Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 24, 2022 18:48:32 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 5, 2022 13:04:55 GMT
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 5, 2022 13:05:11 GMT
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 6, 2022 18:01:56 GMT
He's getting recalled. With the vast majority of the day vote in and all but one postal precinct still out we're at 98k votes to recall and 6k to retain. No way they're not getting to the necessary 152k. That the postal vote is still entirely out is a clue in itself - more votes per precinct on average.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 6, 2022 18:39:24 GMT
The first Stadtteil to be fully in is Zeilsheim, not a high turnout area. 2396 votes to recall, 80 above quorum.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 6, 2022 18:47:25 GMT
Officially gone.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 6, 2022 20:17:41 GMT
Surprisingly he did not best in his party's strongHolds, rather the contrary - vide the maps of minionofmidas for the BundesTag-election 2021: Let alone TheGreens, cf. CityCouncil 2021:
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 6, 2022 20:29:34 GMT
In Heidelberg the Ind.-incumbent endorsed by CDU&FDP&WG&localList is on his way to win the runOff: To overcome this TheGreens would need an unpopular CDU&FDP-government in Berlin to stop him.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 6, 2022 21:55:12 GMT
Surprisingly he did not best in his party's strongHolds, rather the contrary - vide the maps of minionofmidas for the BundesTag-election 2021: Let alone TheGreens, cf. CityCouncil 2021: Is that first map a straight turnout map or yes (to recall) votes as a share of reg'd voters? Anyhow, it does not matter: light areas are correlated with dark colors on the SPD map. Though that's largely because both maps are correlated with turnout maps of 'normal' elections. Most people who didn't vote yes did so because they don't vote in local elections, not because they wanted to keep Feldmann. This was an essentially unanimous vote, as befits a joint CDU-SPD-Green-FDP-Volt(-SGE) recall campaign.
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Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,230
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Post by Georg Ebner on Nov 7, 2022 0:52:56 GMT
Surprisingly he did not best in his party's strongHolds, rather the contrary - vide the maps of minionofmidas for the BundesTag-election 2021: Let alone TheGreens, cf. CityCouncil 2021: Is that first map a straight turnout map or yes (to recall) votes as a share of reg'd voters? Anyhow, it does not matter: light areas are correlated with dark colors on the SPD map. Though that's largely because both maps are correlated with turnout maps of 'normal' elections. Most people who didn't vote yes did so because they don't vote in local elections, not because they wanted to keep Feldmann. This was an essentially unanimous vote, as befits a joint CDU-SPD-Green-FDP-Volt(-SGE) recall campaign. Yes-%. Ah - informative, thanks.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 7, 2022 6:10:25 GMT
Left: yes vote as share of electorate, two red shades equal quorum not met, two pale shades equal quorum met but below city average Right: no vote as share of electorate because why not
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,531
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 7, 2022 12:38:22 GMT
What groups might be prominent in the 5% or so who voted *not* to recall?
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 7, 2022 13:35:17 GMT
What groups might be prominent in the 5% or so who voted *not* to recall? in ascending order of credence you should give: based on what you might see on local media: Left/Partei/Ökolinx and AfD. Although all these merely voted against holding this recall vote in the hope of scoring cheap points against the grand Volt-to-CDU cooperation. Only the PARTEI actually campaigned for abstention, and poked fun at Feldmann in the process. ("the mayor this city deserves" with a picture of Feldmann wild-eyed looking like he's on drugs) based on my own anecdata (one confirmed no, one undecided-but-I-always-vote ten days out) people from the nonfash, newagey end of the covid denialism / antivaxx / antilockdown crowd with no strong ties to any person. Who were maybe informed enough to smell a rat regarding the establishment decision to get rid of him, but not enough to figure out it was a reasonable call anyways. based on the results: very old core SPD voters. With a smattering of people who've known Feldmann for decades.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 14, 2022 11:04:10 GMT
There was a mayoral election in Rostock.
Hilariously scattered result - and a remarkably strong performance from the (genuinely) deeply disarrayed Left Party. Though technically independent, Ebert was actually the joint candidate of CDU, FDP and a localist party. As was his predecessor. Who resigned after half a term, to become a state minister in Schleswig-Holstein. All without ever obtaining German citizenship - he's Danish and has been living in Germany for thirty years.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 16, 2022 16:35:56 GMT
The Berlin Land election of 2021 to be re-run by court order. It was apparently a bit of a shambles. It has to be held within 90 days is the latest news I've seen.
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Post by minionofmidas on Nov 16, 2022 17:27:05 GMT
The Berlin Land election of 2021 to be re-run by court order. It was apparently a bit of a shambles. It has to be held within 90 days is the latest news I've seen. yup. Although 'a bit of a' is an understatement. Technically there's two options - they can either rerun the election by february, which would mean the newly elected chamber only serves for the remaining 3 1/2 years of the term, or dissolve the chamber and have fresh elections for a 5 year term 8 weeks and spare change after the date of the dissolution. The chaos also affected the federal elections held on the same day, where the plan is a rerun in the affected polling stations (something like 15% of Berlin or something...), but the last word has not been spoken.
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Post by johnloony on Nov 16, 2022 21:58:11 GMT
The Berlin Land election of 2021 to be re-run by court order. It was apparently a bit of a shambles. It has to be held within 90 days is the latest news I've seen. What are the details of the “shambles”?
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 17, 2022 12:02:57 GMT
The Berlin Land election of 2021 to be re-run by court order. It was apparently a bit of a shambles. It has to be held within 90 days is the latest news I've seen. What are the details of the “shambles”? Various aspects. People turned away due to excessive queues, a shortage of ballot papers, issuing people the wrong ballot papers, lack of staff to man polling stations, allowing a marathon on the same day which led to people struggling to get around... This was also the same day as the federal election and a local referendum.
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Post by markgoodair on Nov 17, 2022 12:22:11 GMT
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Nov 17, 2022 19:42:06 GMT
Wonder if the expropriation referendum will be run again as well? Given that several of Germany's biggest companies were the target, you'd imagine that they are taking advice.
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