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Post by heslingtonian on Oct 28, 2020 6:56:46 GMT
Very close but I expect the popular Democratic Governor and an unpopular Republican Senate incumbent will help lift Biden over the line - Biden 50%, Trump 48%.
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Post by mrhell on Oct 29, 2020 17:03:30 GMT
Biden ahead.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,630
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Post by johng on Oct 29, 2020 20:03:09 GMT
From the NYT/ Siena poll:
60% of LV had already voted. They were Biden 55-39. Their party reg was D40 and R31 showing that that doesn't tell us the whole story.
Nate also said he thinks the sample is a little too conservative and not quite black enough.
The last polls to put Trump ahead were Trafalgar +3 on 24/10, Rasmussen +1 on 21/10 and the University of Massachusetts Lowell +1 on 27/9. That's not good for him. This still definitely tilts Biden.
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Post by curiousliberal on Oct 30, 2020 15:19:49 GMT
Not satisfied with ensuring the contest for NC11 would be between one of the most racist Congressional campaigns and a guy who ran Gitmo, the Democratic and Republican nominees have descended into the next circle of Very Online trash-talking:
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nelson
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,451
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Post by nelson on Oct 30, 2020 17:10:17 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,630
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Post by johng on Oct 30, 2020 17:23:44 GMT
Very strong poll for Biden from Marist (538 A+).
Senate Cunningham - 53% Tillis - 43%
Governor
Cooper - 59%
Forest - 40%
Quality polling (This one, NYT/Siena, Yougov etc.) in NC is really looking strong for the Dems. There's a lot to cut through though as the state seems to also be having a lot of lower quality polling done.
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CatholicLeft
Co-operative Party
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 2,836
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Post by CatholicLeft on Oct 31, 2020 22:29:29 GMT
Just changed my vote from Donald Trump to Joe Biden, which has tipped it 35-34.
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,725
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Post by mondialito on Nov 1, 2020 1:32:46 GMT
Two threads. There will be probably be more instances of this sort of thing across the country.
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CatholicLeft
Co-operative Party
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 2,836
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Post by CatholicLeft on Nov 3, 2020 20:34:18 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Nov 5, 2020 21:53:16 GMT
So far, North Carolina is the only state where the Democrats made gains in the House of Representatives this year.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 7,081
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Post by iain on Nov 5, 2020 22:06:43 GMT
So far, North Carolina is the only state where the Democrats made gains in the House of Representatives this year. They have in Georgia too, and probably will in California (though only through recouping a special election loss). The gains here are purely down to redistricting.
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Post by heslingtonian on Nov 10, 2020 20:05:05 GMT
Both the Presidential and Senate elections here have now been called for the Republicans
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johng
Labour
Posts: 1,630
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Post by johng on Nov 11, 2020 1:15:47 GMT
Both the Presidential and Senate elections here have now been called for the Republicans Really?
The NYT, ABC, CNN and Fox still haven't called the presidential race. Though it's fairly clear that the GOP are almost certainly going to win both races.
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Nov 25, 2020 0:05:10 GMT
Final certified results:
Trump 2,758,775 (49.9%) Biden 2,684,292 (48.6%)
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