Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,752
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Dec 14, 2020 20:42:11 GMT
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ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,023
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Post by ilerda on Dec 14, 2020 20:58:08 GMT
These are estimates using the 2019 electorates, which are the ones that have been used on boundary assistant and other places for months now. We wonβt know the actual allocations until the relevant data stipulated in the Act is published next month.
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,752
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Dec 15, 2020 10:25:45 GMT
Do we have an indication about when the Act (as it now is) will be formally published?
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Post by greenhert on Dec 15, 2020 13:51:08 GMT
Do we have an indication about when the Act (as it now is) will be formally published? Look on Parliament's website.
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Post by Wisconsin on Dec 15, 2020 15:16:55 GMT
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Post by islington on Dec 15, 2020 18:14:48 GMT
Sorry, I've just seen The following Admin notice, posted on 30 Jul this year. Does this mean we are not going to be able to attach maps any more?
"I have just learned that this forum is nearing the storage limit for file attachments to posts, in fact we're at 90% of the storage limit (200MB total). As such I have decided to restrict posting attachments to staff only, effectively disabling the feature (but hopefully keeping the attachments that've already been published). It is possible to increase this storage capacity, but I'd need to pay money to ProBoards in order to do that.
"I do apologise to those users who frequently made use of this facility, as I know it is particularly useful for posting custom maps in the various boundary threads, but I'm afraid that for now you're going to have to find different image hosting arrangements. Sorry for the inconvenience."
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Post by π΄ββ οΈ Neath West π΄ββ οΈ on Dec 15, 2020 18:55:32 GMT
Sorry, I've just seen The following Admin notice, posted on 30 Jul this year. Does this mean we are not going to be able to attach maps any more? "I have just learned that this forum is nearing the storage limit for file attachments to posts, in fact we're at 90% of the storage limit (200MB total). As such I have decided to restrict posting attachments to staff only, effectively disabling the feature (but hopefully keeping the attachments that've already been published). It is possible to increase this storage capacity, but I'd need to pay money to ProBoards in order to do that. "I do apologise to those users who frequently made use of this facility, as I know it is particularly useful for posting custom maps in the various boundary threads, but I'm afraid that for now you're going to have to find different image hosting arrangements. Sorry for the inconvenience." Just use Flickr or IMGBB or something.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Dec 15, 2020 18:57:18 GMT
Sorry, I've just seen The following Admin notice, posted on 30 Jul this year. Does this mean we are not going to be able to attach maps any more? Far be it for me to speak for BossMan but it looks pretty clear that attachments can no longer be posted. Therefore if you want to post maps you need to host them somewhere and then link to them.
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Post by andrewteale on Dec 15, 2020 19:00:12 GMT
Sorry, I've just seen The following Admin notice, posted on 30 Jul this year. Does this mean we are not going to be able to attach maps any more? "I have just learned that this forum is nearing the storage limit for file attachments to posts, in fact we're at 90% of the storage limit (200MB total). As such I have decided to restrict posting attachments to staff only, effectively disabling the feature (but hopefully keeping the attachments that've already been published). It is possible to increase this storage capacity, but I'd need to pay money to ProBoards in order to do that. "I do apologise to those users who frequently made use of this facility, as I know it is particularly useful for posting custom maps in the various boundary threads, but I'm afraid that for now you're going to have to find different image hosting arrangements. Sorry for the inconvenience." Pretty much. If you want to put a new map on here you'll have to find somewhere off the forum to host it. I host them on my own webspace (because I'm paying for that anyway), but I understand there are free options out there.
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Post by Wisconsin on Dec 16, 2020 9:39:36 GMT
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Post by Wisconsin on Dec 16, 2020 18:59:06 GMT
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Post by robert1 on Jan 1, 2021 20:50:04 GMT
According to its website ONS will publish electorate data at 09.30 on-5th Tuesday.
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Post by greenhert on Jan 1, 2021 21:02:53 GMT
According to its website ONS will publish electorate data at 09.30 on-5th Tuesday. Do not expect any major changes from the December 2019 electorate though.
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Post by mattb on Jan 1, 2021 21:19:16 GMT
According to its website ONS will publish electorate data at 09.30 on-5th Tuesday. Do not expect any major changes from the December 2019 electorate though. But there will be corrections e.g. in the Dec '19 figures, Chelmsford submitted numbers including in error non-Parliamentary electors.
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Post by greenhert on Jan 1, 2021 22:09:13 GMT
Do not expect any major changes from the December 2019 electorate though. But there will be corrections e.g. in the Dec '19 figures, Chelmsford submitted numbers including in error non-Parliamentary electors. How many non-Parliamentary electors? Chelmsford's over-estimate will significantly impact how the Essex map will need to be redrawn. Perhaps Chelmsford's electorate is within the permissible range after all (the December 2019 figures put it over 4,000 above the upper limit).
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Post by mattb on Jan 1, 2021 22:32:01 GMT
But there will be corrections e.g. in the Dec '19 figures, Chelmsford submitted numbers including in error non-Parliamentary electors. How many non-Parliamentary electors? Chelmsford's over-estimate will significantly impact how the Essex map will need to be redrawn. Perhaps Chelmsford's electorate is within the permissible range after all (the December 2019 figures put it over 4,000 above the upper limit). Yes I gather the expectation locally is Chelmsford likely to be able to remain unchanged. But we will see soon enough.
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Post by carolus on Jan 2, 2021 9:22:32 GMT
According to its website ONS will publish electorate data at 09.30 on-5th Tuesday. Do not expect any major changes from the December 2019 electorate though. I'd expect some fairly large changes in some areas compared to the 1 Dec figures. Sheffield Central springs to mind as having added 10k electorate between 1 Dec and the GE - I imagine there are others, and I can't see any particular reason for those voters to disappear again by March.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 2, 2021 10:06:07 GMT
But there will be corrections e.g. in the Dec '19 figures, Chelmsford submitted numbers including in error non-Parliamentary electors. How many non-Parliamentary electors? Chelmsford's over-estimate will significantly impact how the Essex map will need to be redrawn. Perhaps Chelmsford's electorate is within the permissible range after all (the December 2019 figures put it over 4,000 above the upper limit). It will depend of course on how much and in what direction the numbers move in the other parts of Essex, but this is likely to make the job there much easier. Essex still qualifies for 18 seats on the December 2019 figures but with an average size if 74,507 against a maximum of 76,243. It is possible to draw 18 seats within quota on these numbers but it is an awful mess, while 4,000 fewer voters overall (even when spread over 18 seats) makes the job that much easier and the end product much neater (actually the current Chelmsford seat is over 5,000 over quota so it might be even better and presumably the error applies to the whole district so we could be looking at about 8 or 9 thousand fewer voters overall there)
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Post by robert1 on Jan 2, 2021 10:49:36 GMT
Don't under-estimate the capacity for change.
In the rush to produce GE rolls some authorities appear not to have cleared duplicate registrations. I expect several thousand to come off both constituency registers in Hackney. If you look at the turnout figures for both they fell by 5-7% while the Islington seats, Walthamstow and Leyton fell by roughly 1-2%. These same seats apparently had participation levels some 6-8% higher than in Hackney.
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Post by π΄ββ οΈ Neath West π΄ββ οΈ on Jan 2, 2021 12:52:15 GMT
Don't under-estimate the capacity for change. In the rush to produce GE rolls some authorities appear not to have cleared duplicate registrations. I expect several thousand to come off both constituency registers in Hackney. If you look at the turnout figures for both they fell by 5-7% while the Islington seats, Walthamstow and Leyton fell by roughly 1-2%. These same seats apparently had participation levels some 6-8% higher than in Hackney. Other local authorities I suspect may have done a Hackney: - Brent
- Cheshire West and Chester
- Derby
- Hounslow
- Kingston upon Hull
- Luton
- Redbridge
- Slough
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