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Post by robert1 on Aug 19, 2020 14:13:49 GMT
Other aspects of the poll
Keir Starmer's personal rating has slipped back by 4 points and is just in positive terrotiory (+1). Boris (-1). Sunak and other cabinet members have slipped back but the former is still +25%.
Best PM Boris (43), Starmer (30) which is a increase of margin of 4 points for Boris. I'm expecting the 27% Don't knows to fall over coming months.
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Post by hullenedge on Sept 23, 2020 11:29:21 GMT
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nodealbrexiteer
Forum Regular
non aligned favour no deal brexit!
Posts: 4,051
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Post by nodealbrexiteer on Sept 23, 2020 12:08:44 GMT
It's what makes pollsters sleep easy,polls taken at broadly the same time that have shares with the MOE of each other!
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mboy
Liberal
Listen. Think. Speak.
Posts: 22,364
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Post by mboy on Sept 23, 2020 12:25:02 GMT
Seems a clear and significant drop in the Tory share of about 3% in recent weeks though. Could well be driven by the testing debacle, or general unhappiness at restrictions returning (though that only happen in the last few days).
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Post by robert1 on Sept 23, 2020 16:39:30 GMT
Savanta ComRes have done other polling (also released today) and there is strong support for the extra measures announced and for even tougher measures. The notable exception is on handling of testing-poor 50%, good 19%.
For those who do not see central London or the City, it is utterly dead today. Whitehall was just taxis looking for business. Very similar to the start of the original lockdown.
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Post by John Chanin on Sept 23, 2020 18:36:06 GMT
I can't remember so many polls from so many different companies all giving the same result with the Conservatives at 40% exactly.
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Post by hullenedge on Oct 8, 2020 6:55:10 GMT
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Post by robert1 on Oct 10, 2020 16:56:05 GMT
I've just posted a Savant/ComRes Scotland specific poll on Scottish Overview thread. Nothing dramatic but informative about current Scottish debate.
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 14, 2020 10:51:12 GMT
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Post by robert1 on Oct 14, 2020 11:38:39 GMT
The Conservatives and Labour are level-pegging, the first time the Conservatives have not led in a Savanta ComRes poll since July 2019.
• Headline Voting Intention: Lab 39% (-); Con 39% (-3); LD 7% (-); Other 15% (+3) • Government handling of Coronavirus net approval drops 2 points in last week and 12 points since start of September • PM handling of Coronavirus net approval also drops 2 points in last week and 11 points since start of September • Significant week-on-week rise in those who say Government not doing enough to support places of leisure
The two main parties are tied on 39% of the vote apiece, if a General Election were to be held tomorrow, with the Conservatives down 3 points from a week ago, while Labour have not changed. The Liberal Democrats also remain the same, on 7%, while the other parties, including the SNP, Plaid Cymru and Northern Irish parties, are on 15%.
The new polling comes as Government approval regarding the Coronavirus pandemic continues to fall. The UK Government’s net approval in the Savanta Coronavirus Data Tracker – measuring how the public approve or disapprove with the handling of the pandemic, specifically - is now -16%, down 2 points from the previous week and down 12 points since the start of September. Similarly, the Prime Minister’s net approval now sits at -20%, also down 2 points from the previous week and down 11 points since the start of September. Keir Starmer’s net approval regarding the pandemic, similar to Labour’s voting intention, remains steady at +1%, and has been for three of the previous four weeks.
I have checked and the +3 in others is spread across a range of parties.
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Post by archaeologist on Oct 21, 2020 16:00:03 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Oct 21, 2020 16:00:05 GMT
Deleted (duplicated)
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 21, 2020 16:01:53 GMT
Hmmm...they don't call them Comedy Results for nothing.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,282
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Post by Sibboleth on Oct 21, 2020 16:18:36 GMT
I've come to the conclusion - after many years of seeing the 'poll numbers' they produce - that they might actually use dice?
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Post by manchesterman on Oct 21, 2020 19:10:22 GMT
I can only hope you're right..failing that the world's gone mad (again)
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Post by John Chanin on Oct 22, 2020 6:42:38 GMT
I've come to the conclusion - after many years of seeing the 'poll numbers' they produce - that they might actually use dice? Actually as someone who used to do polling, random fluctuations like this give me more, not less, confidence in the organization. One expects fluctuations of 3% from quasi-random sampling of the sort used in internet panels, and 1 in 20 samples will fall outside this range. You really have to look at a range of polls, from different organizations (because there are "house effects"), in order to get a feel of how public opinion is moving. This is particularly important in political polls, where figures are close. A difference between 70% and 75% on a poll doesn't matter - clearly most people are in favour of whatever it is. A difference between 37% and 42% as here does matter, but no individual survey can ever tell you what the "right" figure is.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,540
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 22, 2020 10:59:18 GMT
Indeed, one reason to actually be a bit more confident in the latest US polling being *broadly* correct is that there isn't any obvious "herding" going on.
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Post by archaeologist on Oct 28, 2020 17:35:29 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Nov 4, 2020 12:58:32 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,491
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Post by johng on Nov 11, 2020 10:18:13 GMT
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