Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Sept 24, 2021 13:54:09 GMT
I assume he had some gaps when transferring or did he have favourable laws that meant he autovacated one office the second he took up another? There certainly won't have been a gap when he transferred from the House to the Senate. His third term in the House ended at midday on 3rd January 1981 and his first term in the Senate started at the same time. As for January 1975 when he left the Iowa House and joined the US House Wikipedia says he served in the Iowa House until 3rd January so presumably he timed his resignation for midday. However the Iowa legislature has an extensive online archive which claims Grassley retained his seat in the Iowa House until 12th January (9 days after becoming a member of the US House). archive.ph/20121213143203/https://www.legis.iowa.gov/Legislators/legislatorAllYears.aspx?PID=253This may be an error but it is legally possible. Dual mandates are banned in Iowa in most cases but there is an exception for the final 30 days of a term where the office holder did not seek re-election.
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Post by stb12 on Sept 24, 2021 14:08:59 GMT
He will 89 on election day but Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is running for re-election. Grassley was first elected to the Iowa House of Representatives in 1958 and so if he were to be re-elected and serve another full term he would have served 70 years* in public office (16 years Iowa House, 6 years US House, 48 years US Senate). * Strictly speaking he would be 9 days short as his as he didn't take office until January 12th 1959 and his potential 8th term in the US Senate would end 3rd January 2029. Looking at past results never seems to have had any trouble being re-elected even during more difficult GOP years so this presumably rules out any chance of a Democrat pick up here?
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Richard Allen
Banned
Four time loser in VUKPOTY finals
Posts: 19,052
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Post by Richard Allen on Sept 24, 2021 14:38:24 GMT
He will 89 on election day but Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is running for re-election. Grassley was first elected to the Iowa House of Representatives in 1958 and so if he were to be re-elected and serve another full term he would have served 70 years* in public office (16 years Iowa House, 6 years US House, 48 years US Senate). * Strictly speaking he would be 9 days short as his as he didn't take office until January 12th 1959 and his potential 8th term in the US Senate would end 3rd January 2029. Looking at past results never seems to have had any trouble being re-elected even during more difficult GOP years so this presumably rules out any chance of a Democrat pick up here? He used to be one of the most popular members of the Senate but in these polarised times has had to move to the right and has lost some of his crossover appeal. A poll in this spring also showed a clear majority preferring that he retire. However a poll last week gave him 16 point lead over former Rep Abby Finkenauer who is the Democratic frontrunner. Also given mid term dynamics and the current trends in Iowa I would say he is safe.
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Post by ibfc on Sept 24, 2021 14:39:47 GMT
He will 89 on election day but Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is running for re-election. Grassley was first elected to the Iowa House of Representatives in 1958 and so if he were to be re-elected and serve another full term he would have served 70 years* in public office (16 years Iowa House, 6 years US House, 48 years US Senate). * Strictly speaking he would be 9 days short as his as he didn't take office until January 12th 1959 and his potential 8th term in the US Senate would end 3rd January 2029. Looking at past results never seems to have had any trouble being re-elected even during more difficult GOP years so this presumably rules out any chance of a Democrat pick up here? A Democratic pick up here against Grassley given the direction Iowa has travelled in since 2016 would mean a Democratic landslide nationwide.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Sept 24, 2021 15:32:33 GMT
Looking at past results never seems to have had any trouble being re-elected even during more difficult GOP years so this presumably rules out any chance of a Democrat pick up here? He used to be one of the most popular members of the Senate but in these polarised times has had to move to the right and has lost some of his crossover appeal. A poll in this spring also showed a clear majority preferring that he retire. However a poll last week gave him 16 point lead over former Rep Abby Finkenauer who is the Democratic frontrunner. Also given mid term dynamics and the current trends in Iowa I would say he is safe. Is he Trump-y enough to avoid a primary from the right - has Steve King gone away, would Feenstra or Miller-Meeks be tempted into a challenge? I seem to recall Grassley was one of the earliest Republicans to acknowledge Biden’s win.
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Post by ibfc on Sept 24, 2021 16:16:48 GMT
He used to be one of the most popular members of the Senate but in these polarised times has had to move to the right and has lost some of his crossover appeal. A poll in this spring also showed a clear majority preferring that he retire. However a poll last week gave him 16 point lead over former Rep Abby Finkenauer who is the Democratic frontrunner. Also given mid term dynamics and the current trends in Iowa I would say he is safe. Is he Trump-y enough to avoid a primary from the right - has Steve King gone away, would Feenstra or Miller-Meeks be tempted into a challenge? I seem to recall Grassley was one of the earliest Republicans to acknowledge Biden’s win. Chances of him facing a significant primary threat are negligible.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 24, 2021 17:08:51 GMT
Looking at past results never seems to have had any trouble being re-elected even during more difficult GOP years so this presumably rules out any chance of a Democrat pick up here? He used to be one of the most popular members of the Senate but in these polarised times has had to move to the right and has lost some of his crossover appeal. A poll in this spring also showed a clear majority preferring that he retire. However a poll last week gave him 16 point lead over former Rep Abby Finkenauer who is the Democratic frontrunner. Also given mid term dynamics and the current trends in Iowa I would say he is safe. All of which would mean Grassley could be in Iowa politics for almost 40% of the state's existence.
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Post by John Chanin on Sept 24, 2021 17:40:25 GMT
Gerontocracy rules
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 25, 2021 11:47:46 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 26, 2021 7:24:12 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 26, 2021 9:34:03 GMT
I thought they were against that sort of thing?
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Post by rcronald on Sept 26, 2021 11:54:41 GMT
I thought they were against that sort of thing? I think the GOP is against Mail ballot early voting and not in-person.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 14,540
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Post by john07 on Sept 27, 2021 17:34:57 GMT
I thought they were against that sort of thing? I think the GOP is against Mail ballot early voting and not in-person. I think the GOP are against anything which makes voting easier, particularly in areas and from demographs that trend against them. Voter supression is the whole idea.
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Post by rcronald on Sept 27, 2021 17:39:05 GMT
I think the GOP is against Mail ballot early voting and not in-person. I think the GOP are against anything which makes voting easier, particularly in areas and from demographs that trend against them. Voter supression is the whole idea. I am personally against early voting not because it increases turnout among populations that are against the right (in many countries it would probably help us) but because I believe people should only vote once the campaign is over. 🙂
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Post by seanryanj on Sept 27, 2021 19:16:31 GMT
I think the GOP are against anything which makes voting easier, particularly in areas and from demographs that trend against them. Voter supression is the whole idea. I am personally against early voting not because it increases turnout among populations that are against the right (in many countries it would probably help us) but because I believe people should only vote once the campaign is over. 🙂 I would agree. What is the point of having a campaign or debates etc if people will vote beforehand
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Sept 27, 2021 19:38:52 GMT
I thought they were against that sort of thing? I think the GOP is against Mail ballot early voting and not in-person. In areas where they lose they’re against all kinds of early voting - a number of GOP legislatures have attempted to reduce the period available for in person early voting, or to reduce the places at which you can vote early, in an attempt to suppress Democratic turnout.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 29, 2021 8:51:32 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Sept 29, 2021 13:29:17 GMT
I really don’t understand why he endorses candidates in so many open races, it is getting to the point of being ridiculous…
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Post by stb12 on Sept 29, 2021 14:11:42 GMT
I really don’t understand why he endorses candidates in so many open races, it is getting to the point of being ridiculous… The narcissism that his endorsement is some god like choice
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 30, 2021 20:00:56 GMT
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