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Post by london(ex)tory on Jul 28, 2022 15:38:27 GMT
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Post by thirdchill on Aug 3, 2022 7:11:05 GMT
Kansas has voted to maintain the right to an abortion in their constitution (over 60% voted not to amend the state constitution): www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-62402625Whilst not necessarily preventing further potential restrictions, it limits how far they can go.
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 7:25:03 GMT
www.wsj.com/amp/livecoverage/primary-election-results-august-2-az-ks-mo-mi-waSome important primary elections going on just now Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt has won the Republican primary for the US senate nomination Conservative commentator Tudor Dixon, endorsed by Trump, secured the GOP nomination to challenge Michigan Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer this November. Nothing called that I can see in Arizona; but Trump backed Kari Lake and big stolen election believer is apparently behind in the Republican nomination race for governor. However in better news for Trump Blake Masters is seemingly ahead in the senate nomination primary Non-primary news: In Kansas a referendum on restricting abortion has been overwhelmingly rejected with results believed to around 62% to 38% against If anyone has a better link for live results by all means put it up only just googled to find this!
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 7:34:18 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 7:57:27 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 3, 2022 8:06:55 GMT
I’m not sure if this is hidden behind their paywall, but if you can see it I’ve linked to Arizona, the other States can be seen by clicking the link across the top: www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/02/us/elections/results-arizona.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022®ion=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc&smid=nytcore-ios-share www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/02/us/elections/results-arizona.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022®ion=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc&referringSource=articleShareIn Arizona, Trump’s candidate for Governor, Kari Lake, is still favoured despite trailing because she’s winning the on-the-day vote. Blake Masters, an election denier backed by Trump, has won the Senate primary to face Mark Kelly, which will probably see handicappers move that race in Kelly’s favour. It looks like Trump candidates will sweep the board, Mark Finchem, who says he will ban mail and electronic voting, will be the Secretary of State candidate. Trump’s endorsement of Tudor Dixon in Michigan was very last minute, and she’s been helped more by the support of the DeVos family (Betsy was Trump’s Secretary of Education) who are major powerbrokers in the Michigan GOP. Peter Meier, who was one of the 10 Republican House members to vote for Trump’s impeachment has lost his 8th District primary to Trump backed John Gibbs, for whom the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee have spent money on feeling their candidate, Hilary Scholten, will have a better chance against the more right wing Gibbs. Also in Michigan, in what I think is the last member on member primary, Andy Levin, son of long time member Sander Levin and nephew of long time former Senator Carl Levin, and backed by “The Squad” has been beaten by Haley Stevens in a race where the pro-Israel AIPAC spent substantially against Levin, who is Jewish but had the temerity to speak up for Palestinian rights. Nobody’s quite sure if Trump won in Missouri; at a rally at the weekend he endorsed Eric, but as two of the candidates are called Eric we’re none the wiser, however the more mainstream Eric Schmitt has defeated Rep Vicky Hartzler and former Governor Eric Greitens, and will face Trudy Busch Valentine (a member of the Budweiser Busch family) who has defeated Lucas Kunce who had been endorsed by most of the Democratic establishment. Greitens defeat probably greatly increases the Republican chances of keeping the seat on Roy Blunt’s retirement. In Kansas incumbent Secretary of State Mark Schwab, who has repeatedly dismissed Trump’s claims of election fraud, has seen off Trump endorsed Mike Brown. Former Secretary of State, and Trump supporter, Kris Kobach is back, having lost the Governor’s election to Laura Kelly in 2018, and a Senate primary to Roger Marshall two years later, having won the primary for Attorney General.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 3, 2022 11:03:23 GMT
Apparently some Democrats pushed for Gibbs to win in the hope of making the general election easier to win Well that sort of thing has never gone wrong before, no sirree
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 11:05:00 GMT
Apparently some Democrats pushed for Gibbs to win in the hope of making the general election easier to win Well that sort of thing has never gone wrong before, no sirree Indeed. It’s a redrawn district that Biden won by 9 points but in what’s expected to be a terrible mid-term cycle even beyond the usual for a governing party they can hardly take that for granted
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 3, 2022 11:06:48 GMT
Well that sort of thing has never gone wrong before, no sirree Indeed. It’s a redrawn district that Biden won by 9 points but in what’s expected to be a terrible mid-term cycle even beyond the usual for a governing party they can hardly take that for granted Then again we keep being told this, but recent polling mostly isn't that awful for the Dems I think?
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 11:13:36 GMT
Indeed. It’s a redrawn district that Biden won by 9 points but in what’s expected to be a terrible mid-term cycle even beyond the usual for a governing party they can hardly take that for granted Then again we keep being told this, but recent polling mostly isn't that awful for the Dems I think? I haven’t seen much about huge signs of improvement but timmullen1 might be more in tune than me Keeping the senate looks a good possibility but the map was always more favourable there anyway
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Post by rcronald on Aug 3, 2022 11:17:37 GMT
Indeed. It’s a redrawn district that Biden won by 9 points but in what’s expected to be a terrible mid-term cycle even beyond the usual for a governing party they can hardly take that for granted Then again we keep being told this, but recent polling mostly isn't that awful for the Dems I think? Summer polls are traditionally (every election in the last decade) very good for Dems compared to the actual November results
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 3, 2022 11:33:00 GMT
Then again we keep being told this, but recent polling mostly isn't that awful for the Dems I think? I haven’t seen much about huge signs of improvement but timmullen1 might be more in tune than me Keeping the senate looks a good possibility but the map was always more favourable there anyway There’s a smallish swing to the Democrats going on in both 538 and RealClearPolitics trackers; the House is remote in the extreme, but the Senate is do-able, both give the Dems a 57% chance of keeping control; John Fetterman is posting huge leads over Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, Maggie Hassan is becoming more favoured in New Hampshire, Mark Kelly will likely have firmed up in Arizona after the primary last night, polling isn’t supporting Republican confidence against Patty Murray in Washington and Murray’s on 54% with less than half the primary vote reported. Raphael Warnock remains a slight favourite in Georgia, mainly because Herschel Walker is a nightmare candidate, and Catherine Cortez Masto’s chances in Nevada probably remain the most iffy, turnout in the GOP primary significantly outpaced Democrats, but that’s apparently not unusual there. The Democrats are also looking reasonably good in Governor’s races - JB Pritzker is a near cert in Illinois, Gretchen Whitmer loo ks very strong in Michigan, Tony Evers and Josh Shapiro look slight favourites in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania respectively, and they should flip both Maryland and Massachusetts.
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Post by stb12 on Aug 3, 2022 12:07:17 GMT
I haven’t seen much about huge signs of improvement but timmullen1 might be more in tune than me Keeping the senate looks a good possibility but the map was always more favourable there anyway There’s a smallish swing to the Democrats going on in both 538 and RealClearPolitics trackers; the House is remote in the extreme, but the Senate is do-able, both give the Dems a 57% chance of keeping control; John Fetterman is posting huge leads over Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, Maggie Hassan is becoming more favoured in New Hampshire, Mark Kelly will likely have firmed up in Arizona after the primary last night, polling isn’t supporting Republican confidence against Patty Murray in Washington and Murray’s on 54% with less than half the primary vote reported. Raphael Warnock remains a slight favourite in Georgia, mainly because Herschel Walker is a nightmare candidate, and Catherine Cortez Masto’s chances in Nevada probably remain the most iffy, turnout in the GOP primary significantly outpaced Democrats, but that’s apparently not unusual there. The Democrats are also looking reasonably good in Governor’s races - JB Pritzker is a near cert in Illinois, Gretchen Whitmer loo ks very strong in Michigan, Tony Evers and Josh Shapiro look slight favourites in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania respectively, and they should flip both Maryland and Massachusetts. McConnell really didn’t seem to have much luck with Senate candidate recruitment in this cycle
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 3, 2022 12:09:48 GMT
There’s a smallish swing to the Democrats going on in both 538 and RealClearPolitics trackers; the House is remote in the extreme, but the Senate is do-able, both give the Dems a 57% chance of keeping control; John Fetterman is posting huge leads over Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, Maggie Hassan is becoming more favoured in New Hampshire, Mark Kelly will likely have firmed up in Arizona after the primary last night, polling isn’t supporting Republican confidence against Patty Murray in Washington and Murray’s on 54% with less than half the primary vote reported. Raphael Warnock remains a slight favourite in Georgia, mainly because Herschel Walker is a nightmare candidate, and Catherine Cortez Masto’s chances in Nevada probably remain the most iffy, turnout in the GOP primary significantly outpaced Democrats, but that’s apparently not unusual there. The Democrats are also looking reasonably good in Governor’s races - JB Pritzker is a near cert in Illinois, Gretchen Whitmer loo ks very strong in Michigan, Tony Evers and Josh Shapiro look slight favourites in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania respectively, and they should flip both Maryland and Massachusetts. McConnell really didn’t seem to have much luck with Senate candidate recruitment in this cycle No, Nevada’s probably his best outcome; and of course nobody dares talk about the Ann Seltzer Iowa poll that barely had Chuck Grassley outside the margin of error.
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 3, 2022 20:38:34 GMT
Indiana Representative Jackie Walorski (R) was one of four people killed in a road traffic accident this afternoon.
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Post by markgoodair on Aug 3, 2022 20:39:29 GMT
Indiana GOP Representative Jackie Walorski has been killed in a car crash.
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Toylyyev
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Post by Toylyyev on Aug 3, 2022 21:03:58 GMT
Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar has won the recount against Jessica Cisneros in Texas’ 28th District by 289 votes. And in the Alaska At-Large Special Election Independent/Democrat Al Gross, who finished third in the all party primary where the top four finishers progress to a ranked choice general election has withdrawn and won’t be replaced (so Santa Claus who finished a close fifth misses out). The race now realistically seems a head to head against Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich IV, the nephew of former Democratic Senator Mark Begich and grandson of former Democratic Congressman Nick Begich Sr. June 11 Alaska all party primary result REP Sarah Palin 43,601 27.01% REP Nick Begich III 30,861 19.12% NON Al Gross 20,392 12.63% DEM Mary Sattler Peltola 16,265 10.08% ------------------------------------- Other REP (14) 18,742 11.61% Other DEM (5) 11,538 7.15% Other NON (11) 9.865 6.11% UND (10) 8,367 5.18% (among which Claus, Santa: 7,625) LIB (2) 1,334 .83% AIP (1) 380 .24% (1) 83 .05% ------------------------------------- Valid Votes 161,428 27.49% Invalid Ballots 345 .06% Polling for the August 16 vote - single seat (Alaska at-large) ranked-choice vote Congressional Candidate Forum - 08.01.22 - kinyradio.com
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Aug 3, 2022 21:42:58 GMT
Jackie Walorski (R-IN) has died in a car crash. She was the GOP candidate for the second district in November having won the primary unopposed.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Aug 3, 2022 22:03:57 GMT
Jackie Walorski (R-IN) has died in a car crash. She was the GOP candidate for the second district in November having won the primary unopposed. Scroll up two posts 😉
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Aug 3, 2022 22:24:30 GMT
Jackie Walorski (R-IN) has died in a car crash. She was the GOP candidate for the second district in November having won the primary unopposed. Scroll up two posts 😉 Curses. I had the page open for something else, went off to eat and didn't refresh.
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