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Post by londonseal80 on Oct 1, 2020 19:50:13 GMT
Mertons final ward boundary plans were due to be on lgbces website two days ago. Must be an almighty balls up going on somewhere?
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Post by martinwhelton on Oct 2, 2020 9:55:37 GMT
Mertons final ward boundary plans were due to be on lgbces website two days ago. Must be an almighty balls up going on somewhere? Delayed till next Tuesday due to staff sickness
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 8, 2020 9:13:44 GMT
Merton final recommendations published by LGBCE. The new two member Wandle ward will be interesting. The impact of the changes to the marginal Abbey, Dundonald and Trinity wards will also be interesting. Will the new Wimbledon Town and Dundonald ward combine the best bits of Trinity and Dundonald for the Lib Dems? Will the new Raynes Park ward become a Lib Dem target?
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Post by greenhert on Oct 8, 2020 11:17:23 GMT
To answer your questions: given that both Trinity and Dundonald wards saw their representation being split between the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives at the 2018 Merton Borough Council election, and that the map shows the leafier part of Trinity ward being moved to Wandle, yes, Wimbledon Town & Dundonald will be the best Liberal Democrat ward in Merton. Raynes Park will become better for the Liberal Democrats notionally but it will still be safely Conservative, with Wimbledon Park becoming more so.
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Post by londonseal80 on Oct 9, 2020 17:16:30 GMT
Merton final recommendations published by LGBCE. The new two member Wandle ward will be interesting. The impact of the changes to the marginal Abbey, Dundonald and Trinity wards will also be interesting. Will the new Wimbledon Town and Dundonald ward combine the best bits of Trinity and Dundonald for the Lib Dems? Will the new Raynes Park ward become a Lib Dem target? If the Lib Dems start winning more of the Tory wards on the Wimbledon side of the borough, Merton’s political map could end up looking similar to Haringey and Southwark For 2022 there is likely to be a swing away from the Conservatives and possiblity of them being down to single figures here. All M&M wards will be safely Labour (some over 80%) Abbey is likely to be Labour (starmer may go down well in the better off parts of the ward) Cannon Hill Labour most likely winners, however the Lib Dems did do well in a by election. Interesting to see if they do well here. West Barnes - LD Hold, Labour could end up second like they did in 1994 and 1998 Raynes Park - I think the Conservatives may be in trouble here, the Lib Dems will target it, parts of this ward are good for Labour, Starmer could appeal to the left-leaning met middle class here. Wandle - new ward so hard to hell, contains the All Saints Estate from Trinity and part of Wimbledon Park around Plough Lane (which is very like Tooting) so potential as a Labour ward, wouldn’t rule out LDs here Wimbledon Park - Probably the second safest Con ward on new boundaries. Wimbledon Town and Dundonald - New ward Nailed on Lib Dem Win Hillside - Usually safe Con, but Lib Dems polled well in this ward at GE upset maybe? Village - Old Money, Very safe Conservative like most of Westminster and K&C I also think the Tories will lose neighbouring Wandsworth but may compensate that with gaining Sutton.
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 9, 2020 21:01:56 GMT
Merton final recommendations published by LGBCE. The new two member Wandle ward will be interesting. The impact of the changes to the marginal Abbey, Dundonald and Trinity wards will also be interesting. Will the new Wimbledon Town and Dundonald ward combine the best bits of Trinity and Dundonald for the Lib Dems? Will the new Raynes Park ward become a Lib Dem target? If the Lib Dems start winning more of the Tory wards on the Wimbledon side of the borough, Merton’s political map could end up looking similar to Haringey and Southwark For 2022 there is likely to be a swing away from the Conservatives and possiblity of them being down to single figures here. All M&M wards will be safely Labour (some over 80%) Abbey is likely to be Labour (starmer may go down well in the better off parts of the ward) Cannon Hill Labour most likely winners, however the Lib Dems did do well in a by election. Interesting to see if they do well here. West Barnes - LD Hold, Labour could end up second like they did in 1994 and 1998 Raynes Park - I think the Conservatives may be in trouble here, the Lib Dems will target it, parts of this ward are good for Labour, Starmer could appeal to the left-leaning met middle class here. Wandle - new ward so hard to hell, contains the All Saints Estate from Trinity and part of Wimbledon Park around Plough Lane (which is very like Tooting) so potential as a Labour ward, wouldn’t rule out LDs here Wimbledon Park - Probably the second safest Con ward on new boundaries. Wimbledon Town and Dundonald - New ward Nailed on Lib Dem Win Hillside - Usually safe Con, but Lib Dems polled well in this ward at GE upset maybe? Village - Old Money, Very safe Conservative like most of Westminster and K&C I also think the Tories will lose neighbouring Wandsworth but may compensate that with gaining Sutton. Thanks. Helps confirm what I thought.
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Post by andrewteale on Oct 15, 2020 19:14:12 GMT
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 16, 2020 8:48:33 GMT
Andrew - how many more London Boroughs have had Orders published and are awaiting confirmation? Just Islington?
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Post by robert1 on Oct 16, 2020 8:50:37 GMT
In general the Local Government Boundary Commission for England website is excellent. May well have the information for all boroughs.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 16, 2020 9:09:02 GMT
I don't remember the Westminster Order being promulgated but may have missed it as we've all had so much to do outside the house this year.
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Post by kevinlarkin on Oct 16, 2020 10:31:33 GMT
Five London Boroughs had a draft SI published between 9th and 15th September: Westminster, Richmond, H&F, Lewisham and Sutton.
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Post by Wisconsin on Oct 17, 2020 12:49:38 GMT
Presumably draft SIs won’t suffice for the purposes of the 1 December deadline in the Constituencies bill.
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Post by John Chanin on Oct 17, 2020 13:19:37 GMT
We need an expert. I think that draft SIs are made formal after 2 months, so these 5 should sneak in, but others where final recommendations have been published (or will be published in the next month) won’t.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,369
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Post by YL on Oct 17, 2020 14:04:48 GMT
We need an expert. I think that draft SIs are made formal after 2 months, so these 5 should sneak in, but others where final recommendations have been published (or will be published in the next month) won’t. 40 sitting days, according to the LGBCE pages.
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Post by John Chanin on Oct 17, 2020 15:12:10 GMT
We need an expert. I think that draft SIs are made formal after 2 months, so these 5 should sneak in, but others where final recommendations have been published (or will be published in the next month) won’t. 40 sitting days, according to the LGBCE pages. Thanks. So basically 2 months if parliament is sitting.
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Post by loderingo on Oct 17, 2020 19:22:23 GMT
I would hope as many of the draft SIs can be included as possible. It is really noticeable how much better some of these boundaries are thanks to moving to a mix of 2 and 3 councillor wards. For example in Enfield, the awful Southbury ward that straddled the A10 has gone. None of the new wards now cross the A10. The north of Hammersmith and Fulham is another area that has seen great improvement. The old Ravenscourt Park ward straddled Goldhawk Road to make up the numbers and now no wards cross it.
If these new SIs can be included it will make London much easier to do. It should be easier to create groups of borough rather than have "North Thames" and "South Thames"
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 20, 2020 9:24:01 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,819
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Post by iain on Nov 3, 2020 10:28:27 GMT
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Post by evergreenadam on Nov 3, 2020 12:36:05 GMT
Thoughts on political implications for Wandsworth?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 3, 2020 13:17:51 GMT
Wandsworth's chances of going to Labour have improved slightly.
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