Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2019 17:33:31 GMT
Based on what turnout or are you plucking figures out of thin air just to generate posts? I'd guess LAB 51 CON 33 |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Apr 2, 2019 17:46:56 GMT
Based on what turnout or are you plucking figures out of thin air just to generate posts? I'd guess LAB 51 CON 33 Maths test for you: Labour to with 51% and with a 6k majority over the 2nd place Conservatives on 33% what do you think the turnout will be? |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 2, 2019 18:16:36 GMT
The bottom place has to go to Democrats and Veterans. A party that was of course partly the result of a horse's bottom place. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 2, 2019 18:29:51 GMT
Maths test for you: Labour to with 51% and with a 6k majority over the 2nd place Conservatives on 33% what do you think the turnout will be? 25%? |
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Post by johnloony on Apr 2, 2019 23:00:50 GMT
Maths test for you: Labour to with 51% and with a 6k majority over the 2nd place Conservatives on 33% what do you think the turnout will be? If 6,000 is 18% of the votes then 100% of the votes is 33,333. The electorate is about 64,000 so that would be a turnout of c.52%. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 3, 2019 5:09:19 GMT
Maths test for you: Labour to with 51% and with a 6k majority over the 2nd place Conservatives on 33% what do you think the turnout will be? If 6,000 is 18% of the votes then 100% of the votes is 33,333. The electorate is about 64,000 so that would be a turnout of c.52%. Not an unlikely turnout. |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
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Post by neilm on Apr 3, 2019 6:46:16 GMT
'License fee.' Are we in the US now? |
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 3, 2019 7:24:17 GMT
'License fee.' Are we in the US now? Hell, yes! |
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sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
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Post by sirbenjamin on Apr 3, 2019 7:54:57 GMT
A lot of protest votes to be mopped up here and quite possibly a very low winning share.
Lab 30%
Con 23%
Plaid 15%
LibDem 8%
UKIP 8%
Green 5%
SDP 4%
Brexit 4%
Renew 1%
ATWA 1%
D&V <1%
FB <1%
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 3, 2019 8:01:45 GMT
A lot of protest votes to be mopped up here and quite possibly a very low winning share. Lab 30% Con 23% Plaid 15% LibDem 8% UKIP 8% Green 5% SDP 4% Brexit 4% Renew 1% ATWA 1% D&V <1% FB <1% This Forum demonstrate poor arithmetic every week and or poor proof reading? Where in the deep south east near England are all these PCs to come from then? SDP and Brexit up to 4% each? Really? The majors not much more than 50% between them? Really? |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 3, 2019 8:03:04 GMT
I would definitely vote Abolish the Welsh Assembly on this occasion.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 3, 2019 8:16:38 GMT
A lot of protest votes to be mopped up here and quite possibly a very low winning share. Lab 30% Con 23% Plaid 15% LibDem 8% UKIP 8% Green 5% SDP 4% Brexit 4% Renew 1% ATWA 1% D&V <1% FB <1% This Forum demonstrate poor arithmetic every week and or poor proof reading? Where in the deep south east near England are all these PCs to come from then? SDP and Brexit up to 4% each? Really? The majors not much more than 50% between them? Really? Checking who's actually standing would help as well. Hint - the Brexit Party aren't... |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 3, 2019 8:18:01 GMT
A lot of protest votes to be mopped up here and quite possibly a very low winning share. Lab 30% Con 23% Plaid 15% LibDem 8% UKIP 8% Green 5% SDP 4% Brexit 4% Renew 1% ATWA 1% D&V <1% FB <1% This Forum demonstrate poor arithmetic every week and or poor proof reading? Where in the deep south east near England are all these PCs to come from then? SDP and Brexit up to 4% each? Really? The majors not much more than 50% between them? Really? Not least as there is no Brexit party candidate. I'd expect UKIP to get a decent vote in the current circumstances, but all the other micro parties - SDP, Renew, FB etc will probably barely get 1% between them. Lib Dems and Greens to lose deposits as well |
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Apr 3, 2019 8:46:28 GMT
Crap turnout, Labour hold with a similar percentage majority but well down in numerical terms due to aforementioned crap turnout.
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 3, 2019 9:21:54 GMT
I would definitely vote Abolish the Welsh Assembly on this occasion. Good job you aren't a Welsh voter then innit? Err....No! And you mean 'voter in wales' not Welsh voter. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
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Post by Chris from Brum on Apr 3, 2019 10:03:27 GMT
The sun will come up in the morning Newport will vote Labour The sun will go down at night Tidy! |
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carlton43
Reform Party
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 3, 2019 10:39:27 GMT
Err....No! And you mean 'voter in wales' not Welsh voter. I meant what I said...
notice you didn't pick me up for saying "innit"... 
No. It just seemed so 'you'! |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 3, 2019 10:50:40 GMT
If labours vote share here is below 40% then I will eat my shoes! People seem to be forgetting that they are not in government. Brexit might be turning things upside down but I’d like to think some ultra safe seats are still just that. They are in Wales of course, and the other parties are trying to exploit that as best they can. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 3, 2019 10:59:04 GMT
If labours vote share here is below 40% then I will eat my shoes! People seem to be forgetting that they are not in government. Brexit might be turning things upside down but I’d like to think some ultra safe seats are still just that. 'Ultra-safe' is overstating it somewhat for this seat, but your basic point is sound |
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Apr 3, 2019 11:07:06 GMT
Three mentions of Ruth Jones and one of Matthew Evans in Welsh Questions just now.
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