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Post by greenchristian on Jul 3, 2018 11:33:58 GMT
In which case you should have given us Bristol West or Norwich South. The former is more likely than the latter, since the Norwich Greens would still have experienced the same organisational problems as they did in reality. Incidentally, looking at the seats I know well, there is no way Solihull would go Labour in such a scenario. What seats would need to be flipped around to fit this scenario better while keeping the overall seat count the same? Flip Bristol West to Green and Holborn and St Pancras to Labour. Flip Solihull to Conservative (the Lib Dems had already started to lose ground to the Tories in local elections by 2008) and any one other seat you have down as a Con-Lab marginal in your scenario to Labour. North Warwickshire and Worcester are the most obvious possibilities in the West Midlands region. If you're revising the map, you might also want to take into account the comments other people have made about specific seats which they think are unlikely in this scenario. |
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sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
Posts: 4,979 
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Post by sirbenjamin on Jul 6, 2018 17:38:37 GMT
If we disregard any and all scenarios involving slightly less big or less comprehensive offers, I think enough left-leaning LDs would agree to prop up a failed minority Brown government that it would limp on for six months or so. In exchange they'd get a pledge from Brown to go within a year and a vote on PR which would be defeated by Tories and Labour rebels - or possibly a referendum which would be defeated by the electorate, possibly held on the same day as the Autumn 2010 election which would see a comfortable overall majority for Cameron's Tories.
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