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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 1, 2017 19:46:27 GMT
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Post by gwynthegriff on Nov 2, 2017 14:18:24 GMT
Had a slightly sad/nostalgic moment when I looked at this preview and thought "I reckon Mark Senior could predict LD gains in all of those except Egremont." stop talking down Egremont edit: Actually when I was last in Egremont I was thinking this is just the nice sort of place that really ought to be Lib Dem... sometimes its just a matter of having a few activists to get something started, and maybe it just hasn't happened. I have to confess chances in this by-election are not enhanced by the little matter of not fielding a candidate. Haven't yet finalised my predictions for this week but at first draft I really fancy both Braunton and Dukes but think the two Beaconsfield seats are probably beyond us, ditto Aldwick. Now you're talking the party down!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 18:50:32 GMT
Aldwick West - CON hold Beaconsfield North - CON hold Braunton East - LD gain from CON Egremont South - LAB hold Duke's - LD gain from CON
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 18:51:57 GMT
The Arun and Copeland contests look very interesting. Hopefully we'll hold on in Sussex whilst building on our election successes in Cumbria. The Arun one will be interesting. Labour have been doing very well in West Sussex at UKIP's expense in recent local by-elections and in the GE.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 19:20:14 GMT
Con Est seems on the money i think.
Imo Whitehaven part of Copeland tends to fair better for Labour
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Post by samdwebber on Nov 2, 2017 21:41:06 GMT
Aldwick West - CON hold Beaconsfield North - CON hold Braunton East - LD gain from CON Egremont South - LAB hold Duke's - LD gain from CON Feel free to read this prediction article I have compiled with a colleague and retweet & comment too!
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Nov 2, 2017 22:41:59 GMT
Aldwick West, Arun turnout 26.28%
Should be 1335 votes.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 2, 2017 22:45:16 GMT
Turnout in Dukes ward 28.47%.
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 2, 2017 22:49:07 GMT
Turnout in Dukes ward 28.47%. Around 2,950 votes
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 2, 2017 23:12:06 GMT
COPELAND Egremont South
Tom Higgins (Labour) 354 Jeff Hailes (Conservative) 321
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 23:17:45 GMT
COPELAND Egremont South Tom Higgins (Labour) 354 Jeff Hailes (Conservative) 321 Good result really.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 23:18:27 GMT
Thats a low turnout
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 2, 2017 23:19:46 GMT
ARUN Aldwick West
Martin Smith (Liberal Democrat) 719 Guy Purser (Conservative) 480 Ian Manion (Labour) 112 Carol Birch (Green Party) 54
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 23:21:43 GMT
That looks a significant swing in Arun there
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Post by andrew111 on Nov 2, 2017 23:26:03 GMT
ARUN Aldwick West Martin Smith (Liberal Democrat) 719 Guy Purser (Conservative) 480 Ian Manion (Labour) 112 Carol Birch (Green Party) 54 Lib Dems beat "big two" combined 53% to 43%!!
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Post by Adam in Stroud on Nov 2, 2017 23:28:57 GMT
ARUN Aldwick West Martin Smith (Liberal Democrat) 719 Guy Purser (Conservative) 480 Ian Manion (Labour) 112 Carol Birch (Green Party) 54 Lib Dems beat "big two" combined 53% to 43%!! A mixed couple of results for jigger so far.
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iain
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Post by iain on Nov 2, 2017 23:30:03 GMT
ARUN Aldwick West Martin Smith (Liberal Democrat) 719 Guy Purser (Conservative) 480 Ian Manion (Labour) 112 Carol Birch (Green Party) 54 LD - 52.7% (+34.2%) Con - 35.2% (-16.7%) Lab - 8.2% (+8.2%) Grn - 4.0% (+4.0%)
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 2, 2017 23:30:14 GMT
Liberal Democrat GAIN Duke's (Sefton) from Conservative.
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Post by andrew111 on Nov 2, 2017 23:30:51 GMT
Lib Dems beat "big two" combined 53% to 43%!! A mixed couple of results for jigger so far. Yes, 100% in Egremont was certainly unexpected!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2017 23:30:54 GMT
Good night for lib dems bad night forvthe Tories
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