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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 8, 2024 8:58:55 GMT
FF will likely form Government with FG after some deal-making with a phalanx of Independents. FG are hoping to hold out for a Rotating Taoiseach hoping FF will accept the Ceann Comhairle post again. Don't think FF will go for that FF will insist on the Finance Portfolio plus ECOFIN ie Pascal would remember he's no longer Minister for Finance and it doesn't really matter who is Ceann Comhairle in theory because the person is a neutral arbitor who will support the Government of the day in a tie. I wonder if FG would be willing to walk away from government if they don't get a satisfactory deal. There is a pretty strong case that after 14 years in government they would benefit from a spell in opposition. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Dec 8, 2024 12:42:54 GMT
FF will likely form Government with FG after some deal-making with a phalanx of Independents. FG are hoping to hold out for a Rotating Taoiseach hoping FF will accept the Ceann Comhairle post again. Don't think FF will go for that FF will insist on the Finance Portfolio plus ECOFIN ie Pascal would remember he's no longer Minister for Finance and it doesn't really matter who is Ceann Comhairle in theory because the person is a neutral arbitor who will support the Government of the day in a tie. I wonder if FG would be willing to walk away from government if they don't get a satisfactory deal. There is a pretty strong case that after 14 years in government they would benefit from a spell in opposition. I think the problem there is the joint commitment that FG and FF seem to have to keep Sinn Fein out of government. A lack of a stable government could eventually end up opening the door for Sinn Fein to get into government at some point even if not right away |
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Dec 8, 2024 13:03:24 GMT
I have a hard time seeing FG going into opposition voluntarily. They have a strong ‘born to rule’ vibe these days and seem the sort who believe the government will be significantly better just by them being a part of it. They couldn’t exactly argue they are the responsible party that creates stability if they force FF to form a government consisting of… SD, Lab and almost all predominantly right wing independents? FF, SF and others?
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Dec 8, 2024 17:08:20 GMT
I have a hard time seeing FG going into opposition voluntarily. They have a strong ‘born to rule’ vibe these days and seem the sort who believe the government will be significantly better just by them being a part of it. They couldn’t exactly argue they are the responsible party that creates stability if they force FF to form a government consisting of… SD, Lab and almost all predominantly right wing independents? FF, SF and others? I broadly agree but if FF overplay their hand and don't give FG a decent deal then the latter would be mad to not consider the benefits of going into opposition. |
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