Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 23, 2017 8:30:05 GMT
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Apr 25, 2017 7:12:23 GMT
Although in line with recent polls, I asked them to send me the tables (in line with BPC rules) and so far have not had any reply. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2017 17:47:11 GMT
Although in line with recent polls, I asked them to send me the tables (in line with BPC rules) and so far have not had any reply. I'm not sure if they're even a member of the BPC. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 4, 2017 9:35:05 GMT
Only their second poll of the campaign just out - Con 39 Lab 35 LibDem 8 UKIP 6.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 4, 2017 9:48:33 GMT
They are the second best pollster in Denmark (house pollster for politics site Altinget), but often the quality of national branches within the same polling company varies.
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Norstat
Jun 7, 2024 16:36:52 GMT
via mobile
Post by hullenedge on Jun 7, 2024 16:36:52 GMT
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,665
Member is Online
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Post by andrewp on Jun 12, 2024 17:08:03 GMT
LAB: 41% (-4)
CON: 21% (-1)
RFM: 17% (+3)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 6% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @norstatukpolls, 10-12 Jun.
Changes w/ 4-5 Jun.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,144
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Norstat
Jun 15, 2024 18:29:18 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Jun 15, 2024 18:29:18 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,067
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 15, 2024 21:42:36 GMT
<cough> Scottish polls page <cough>
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 19, 2024 18:23:55 GMT
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Post by observer on Jun 19, 2024 18:39:02 GMT
This election won't be a landslide in public opinion... although the seat numbers will make it appear otherwise.
We'll almost certainly have a government from a party with less than 40% of the vote.
There is no enthusiasm or trust
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Post by matureleft on Jun 19, 2024 18:53:51 GMT
This election won't be a landslide in public opinion... although the seat numbers will make it appear otherwise. We'll almost certainly have a government from a party with less than 40% of the vote. There is no enthusiasm or trust Sadly the last sentence has applied to most of the election results in this century. I have long advocated a reformed voting system with much stronger proportionality. Even though it looks as if my party will be the (huge) beneficiary this time I still want that. Locking large parts of the electorate either into backing parties that they don’t really support or having no, or virtually no, representation in parliament for their opinions is dangerous in the long term. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jun 26, 2024 15:57:09 GMT
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 3, 2024 21:28:48 GMT
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Post by islington on Jul 3, 2024 21:42:02 GMT
After a campaign in which the polls have varied quite a lot in terms of voting intention, we do seem to have arrived at a consensus: Labour definitely high thirties (rather than in the forties as at the beginning of the campaign) Tories low twenties (rather than around or even below twenty as they were at one stage) Reform about 16 Lib Dems 11 or 12 with no sign of movement from that point. Greens 6 or 7 The fact that the polls are moving into line with each other does not, of course, necessarily make them right. |
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Post by johnloony on Jul 3, 2024 23:20:02 GMT
After a campaign in which the polls have varied quite a lot in terms of voting intention, we do seem to have arrived at a consensus: Labour definitely high thirties (rather than in the forties as at the beginning of the campaign) Tories low twenties (rather than around or even below twenty as they were at one stage) Reform about 16 Lib Dems 11 or 12 with no sign of movement from that point. Greens 6 or 7 The fact that the polls are moving into line with each other does not, of course, necessarily make them right. I'm not sure who you think "we" is. Conservative could be on anything between c.18% and c.29%. Labour could be anywhere between c.34% and c.43%. Lib Dem could be anywhere between c.8% and c.17%. Reform could be anywhere between c.8% and c.20%. Swings will be more variable and squangulous than usual. Turnout will be low (I think) and variable. All of which means that the seats for each party could be in a wide range. It is a non-negligible possibility that Labour might not even get a majority. |
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Post by hullenedge on Jul 5, 2024 18:40:23 GMT
The leading pollster. No surprise which one came away with the wooden spoon.
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