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Post by tonygreaves on Apr 15, 2015 23:06:36 GMT
No-one replying to someone who just uses insulting names. We could all do that but it would destroy sensible discussion.
Tony
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Apr 15, 2015 23:42:34 GMT
Smithson hits back with a barchart: All that proves is that Populus got it wrong on this one occasion. It says nothing about the general accuracy of phone polls.
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Apr 15, 2015 23:43:55 GMT
ComRes poll of LibDem held Tory targets in the South West. Con - 44 LD - 26 Lab - 13 UKIP - 10 Green - 5 Which means wipe out for the dead Limbs if its accurate That poll is obviously bollocks. Ashcroft's polling of SW marginals tell a very different story.
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Post by thirdchill on Apr 16, 2015 1:45:39 GMT
ComRes poll of LibDem held Tory targets in the South West. Con - 44 LD - 26 Lab - 13 UKIP - 10 Green - 5 Which means wipe out for the dead Limbs if its accurate That poll is obviously bollocks. Ashcroft's polling of SW marginals tell a very different story. UKPollingreport have a good analysis of the difference between this and Lord Ashcroft: ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9355The poll is similar when compared to the first of lord Ashcroft's questions (the voting intention). However in every one of those constituencies polled by Ashcroft, the Lib Dems percentages go up a lot for the constituency specific question he also asks. That's where the difference lies. As much as I'd like to believe the Comres poll, Lord Ashcroft's polling looks a lot more accurate, due to the constituency-specific part of his polling.
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Post by mrhell on Apr 23, 2015 21:24:47 GMT
CON 36% (+2) LAB 32% (-1) UKIP 10% (-2) LIB DEM - 8% (-4) GRN - 5% (+1)
To paraphrase Alan Hansen "We'll be a bit disappointed by that".
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Post by casualobserver on Apr 23, 2015 23:42:45 GMT
I personally think that the LibDems deserve credit for seeking to further the national interest by entering into, and sticking with, the coalition. Nevertheless, when I misread mrhell's last post as putting the LibDems on -8% I couldn't help but smile.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 30, 2015 19:18:03 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 2, 2015 18:41:51 GMT
ComRes/Indy/Mirror:
Conservatives 33% (-2) Labour 33% (-2) UK Independence Party 13% (+2) Liberal Democrats 8% (+1) Green Parties 7% (+1)
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Post by Andrew_S on May 5, 2015 21:06:44 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 5, 2015 21:29:45 GMT
I'm doubtful of ComRes polls, but that's a serious drop for the Greens.
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Post by greenchristian on May 5, 2015 21:41:06 GMT
I'm doubtful of ComRes polls, but that's a serious drop for the Greens. The previous poll's 7% was quite a high figure for us compared to other polls at the moment. The consensus seems to have us on about 5%, and ICM's figures look like variation around that figure.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 5, 2015 21:46:45 GMT
I'm doubtful of ComRes polls, but that's a serious drop for the Greens. The previous poll's 7% was quite a high figure for us compared to other polls at the moment. The consensus seems to have us on about 5%, and ICM's figures look like variation around that figure. I would agree that 5% seems most likely. Just a very curious shift within the ComRes polls that was noteworthy.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,391
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Post by The Bishop on May 5, 2015 22:26:17 GMT
This poll claims that UKIP is winning more 2010 Labour voters than Tory ones........as they say, interesting.
(maybe not unconnectedly, it is the only poll out of today's six to claim Labour support is down)
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 5, 2015 22:31:38 GMT
Also something very odd about a poll showing a large fall in Green support but a concomitant increase in the Tory vote.
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Post by mrhell on May 6, 2015 21:46:40 GMT
Lab 34 (+2) Con 35 (=) LD 9 (=) UKIP 12 (-2) GN 4 (=)
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Post by greatkingrat on May 10, 2015 17:16:40 GMT
ComRes poll of LibDem held Tory targets in the South West. Con - 44 LD - 26 Lab - 13 UKIP - 10 Green - 5 Which means wipe out for the dead Limbs if its accurate Looks like this was one of the few polls that called it right. Actual result for those 14 constituencies Con 44, LD 30, UKIP 12, Lab 8, Grn 5
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 28, 2015 17:42:16 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,280
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Post by iain on Jun 2, 2015 13:54:05 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,280
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Post by iain on Jun 4, 2015 12:25:28 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,391
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 4, 2015 12:34:50 GMT
Of course, assuming turnout patterns at future GE's will replicate last month's itself makes quite a few assumptions......
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