Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,233
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 23, 2021 11:14:37 GMT
What is becoming increasing interesting are the greens appear to be outpolling the Lib Dem’s..... is this a trend? And if so can the greens capitalise on it? And who’s voting for them? Lefties? Or are they cultivating a protest vote? Well no one is voting for anyone at the moment, which may actually be the issue - quite possible that the various house effects are unusually strong.
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pl
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,561
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YouGov
Jan 23, 2021 11:22:57 GMT
via mobile
Post by pl on Jan 23, 2021 11:22:57 GMT
Today's Redbox:- Con 39 (+1) Lab 38 (-1) Green 6 LD 5 REFUK 4 (+1) What is becoming increasing interesting are the greens appear to be outpolling the Lib Dem’s..... is this a trend? And if so can the greens capitalise on it? And who’s voting for them? Lefties? Or are they cultivating a protest vote? Not quite so bad for LDs. LD vote is better distributed. LDs have a good ground game, while the Greens often seem to be sniffy at the idea of standing for things let alone electioneering. I’ve seen the Conservative vote in shires break Green because Cons voters think they are anti-development and in favour of parks. They’ve also become the repository of wasted votes on the left: they are perfect virtue signalling material. LDs/Lab will hoover up many Green voters at election time due to campaigning and the lack of a Green candidate.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 23, 2021 11:50:26 GMT
What is becoming increasing interesting are the greens appear to be outpolling the Lib Dem’s..... is this a trend? And if so can the greens capitalise on it? And who’s voting for them? Lefties? Or are they cultivating a protest vote? Not quite so bad for LDs. LD vote is better distributed. LDs have a good ground game, while the Greens often seem to be sniffy at the idea of standing for things let alone electioneering. I’ve seen the Conservative vote in shires break Green because Cons voters think they are anti-development and in favour of parks. They’ve also become the repository of wasted votes on the left: they are perfect virtue signalling material. LDs/Lab will hoover up many Green voters at election time due to campaigning and the lack of a Green candidate. I think both Starmer and Davey ruling out running on a rejoin platform next time is driving some of the FBPE ultras to the Greens as their last hope for a rejoin party.
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YouGov
Jan 23, 2021 13:38:17 GMT
Post by gwynthegriff on Jan 23, 2021 13:38:17 GMT
What is becoming increasing interesting are the greens appear to be outpolling the Lib Dem’s..... is this a trend? And if so can the greens capitalise on it? And who’s voting for them? Lefties? Or are they cultivating a protest vote? Well no one is voting for anyone at the moment, which may actually be the issue - quite possible that the various house effects are unusually strong. And the LDs, probably more than any other party, rely on local campaigning. Which, basically, is scarcely happening at present.
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YouGov
Jan 24, 2021 6:06:47 GMT
Post by greenchristian on Jan 24, 2021 6:06:47 GMT
Well no one is voting for anyone at the moment, which may actually be the issue - quite possible that the various house effects are unusually strong. And the LDs, probably more than any other party, rely on local campaigning. Which, basically, is scarcely happening at present. The Greens are pretty much as dependent on local campaigning. It's just that we've not been doing it for anywhere near as long.
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Post by hullenedge on Jan 28, 2021 10:50:47 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,309
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 28, 2021 11:56:05 GMT
Its possible that pollsters are starting to diverge a bit now, which is interesting.
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Post by rivers10 on Jan 28, 2021 12:38:56 GMT
Yougov have in recent months produced four point Labour leads before it reverted back. As always we need to wait and see subsequent polls from them before getting too excited
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,444
Member is Online
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Post by European Lefty on Jan 28, 2021 12:39:55 GMT
Shall we have another thread about why Labour can't take a poll lead?
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,444
Member is Online
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Post by European Lefty on Jan 28, 2021 12:41:33 GMT
(I realise that contradicts my point yedterday; difference being that there's a difference between this and convincing me that were favourites at a general election. Although it's clearly not as grim as some people are portraying it)
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 3, 2021 19:20:18 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 4, 2021 11:17:21 GMT
Today's RedBox (just top two mentioned):-
Con 41 (+4) Lab 37 (-4)
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 8, 2021 13:06:14 GMT
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 8, 2021 13:46:19 GMT
"Labour should be 20 points ahead" Remember that one?
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Jack
Reform Party
Posts: 8,079
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Post by Jack on Feb 8, 2021 14:26:39 GMT
Vaccine rollout boost, I assume.
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Post by hullenedge on Feb 8, 2021 14:31:09 GMT
Vaccine rollout boost, I assume. Possible:- But also:-
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Post by jollyroger93 on Feb 8, 2021 15:00:51 GMT
Vaccine rollout boost, I assume. Possible:- But also:- So Labour would rather pander to try and get 2 percent off the greens, not 10% off the conservatives? Utter madness.
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 8, 2021 15:05:57 GMT
So Labour would rather pander to try and get 2 percent off the greens, not 10% off the conservatives? Utter madness.
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YouGov
Feb 8, 2021 15:15:13 GMT
via mobile
Post by Merseymike on Feb 8, 2021 15:15:13 GMT
So Labour would rather pander to try and get 2 percent off the greens, not 10% off the conservatives? Utter madness. But ... 1. They clearly aren't making any moves towards the Greens 2. You assume that in gaining the 10% from the Tories - extremely unlikely, nearer 2% more realistic given that few switch directly - Labour would not lose other votes because "they have nowhere else to go". That's not actually true, but not voting is also an option - indeed it was those who hadn't voted for a long time but did so in recent elections which appear to have had an impact.
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Post by pragmaticidealist on Feb 8, 2021 15:22:18 GMT
No party of note is "socially liberal" at present. Some dislike immigrants, others hate the very idea of socialising.
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