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Post by curiousliberal on Jul 10, 2020 14:26:05 GMT
The NYC Board of Elections has said that will not be releasing updated vote tallies until they certify the results of the election, but Mondaire Jones in NY-17 has claimed that, based on said absentee ballots, his lead is now insurmountable (if every remaining uncounted absentee ballot went to his closest opponent, he'd still win).
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johng
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Post by johng on Jul 10, 2020 14:31:47 GMT
Paging BossMan Could we have a poll on whether to change the name of the 'US presidential election 2020' board to 'US elections 2020' board? The presidential polls at the top of each thread are fine, but state threads are convenient places to discuss non-presidential, in-state contests that often get overlooked or split between those threads and this one. +1 Definitely a good idea.
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WJ
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Post by WJ on Jul 10, 2020 19:56:53 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 10, 2020 21:51:57 GMT
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MacShimidh
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Post by MacShimidh on Jul 10, 2020 22:14:29 GMT
Most of those seem reasonable, although AZ is well past Tilt-D by now. McSally has been a goner for a while. Similarly, SC and TX are probably safer than some of the hype would suggest.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 11, 2020 16:19:12 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 11, 2020 22:06:02 GMT
Of course if he was a paid Director he would have had to resign prior to taking the Oath as a Senator anyway, so he might as well try and get some political capital out of it. As for Loeffler she hasn’t actually done anything about the WNBA’s support of BLM other than have a press release tantrum. Her team are still intending to fulfill their fixtures, and I think it’s a safe bet to assume the players will be taking a very publicly different position to her. However it’ll be fairly immaterial if she loses the primary run off to Doug Collins which most seem to think she will.
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Jul 13, 2020 14:12:24 GMT
NE02 GE: Kara Eastman (D) 50% (+1) Don Bacon (R-inc) 49%
Biden 51% (+7) Trump 44%
@gqrresearch/@karaforcongress Internal Poll 6/30-7/5
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Jul 13, 2020 18:15:19 GMT
Roy Moore and Steve King endorse Jeff Sessions in the Alabama runoff.. two endorsements he would be better off without..
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2020 10:43:52 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 14, 2020 11:31:35 GMT
There’s no progressive challenger in the Senate that can match Schumer’s largesse to election campaigns, and he’s certainly safe a) if Elizabeth Warren, the only one in the same fundraising league becomes Biden’s VP nominee, and b) the Democrats take control of the Senate in November when, like Pelosi after the 2018 midterms, he becomes untouchable. I’d say it’s more a case of Schumer’s political antennae realising the mood of the country’s switched, and it’ll also deny Trump some of his vanity projects.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 14, 2020 12:31:23 GMT
There’s no progressive challenger in the Senate that can match Schumer’s largesse to election campaigns, and he’s certainly safe a) if Elizabeth Warren, the only one in the same fundraising league becomes Biden’s VP nominee, and b) the Democrats take control of the Senate in November when, like Pelosi after the 2018 midterms, he becomes untouchable. I’d say it’s more a case of Schumer’s political antennae realising the mood of the country’s switched, and it’ll also deny Trump some of his vanity projects. Pre-empting a 2022 primary opponent I mean. Back to 2020, I wouldn't have though Elizabeth Warren has a shot at VP because of e.g. Klobuchar's comments about Biden having a VP who is a POC, and the need to increase African American turnout from last time Looking at the VP selection, how much will Clyburn's backing matter if it goes to say, Susan Rice?
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 14, 2020 12:47:06 GMT
There’s no progressive challenger in the Senate that can match Schumer’s largesse to election campaigns, and he’s certainly safe a) if Elizabeth Warren, the only one in the same fundraising league becomes Biden’s VP nominee, and b) the Democrats take control of the Senate in November when, like Pelosi after the 2018 midterms, he becomes untouchable. I’d say it’s more a case of Schumer’s political antennae realising the mood of the country’s switched, and it’ll also deny Trump some of his vanity projects. Pre-empting a 2022 primary opponent I mean. Back to 2020, I wouldn't have though Elizabeth Warren has a shot at VP because of e.g. Klobuchar's comments about Biden having a VP who is a POC, and the need to increase African American turnout from last time Looking at the VP selection, how much will Clyburn's backing matter if it goes to say, Susan Rice? I think Klobuchar’s comment was somewhat diplomatic given the circumstances surrounding her withdrawal. A lot of me thinks he will plump for Warren, except her age raises the same questions about her being a two term president from 2025. I’m not sure Clyburn’s backing is important in that he doesn’t particularly shift votes outside South Carolina, hence his importance in their primary. Arguably John Lewis is the leader of that generation of African American lawmakers as he has a direct link to Dr King.
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Post by mrhell on Jul 15, 2020 0:57:13 GMT
Roy Moore and Steve King endorse Jeff Sessions in the Alabama runoff.. two endorsements he would be better off without..
Looks like he's lost.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 15, 2020 2:17:00 GMT
Roy Moore and Steve King endorse Jeff Sessions in the Alabama runoff.. two endorsements he would be better off without..
Looks like he's lost.
Sessions in his concession speech confirms it’s his last bid for elected office. He also predicts Trump will be re-elected. In other news, Sara Gideon has unsurprisingly easily won the Democratic Senate primary in Maine and will be in one of the most watched match-ups against Susan Collins. And, ooops: www.rollcall.com/2020/07/14/kansas-gop-rep-steve-watkins-charged-with-voter-fraud/
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Post by Deleted on Jul 15, 2020 8:25:24 GMT
In the primary for District Attorney in Travis County, Texas, Jose Garza, endorsed by Sanders and Warren, has ousted incumbent Margaret Moore.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 15, 2020 8:39:10 GMT
Former White House physician, and briefly nominee for Secretary of Veteran’s Affairs, Ronny Jackson has won the Republican nomination in Texas’ 13th District, on paper solid Republican but a large Hispanic vote and Jackson ran very poorly in those areas compared to his opponent.
One Sessions who did prevail, former Congressman Pete Sessions, who lost his seat in 2018, has switched Districts and will look to defend the slightly swingy 17th District, defeating the candidate endorsed by Bill Flores the retiring incumbent.
The 23rd District remains uncalled; with 100% of precincts reporting in a battle of veterans Trump endorsed Navy cryptologist Tony Hernandez leads Ted Cruz endorsed retired Air Force pilot Raul Reyes by a mere seven votes.
And the Democrats got their favoured choice to face John Cornyn in the Senate race, with veteran MJ Hegar defeating State Representative Royce West.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 15, 2020 8:48:40 GMT
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CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jul 15, 2020 9:51:03 GMT
Quite baffled by the decision to back Tuberville; he won't get away with not attending election events - even socially-distanced ones - in the general election campaign; he'll not be able to refuse to attend debates as he did in the primary. If he does, in the highly-charged election atmosphere, his tough-guy image will be tarnished. I totally understand the argument that he managed to win the primary by refusing to expose himself to tough debating, as well as the argument that he is a normal man who isn't going to let clever professional members of 'the swamp' set the rules. I also acknowledge that this is a general election, not a special election, so turnout in a heavily Republican state will be far higher. However, Doug Jones will be delighted that the Republicans have nominated the candidate far less likely to appeal those electors who lent him votes (or stayed at home) during the Special Election. If the Tuberville campaign tries to dodge debates, you can imagine the ads calling him yellow-bellied, etc., undermining his strong-man image. Doug Jones has a lot more money on hand - I don't have the 2nd quarter figures, but he had over $8 million at the end of March. I don't imagine for a minute that Doug Jones is going to hold his seat, but a lot of college-educated Republicans, a lot of suburban women, are not going to be too impressed with a vacillating candidate against a much smarter campaign from the sitting Democrat. I see a much closer election result than one would have expected if Jeff Sessions had not headed to the WH. Mr. Sessions forgot the basic rule: He who sups with the devil, should have a long spoon.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jul 15, 2020 9:51:11 GMT
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