Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,079
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Post by Jack on Oct 24, 2020 19:20:20 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 7,950
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Post by cogload on Nov 8, 2020 8:00:31 GMT
Lab 42 Cons 38 LD 7 SNP 5 Green 3
The Labour lead is now showing up in a number of polls.
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Post by hullenedge on Nov 8, 2020 8:06:43 GMT
Lab 42 Cons 38 LD 7 SNP 5 Green 3 The Labour lead is now showing up in a number of polls. No mention of Farage's lot. Must be included in the others:-
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,309
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 8, 2020 10:36:44 GMT
The switch from Brexit to Reform still hasn't officially happened I think?
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 8, 2020 17:30:55 GMT
Second poll to slip the Cons below 40%.
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Post by andrewp on Nov 21, 2020 20:04:20 GMT
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 22, 2020 17:23:40 GMT
I guess this poll is garbage but we will see in due course. And SNP 6% suggests they are now getting votes in Tunbridge Wells.
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Post by hullenedge on Dec 6, 2020 16:11:15 GMT
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Post by Merseymike on Dec 6, 2020 16:23:48 GMT
Still effectively level, then
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Post by manchesterman on Dec 6, 2020 17:03:31 GMT
Indeed. Ive just looked back at the last 20 polls and the average for the 2 main parties is : Con 38.7, Lab 38.5
I dont expect this to change much [unexpected events notwithstanding] for the next 9-12 months until the first effects of Brexit start to kick in... should be a quite period for pollsters really, yet they still seem to be churning them out regularly
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Post by tonygreaves on Dec 6, 2020 20:53:17 GMT
Well Opinium fail to find any rise for us, true to form! I expect the polls to start moving a bit in the spring, over a year after the GE.
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,809
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Post by jamie on Dec 12, 2020 15:12:49 GMT
The poll finds Labour getting a noticeably bigger swing among leavers than remainers, which rather goes against the conventional wisdom.
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Post by hullenedge on Dec 12, 2020 15:24:02 GMT
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,079
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Post by Jack on Dec 12, 2020 15:32:10 GMT
I thought it looked a bit odd. Deleted my post.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,233
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Post by Sibboleth on Dec 12, 2020 16:03:10 GMT
Is it an aggregate of polling data done over that period or (as it looks to be?) a wholly new survey with a different function? Either way +/- figures on the usual weekly poll shouldn't be used.
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Opinium
Dec 12, 2020 17:15:35 GMT
via mobile
Post by Merseymike on Dec 12, 2020 17:15:35 GMT
The polls appear to be fairly even between the two main parties Reading the article the shifts are not great, but beware thinking that Tory voters who approve of Starmer will necessarily switch to Labour. Usually a section of Tory voters switch to the LibDems making it easier for Labour to win marginals. The voter distribution isn't really arranged in a way which makes that very likely.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,309
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 13, 2020 10:53:57 GMT
Is it an aggregate of polling data done over that period or (as it looks to be?) a wholly new survey with a different function? Either way +/- figures on the usual weekly poll shouldn't be used. It is a poll in its own right, though with a much bigger sample size than the usual fortnightly survey and possibly differing in other ways too.
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Post by hullenedge on Dec 19, 2020 20:53:28 GMT
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,004
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Dec 19, 2020 21:54:17 GMT
Though i do think we need an exciting poll now, one that might make Boris pale!
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Post by Merseymike on Dec 19, 2020 22:03:41 GMT
Though i do think we need an exciting poll now, one that might make Boris pale! First find an opposition. ..
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