I think this will be a Conservative gain. Majority only 6500, but 9000 UKIP votes to squeeze. Labour will be leaking directly to the Tories too. Only 2000 Lib Dem and Green votes Labour can try to win over.
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 5, 2017 20:13:02 GMT
This is one of the few longer odds bets for a Tory gain I placed early in the campaign. I don't expect that to pay off but the odds seemed quite generous at the time compared to other Labour seats with comparable majorities