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Post by Admin Twaddleford on Jan 1, 2020 12:35:06 GMT
Havering and Redbridge
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Post by timrollpickering on Jan 3, 2020 18:41:37 GMT
Keith Prince (Conservative) is restanding:
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Post by heslingtonian on Jan 3, 2020 20:42:20 GMT
If the General Election results are anything to go by this should be a more comfortable Conservative hold than 2016.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 3, 2020 22:04:27 GMT
Results here in the 2019 General election based on notional ward results
Con 117833 47.5%
Lab 102385 41.3%
LD 13683 5.5%
Grn 5605 2.3%
BxP 3663 1.5%
Oth 4899 2.0%
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Post by David Boothroyd on Jan 3, 2020 22:33:46 GMT
If the General Election results are anything to go by this should be a more comfortable Conservative hold than 2016. You may be missing the fact that Redbridge is larger than Havering, and has rapidly turned from a Conservative borough into a pretty good Labour one. |
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Post by thisguy on Jan 4, 2020 4:33:54 GMT
If the General Election results are anything to go by this should be a more comfortable Conservative hold than 2016. You may be missing the fact that Redbridge is larger than Havering, and has rapidly turned from a Conservative borough into a pretty good Labour one. The state of play in May will obviously have an impact, but the Tories did win this area at the GE as noted above. The Tory vote held up in Redbridge at the GE (40% in Ilford North) and was up in the Havering seats. The Tories also won this in 2016, even though the UKIP candidate scored 15.7% I can't see the Brexit Party matching that, these voters in Havering will probably break for the Tories. |
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Post by overthehill on Jan 4, 2020 12:44:22 GMT
Results here in the 2019 General election based on notional ward results Con 117833 47.5% Lab 102385 41.3% LD 13683 5.5% Grn 5605 2.3% BxP 3663 1.5% Oth 4899 2.0% How does this take into account the votes from the Havering wards of Dagenham and Rainham i.e. Rainham, which obviously weren't counted separately. Obviously the more Conservative part of that seat? |
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Post by overthehill on Jan 4, 2020 12:46:36 GMT
Keith Prince (Conservative) is restanding: Given that this photo was obvious take just after a selection meeting, the small and not very diverse attendance, of members across two boroughs, shows just how badly the Conservatives are doing in terms of grassroots members. The Labour membership across the two boroughs will run into the many thousands. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 4, 2020 13:01:33 GMT
Results here in the 2019 General election based on notional ward results Con 117833 47.5% Lab 102385 41.3% LD 13683 5.5% Grn 5605 2.3% BxP 3663 1.5% Oth 4899 2.0% How does this take into account the votes from the Havering wards of Dagenham and Rainham i.e. Rainham, which obviously weren't counted separately. Obviously the more Conservative part of that seat? As I said it is based on notional ward results so it includes those wards as well as the Redbridge wards which are in Chingford & Woodford Green and Leyton & Wanstead (also the more Conservative parts of those seats) |
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Post by carlton43 on Jan 4, 2020 13:08:06 GMT
Keith Prince (Conservative) is restanding: Given that this photo was obvious take just after a selection meeting, the small and not very diverse attendance, of members across two boroughs, shows just how badly the Conservatives are doing in terms of grassroots members. The Labour membership across the two boroughs will run into the many thousands. I am glad to note that Keith is keeping it all in perspective! |
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Post by londontory on Jan 5, 2020 10:45:55 GMT
Keith Prince (Conservative) is restanding: Given that this photo was obvious take just after a selection meeting, the small and not very diverse attendance, of members across two boroughs, shows just how badly the Conservatives are doing in terms of grassroots members. The Labour membership across the two boroughs will run into the many thousands. It wasn't a full blown selection meeting open to the whole membership, it was an electoral college made up of representatives from each association. The decision was to either readopt Keith or open it to a full selection (at which stage the wider membership would have been involved). Incidentally the meeting took place the same night Theresa May's original Withdrawal Agreement was announced, and at the time I did wonder if this would be the last Tory party meeting I ever attended. |
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