timmullen1 on Nov 3, 2020 16:19:31 GMT
Biden up 1.2% in the RCP average. In 2016 Trump outperformed the RCP average by 3 points. 538 says they've been cherry-picking polls to make the situation look better for Trump than it is.
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peterl
Green
Read My Lips: No New Lockdowns!
Posts: 4,285
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Post by peterl on Nov 3, 2020 17:25:41 GMT
If you go to the Guardian's US Politics feed here and find the post at 3:59pm there is some quite interesting info on the counting arrangements. There will also be a live feed from the main count venue in Philadelphia avaliable here.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Nov 3, 2020 20:20:13 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,630
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Post by johng on Nov 3, 2020 20:27:15 GMT
Voting numbers coming out from across the swing states seem simply incredible.
For this county, if white suburbanites vote as the polls suggest they do, it seems like a tough one for Trump.
Especially when you see stuff like this:
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 3, 2020 20:39:57 GMT
You'd think that Trump of all people would understand that rallies are meaningless and that getting the vote out wins elections.
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finsobruce
Labour
Five people have watched this in the last hour.
Posts: 31,145
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Post by finsobruce on Nov 3, 2020 20:41:38 GMT
You'd think that Trump of all people would understand that rallies are meaningless and that getting the vote out wins elections. Well, alright - you may have a point.
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Post by relique on Nov 3, 2020 21:17:41 GMT
You'd think that Trump of all people would understand that rallies are meaningless and that getting the vote out wins elections. Here if need it rather to keep the votes in rather than out !
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Nov 25, 2020 22:46:19 GMT
Final certified results:
Biden 3,458,229 (50.0%) Trump 3,377,674 (48.8%)
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