Austrian nonFederal Elections

[Georg Ebner]

CityCouncil (22.Donaustadt being once again not final):
Votes:

PerCentages (per valid votes):

PerCentages (per elegible votes):

[Georg Ebner]

CityCouncil, changes 2015-2020:

Votes:


PerCentages (per eligible voters):

[Georg Ebner]

CityCouncil, first place:

[Georg Ebner]

As mentioned earlier the Right received its worst result since "forever" (=1919):



Of course, it's not possible to be entirely fair: The Liberals after 1919 were labelled as "right" by me, as they stood in the antiAustroMarxistic-camp; ÖVP included (especially around 1980) protoGreeny left-"catholics" aso.

[Sibboleth]

[Georg Ebner]

Vienna, CityCouncil: % compared to 2015 (=100%), measured at...
... eligible votes:

... valid votes:

[Sibboleth]

[Georg Ebner]

Apropos maps: This time no precinct-maps (apart from the one posted earlier) were published as far as i know - what is caused by the fact, that the 40% PostalVotes were counted only per district and maps relying on only 60% would quite inevitably give false ImPressions.

[Georg Ebner]

On SunDay St.Pölten, the 60.000-capital of LowerAustria, will have its election (followed in March by LocalElections in Carinthia and in September by regional&local ones in UpperAustria). Here a historical OverView:



The only OpinionPoll (conducted by P.Hajek [n=500]) didn't detect an EarthQuake:

[Georg Ebner]

St.Pölten's DeViations (Austria = 100%) in federal elections, measured at

- only valid votes:



- all eligible votes:

[Georg Ebner]

No numbers from St.Pölten so far due to many postal votes.
Only, that TurnOut seems to have dropped a little bit to ~60%.

[Georg Ebner]

The result will be declared soonly.
Rumour of heavy losses for FPÖ, small ones for SPÖ; and strong gains for the Greens, weak ones for ÖVP. NEOS is in the parliament, KPÖ not.

[Georg Ebner]

Preliminary result:

56.0% -7.7% Participation

56.0% -3.0% SPÖ
22.7% +2.5% ÖVP
08.9% -5.8% FPÖ
08.0% +5.3% Greens
03.2% +1.6% NEOS
01.2% no c. KPÖ

[Georg Ebner]

Styria's farmer elected their council. Unsurprisingly FPÖ lost strongly from its fairly excellent result in 2016 (shortly after the MassImmigration in summer 2015), but it's difficult to make too many conclusions with a particiaption not higher than 30%.

[Georg Ebner]

The city of Graz was polled twice last week:

IFAT (a rather unknown pollster; has conducted polls for ÖVP):



OGM:



More credible is the poll of OGM.

[Georg Ebner]

Carinthia will have local elections tomorrow.
Last time FPÖ and ÖVP performed fairly well (especially as the election took place in spring 2015, so before the MassImmigration in summer):

...although, of course, most Carinthians have nevertheless been governed by a SPÖ-mayor:

This being a relict of the preHaider-era: The direct election of mayors was introduced ~30 years ago, when SPÖ was still not far below 50% and thus held most incumbents. (But amazingly J.Haider was probably honest, when claiming, that not few of these SPÖ-mayors voted tacitly for him in regional&federal elections...)

[Georg Ebner]

Apropos federal elections - these are the DeViations of the parties from austrian average in C. and its districts (measured at all eligible votes):


Obviously ÖVP is these days not far below average there, but SPÖ received in 2019 its highest OverPerformance since 1945. At costs of Greens&Neos, which have been always weak there; but also because the FPÖ has (contrary to the postWar&Haider-times) not been any longer so much stronger.

[Georg Ebner]

The region's geography is very simple: An inneralpine basin ("Kärntner Becken"), at its fringes the FringeDistricts' capitals, the western part being a not unimportant traffic-junction (Italy-Vienna, Germany-Balkans): Villach (~60.000); and the east the region's capital Klagenfurt (~100.000).


Both have been polled:


...and also Spittal (15.000), whose exSPÖ-mayor Köfer (rumoured as one of those tacit Haider-voters) defected to Stronach, had an affair with the wife of another T.Stronach-MP, what let the LandTag-faction collapse, and is nowadays sitting there for his own "party" (TeamKärnten/TK):

[Georg Ebner]

In Klagenfurt TeamKärnten is so surprisingly strong, because Scheider, who was elected mayor in the wake of J.Haider's death 2009 (2015 deselected by a SPÖ-woman), will be their mayor-candidate. His political curriculum vitae being: FPÖ, BZÖ, FPK, FPÖ, TK...

[Georg Ebner]

So far 17 rural&remote municipality-councils (of totally 132) are counted (only regular votes, PostalVotes will follow tomorrow).

-2.0% FPÖ
+1.5% SPÖ
+0.5% ÖVP
-1.0% Greens
+1.0% others