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Post by timrollpickering on Mar 25, 2012 11:48:09 GMT
It's not the first time this has happened - Rob Borbidge resigned his Surfers Paradise seat immediately after losing the 2001 election and the Nationals lost the by-election to an independent (and in true Coalition style it was the Liberals who regained it in 2004).
Federally I think Paul Keating and Malcolm Fraser may have announced their resignations before the new parliaments had even sat.
There's suggestions that the by-election could be used to get a credible potential leader back into the parliament - something similar was done after the 1957 election when Labor leader John Duggan lost his seat but came back in a by-election the next year (albeit caused by death) and resumed the leadership.
Of course Australia doesn't have a great modern tradition of fast tracking people in for high posts mid term (although federally the government has just used a Senate vacancy to install a new foreign minister) and the electorate of South Brisbane might not take too kindly to this. I suspect fear of defeat (as well as investigations of promises to create the vacancy) stopped the LNP risking Campbell Newman in a by-election.
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Post by historian1986 on Mar 28, 2012 19:35:22 GMT
I think the LNP could well gain another seat in the South Brisbane by-election, as if I was a voter there I wouldn't be very happy with the prospect of having to vote twice within a few weeks. IMO Anna Bligh should have waited a while before resigning a seat just a day after she won it. Surely as the opinion polls showed Labor was facing a dismal result, she should have announced her retirement before the election.
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Post by timrollpickering on Mar 28, 2012 20:42:51 GMT
On the other hand if the LNP have 78 seats and all others 8, why give the LNP yet another? Especially if the Labor candidate might be the new Labor leader - would voters be better served by being represented by the 79th government backbencher or the Leader of the Opposition?
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Post by historian1986 on Mar 29, 2012 8:05:11 GMT
Annastacia Palaszczuk the member for Inala is the new Labor leader in Queensland.
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Post by iainbhx on Mar 30, 2012 12:55:12 GMT
The LNP have taken the lead in Bulimba (where I often go to have lunch when in Brisvegas), which means if this holds up that the ALP will only have 7 seats.
On the gripping hand, looks like Mackay will hold for the ALP and that Katter's Ego Party will stay on two seats.
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Post by timrollpickering on Mar 30, 2012 12:56:35 GMT
I'm not sure if "Progressive Count After Preferences" is what it says on the tin or if at this stage it's just an indicative Two Party Preferred count. IIRC the Quensland electoral commission abandoned 2PP counts after the three horse race in 1998 so I don't know what the source of figures are. It's now clear. The Queensland Electoral Commission does an indicative Two Party/Candidate Preferred count on the night, primarily for the candidates & media. However for the full finalised count it doesn't do 2PP/2CPs for statistical information. I think New South Wales does the same.
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Post by Andrew_S on Apr 3, 2012 17:20:31 GMT
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Post by iainbhx on Apr 3, 2012 18:58:35 GMT
LNP candidate now claims his lead is 76!
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 8, 2013 14:56:45 GMT
Katter's Australian Party is planning to run candidates in all Lower House seats for the next federal election.
The party, formed by federal independent MP Bob Katter, has announced plans to contest all 150 seats and also run for the Senate in most states and territories.
The party holds three seats in State Parliament in Queensland.
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 5, 2015 23:07:44 GMT
ABC are predicting early elections.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jan 5, 2015 23:12:58 GMT
ABC are predicting early elections. Ta-ra, Katter!
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 6, 2015 6:04:28 GMT
The election will be on Saturday 31st January.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 6, 2015 11:08:17 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Jan 6, 2015 22:10:22 GMT
Return to normality? Is there a state in Australia that has done its own thing more often than Queensland?
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Post by markgoodair on Jan 28, 2015 19:21:11 GMT
ABC are predicting that the Premier, Campbell Newman will lose his seat to Labor on Saturday.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2015 8:59:15 GMT
ABC seem to have kept their geoblock on but you can watch 9 news coverage here: www.9news.com.au/Early results suggest huge swings to Labor and, possibly, a remarkable win for them.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2015 11:40:54 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Jan 31, 2015 11:54:39 GMT
Pretty impressive to go from 7 seats to a majority. I saw an article earlier today that Abbott may be in trouble with his own MPs, which seems a bit bizarre from a UK perspective given that he's only just won a healthy majority in the national election.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2015 12:20:14 GMT
It was nearly 18 months ago which is a decent period on the three-year cycle. He's in trouble because his personal ratings are going through the floor and appear to be a significant drag on the coalition vote.
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Sibboleth
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'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 31, 2015 17:36:19 GMT
Hilarious.
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