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Post by hullenedge on Jun 19, 2018 9:59:14 GMT
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,453 
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Post by iain on Jun 19, 2018 10:48:02 GMT
Quite interesting stuff. Interesting to see that a majority of voters in Great Britain, Northern Ireland and the Republic think that the threat of a hard border is being overblown by politicians. If it came down to it, I have a hard time seeing Alliance voters voting for Irish unification. |
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Post by lancastrian on Jun 19, 2018 21:35:26 GMT
Quite interesting stuff. Interesting to see that a majority of voters in Great Britain, Northern Ireland and the Republic think that the threat of a hard border is being overblown by politicians. If it came down to it, I have a hard time seeing Alliance voters voting for Irish unification. Not sure about the Alliance voters. Is there any reliable research into who actually votes Alliance? I would guess they are more likely to care about the EU and in many areas they are the main alternative to Unionism so I would guess attract a lot of voters who would vote to join the Republic. |
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 7,069
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Post by jamie on Jun 19, 2018 22:29:19 GMT
Not sure about the Alliance voters. Is there any reliable research into who actually votes Alliance? I would guess they are more likely to care about the EU and in many areas they are the main alternative to Unionism so I would guess attract a lot of voters who would vote to join the Republic. Alliance voters are overwhelmingly of Protestant/unionist background and concentrated in Greater Belfast. They are generally soft unionists. They would overwhelmingly vote to stay in normal circumstances but at least at present many will be a lot more jittery with us leaving the EU which is part of the reason for some recent polls showing a close result in a hypothetical reunification referendum. If we end up with a 'good deal' then the status quo should return. |
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Post by curiousliberal on May 27, 2019 18:40:56 GMT
An Ashcroft poll has appeared, apparently sampled since the Euro-elections, for Westminster voting intentions. Quite exciting : LAB-S&D: 21% (-20) CON-ECR: 18% (-26) BREX-EFDD: 18% (+18) LDEM-ALDE: 17% (+10) GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+5) ChUK-ALDE: 4% (+4) UKIP-ENF: 3% (+1) Yes, but the tables indicate people who didn't vote in the European elections weren't sampled in subsequent questions (i.e. the ones which generated these figures). |
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on May 27, 2019 23:26:30 GMT
An Ashcroft poll has appeared, apparently sampled since the Euro-elections, for Westminster voting intentions. Quite exciting : LAB-S&D: 21% (-20) CON-ECR: 18% (-26) BREX-EFDD: 18% (+18) LDEM-ALDE: 17% (+10) GREENS-G/EFA: 7% (+5) ChUK-ALDE: 4% (+4) UKIP-ENF: 3% (+1) Yes, but the tables indicate people who didn't vote in the European elections weren't sampled in subsequent questions (i.e. the ones which generated these figures). Looking at the flow chart, it appears that's the case:  I imagine that both Labour and the Conservatives would get a boost from these numbers as a result of a higher turnout. |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on May 28, 2019 10:54:46 GMT
Same poll: 52% leave/ 48% remain.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
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Post by The Bishop on May 28, 2019 11:05:19 GMT
Same poll: 52% leave/ 48% remain. B-but.....I thought the big "take" from these elections was that there was now a "clear pro-remain majority"??  |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on May 28, 2019 11:16:45 GMT
It wasn't a binary leave/remain poll. It was remain at 46% and then with DK's added (48%). However the leave options were a presented menu (i.e Crash out/ no deal etc) and then totted up together.
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Vibe
Non-Aligned
Posts: 931
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Post by Vibe on May 28, 2019 13:52:27 GMT
It wasn't a binary leave/remain poll. It was remain at 46% and then with DK's added (48%). However the leave options were a presented menu (i.e Crash out/ no deal etc) and then totted up together. And what did the Leavers want in the poll? |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Post by cogload on May 28, 2019 13:57:15 GMT
It wasn't a binary leave/remain poll. It was remain at 46% and then with DK's added (48%). However the leave options were a presented menu (i.e Crash out/ no deal etc) and then totted up together. And what did the Leavers want in the poll? All sorts including one option (May's deal) which is somewhat of a distant memory. |
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Vibe
Non-Aligned
Posts: 931
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Post by Vibe on May 28, 2019 14:11:03 GMT
And what did the Leavers want in the poll? All sorts including one option (May's deal) which is somewhat of a distant memory. Found it. 67% of BP voters want no-deal. 55% of Leavers want No-Deal. I make that 28.6 overall. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2019 10:12:41 GMT
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Post by polaris on Jul 8, 2019 14:58:39 GMT
Interesting diagram - we don't see much graphical representation of political data in this country.
It does show that Johnson's appeal to the wider public is potentially quite limited (unlike his appeal to elderly and reactionary Tory members). And I suspect that the voters to whom he appeals most - hardcore Brexiteers, Trump fans etc. - will end up voting for Farage anyway, as he is a more consistent advocate of that style of politics.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jul 11, 2019 9:10:41 GMT
Not a poll this time, but an opinion piece. Lord Ashcroft ponders who the next Conservative leader should be and, slightly surprisingly, plumps for Jeremy Hunt. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 29, 2019 11:01:04 GMT
/photo/1
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 26, 2019 17:51:18 GMT
Worth noting the uptick for Labour and Corbyn amongst 2017 Lab leavers and Lib Dems
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 26, 2019 18:07:54 GMT
Ashcroft's polls are all too complicated for me. I don't have the spare time to spend on them!
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 26, 2019 19:06:25 GMT
Well, they may be too complicated for Another Place, but I think there's some interesting stuff in the detailed analysis ...  When I was taking polls myself, I tended to believe that the headline voting intention was often the least useful and informative question and result. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Dec 15, 2019 16:24:58 GMT
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