Current composition is Lab 39, Con 13, Ind ( elected as Con ) 1, vacancy caused by death of a Labour councillor 1
Seats up this year : Lab 13, Conservative 4, Ind 1. Presumably the vacancy in Upper Stoke will also be filled by a double election in May meaning Labour are defending 14 seats
This is one of the places where there were big swings to the Conservatives in December, with Labour clinging on in 2 of their 3 parliamentary seats. According to Pete Whiteheads excellent methodology Labour carried 11 wards and the Conservatives 7 in December.
Those 11 out of the 18 wards look safe for Labour, so that probably leaves the 7 of interest:
Wainbody and Woodlands look safe Conservative Bablake : Independent defence but looks likely to be a Conservative regain Cheylemore: Labour defence. The most marginal ward in the City at the moment. The Conservatives held in 2018, Labour held in 2019 Earlsdon: historically Conservative ward but with a lot of students now. Labour have gained in 2018 and 2019, defeating a very long serving Tory councillor in 2019. The last Conservative seat is up this year Westwood: the opposite- Conservative defence- a. historical Labour ward, now a marginal Conservative ward Sherbourne: Labour defence, and looked semi safe until 2019 when the Conservatives came within 57 votes of winning,
So Earlsdon looks the only feasible Labour gain, whilst Cheylesmore and Sherbourne could feasibly be Conservative gains.
Earlsdon: historically Conservative ward but with a lot of students now. Labour have gained in 2018 and 2019, defeating a very long serving Tory councillor in 2019. The last Conservative seat is up this year
There's not actually that much student housing in Earlsdon ward. The studenty parts of the Earlsdon area are in Whoberley ward.