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Post by John Chanin on Feb 2, 2023 16:41:48 GMT
I think that given the present population of the USA, an expansion in the size of the House would not be unreasonable. I think only India has larger constituencies. The argument for FPTP seems to me to fall with constituencies pushing a million in size. You can’t really br representing a local interest in any meaningful sense.
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peterl
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Post by peterl on Feb 2, 2023 18:45:01 GMT
I think that given the present population of the USA, an expansion in the size of the House would not be unreasonable. I think only India has larger constituencies. The argument for FPTP seems to me to fall with constituencies pushing a million in size. You can’t really br representing a local interest in any meaningful sense. The US Federal Government is supposed to have reasonably limited responsibilities with most issues decided at a state level. Although there has been a lot of "mission creep", Congress still does far less than our Parliament and doesn't need as many members. The US House is already amongst the world's largest legislative bodies, and one thing no one really wants is more politicians.
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Post by timrollpickering on Feb 2, 2023 19:03:38 GMT
However one of the most libertarian states is New Hampshire which has a lower house of four hundred members so the relationship between the number of elected politicians and the size of government may be more complex than at first seems.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 2, 2023 21:03:01 GMT
However one of the most libertarian states is New Hampshire which has a lower house of four hundred members so the relationship between the number of elected politicians and the size of government may be more complex than at first seems. However the role of a state legislator in New Hampshire is basically part time and unpaid . Representatives and Senators receive $200 per term (two years) and travel costs for the first 45 days which the legislature is in session.
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peterl
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Post by peterl on Feb 2, 2023 23:48:23 GMT
However one of the most libertarian states is New Hampshire which has a lower house of four hundred members so the relationship between the number of elected politicians and the size of government may be more complex than at first seems. However the role of a state legislator in New Hampshire is basically part time and unpaid . Representatives and Senators receive $200 per term (two years) and travel costs for the first 45 days which the legislature is in session. Proof if it was needed that a large salary is not nessecary to get people interested in elected roles.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 4, 2023 16:06:57 GMT
The House hasn't flipped in a presidential year since 1952, but Democrats have a decent chance of doing it in 2024.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 5, 2023 7:18:00 GMT
The new Ohio's 15th is a barometer for whether Sherrod Brown can win a fourth Senate term and shows you how many Trump-Brown voters there are in the Buckeye State.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 5, 2023 11:50:21 GMT
The House hasn't flipped in a presidential year since 1952, but Democrats have a decent chance of doing it in 2024. There is a pretty decent chance that the two chambers of congress flip in the opposite direction as the Democrats face a simply brutal Senate map and could easily lose that chamber even while retaining the Presidency and gaining the House. West Virginia is pretty much a done deal in my view and I expect that Manchin will bow out gracefully rather than go down to defeat. Montana and Ohio are toss ups at best and the former is only if Tester runs again. If he doesn't it is a very likely GOP pick up. You then have a whole host of Democrat held seats where they start as favourites but which are potentially competitive; Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Meanwhile all GOP held seats look fairly safe with only Florida, Indiana and Texas looking even vaguely like they might be competitive. So, assuming West Virginia falls, the Democrats need to win every other competitive race just to get to 50-50. It is very easy to see how the Democrats could have a really good election but lose the Senate just by losing in West Virginia and Montana.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 5, 2023 17:35:47 GMT
Speaking of competitive Texas, O'Rourke flipped the city of Plano in Collin and Denton Counties north of Dallas. Population growth there and in Frisco next-door is insane.
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Post by rcronald on Feb 5, 2023 18:13:50 GMT
Speaking of competitive Texas, O'Rourke flipped the city of Plano in Collin and Denton Counties north of Dallas. Population growth there and in Frisco next-door is insane. Plano is definitely gone for the GOP, it’s basically an urban city now. I would also note that Trump lost Plano by double digits.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 5, 2023 20:23:20 GMT
Many states already have this for governors. It'll be funny if the Senate rejects his bill and Cruz loses anyway. Also, Ted Cruz doesn't suit a beard, imo, unlike Gary Peters.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 5, 2023 21:12:05 GMT
I think the Supreme Court has already ruled that a term limit for US Senators and Representatives would require a Constitutional Amendment so the chance of it happening is next to nothing. But extremely foolish for a Senator to make a case for a two term restriction just as they are about to run for their third term.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 6, 2023 0:25:48 GMT
I think the Supreme Court has already ruled that a term limit for US Senators and Representatives would require a Constitutional Amendment so the chance of it happening is next to nothing. But extremely foolish for a Senator to make a case for a two term restriction just as they are about to run for their third term. There is of course a perfectly coherent intellectual argument in favour of statutory or constitutional term limits while rejecting self imposed term limits. As Senator James Lankford (R-OK) said while running to replace Tom Coburn in the Senate "good guys leave early like Dr. Coburn". However I completely agree that it is political malpractice to be sponsor a bill that bans what you are just about to do, or at very least I would agree if I thought that Cruz was in any serious danger.
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Post by stb12 on Feb 6, 2023 8:34:25 GMT
Cruz will hardly be the first person to advocate term limits and not do it themselves. Susan Collins apparently pledged only two terms when she first stood for the senate and is obviously now well beyond that
But the timing of putting his name to legislation like that when it’s entering his third term re-election cycle is very strange
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 6, 2023 17:37:58 GMT
If there's a crowded field, Meijer could come through the middle in a contested primary. The MI GOP bench is weak.
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r34t
Non-Aligned
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Post by r34t on Feb 6, 2023 17:58:51 GMT
However the role of a state legislator in New Hampshire is basically part time and unpaid . Representatives and Senators receive $200 per term (two years) and travel costs for the first 45 days which the legislature is in session. Proof if it was needed that a large salary is not nessecary to get people interested in elected roles. Proves nothing of the sort. Just means that people who can afford to be interested in elected roles get involved, if you can’t afford to lose income you don’t, if you can’t get time off work you don’t get involved. But I guess some want to see ‘the right sort’ of people involved, which is somewhat different.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 7, 2023 4:44:18 GMT
2022 saw Republicans win complete control of Florida government for the first time since 1875. The Sunshine State, typically immune to midterm waves, swung heavily towards GOP incumbents Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio.
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Post by rcronald on Feb 7, 2023 11:51:59 GMT
2022 saw Republicans win complete control of Florida government for the first time since 1875. The Sunshine State, typically immune to midterm waves, swung heavily towards GOP incumbents Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio. Ashley Moody was the best performing Republican in both 2018 and 2022. Underrated DeSantis replacement if Nunez doesn't run.
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Post by rockefeller on Feb 8, 2023 19:30:24 GMT
Nancy Pelosi backs Adam Schiff for Senate in California. Surely Dianne Feinstein retires in 2024 now.
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CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Feb 8, 2023 20:20:08 GMT
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