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Post by robert1 on Feb 17, 2021 8:00:03 GMT
I think the changes are the other way round. Con -2%, Lab +1%
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 19, 2021 10:37:34 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 23, 2021 21:37:47 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 2, 2021 15:16:55 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 9, 2021 16:11:49 GMT
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Post by justin124 on Mar 17, 2021 0:01:02 GMT
CON: 43% (-2) LAB: 36% (-) LDEM: 7% (-) GRN: 5% (+1) REFUK: 3% (-)
via @redfieldwilton , 15 Mar Chgs. w/ 08 Mar
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Post by hullenedge on Mar 23, 2021 10:02:38 GMT
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,514
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Post by European Lefty on Mar 26, 2021 16:43:45 GMT
The sub-samples are hilarious, a tie on the North East and a 13 point Tory lead in Wales
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Post by jollyroger93 on Mar 26, 2021 16:46:26 GMT
The sub-samples are hilarious, a tie on the North East and a 13 point Tory lead in Wales Sub samples mean fuck all.
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Post by curiousliberal on Mar 29, 2021 0:32:22 GMT
The sub-samples are hilarious, a tie on the North East and a 13 point Tory lead in Wales Sub samples mean fuck all. Wrong. They mean you can print dozens of sensationalist articles featuring wild speculation as to whether this week's viral moment caused a 15-point swing in the southeast.
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Post by Andrew_S on Mar 29, 2021 16:53:16 GMT
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Post by jollyroger93 on Apr 5, 2021 16:52:18 GMT
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Post by justin124 on Apr 5, 2021 17:58:07 GMT
Starmer has been pretty well invisible since Xmas , and many are now seeing him as too much of a 'nodding dog' rather than providing clear opposition.Bad timing for him given the imminence of the May elections.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Apr 5, 2021 18:39:29 GMT
Labour need to be more brutal, like we can be. Look what happened to MT, TM eventually, and the coup against Jackson Carlaw. Labour need to tell Starmer, make an impression imminently or get out of the way.
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Post by justin124 on Apr 5, 2021 19:17:07 GMT
Labour need to be more brutal, like we can be. Look what happened to MT, TM eventually, and the coup against Jackson Carlaw. Labour need to tell Starmer, make an impression imminently or get out of the way. To be fair , he did make a positive impression last year - but has now been invisible for several months. It may well be that his decline in ratings owes a great deal to the lack of recent public exposure - which obviously would change in the context of an election campaign.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Apr 7, 2021 18:13:37 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Apr 12, 2021 20:21:11 GMT
Also sub sample (treat with caution):-
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,053
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Apr 12, 2021 20:28:06 GMT
for better or worse very few politicians would offer a referendum on this subject now
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Post by bjornhattan on Apr 12, 2021 20:44:27 GMT
Also sub sample (treat with caution):- Just for fun, I thought I'd take a look at which seats would flip if the North East voted 49-38. I think the list is: Newcastle upon Tyne North Blaydon North Durham City of Durham Washington and Sunderland West Tynemouth Houghton and Sunderland South Sunderland Central Wansbeck Stockton North Labour would be reduced to the single digits in terms of seats, would be wiped out in Sunderland, and would have just one seat in County Durham. And it's worth noting that even Jarrow, of all places, would become very marginal - if its large Brexit Party and independent vote led to a larger swing than average for the region, even one of Britain's most iconic socialist seats could fall. Of course, this is all just a bit of fun, and I know reading into sub samples is a dangerous game. But it's still absolutely crazy that I can even contemplate any of this (and being from the region, it's music to my ears).
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,514
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Post by European Lefty on Apr 12, 2021 20:51:57 GMT
Also sub sample (treat with caution):- Just for fun, I thought I'd take a look at which seats would flip if the North East voted 49-38. I think the list is: Newcastle upon Tyne North Blaydon North Durham City of Durham Washington and Sunderland West Tynemouth Houghton and Sunderland South Sunderland Central Wansbeck Stockton North Labour would be reduced to the single digits in terms of seats, would be wiped out in Sunderland, and would have just one seat in County Durham. And it's worth noting that even Jarrow, of all places, would become very marginal - if its large Brexit Party and independent vote led to a larger swing than average for the region, even one of Britain's most iconic socialist seats could fall. Of course, this is all just a bit of fun, and I know reading into sub samples is a dangerous game. But it's still absolutely crazy that I can even contemplate any of this (and being from the region, it's music to my ears). But Labour are not 11 points behind in the north east. The idea is ridiculous
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