Sheffield Hallam Jun 7, 2017 7:02:57 GMT
Post by YL on Jun 7, 2017 7:02:57 GMT
Regardless of exactly where it is in the rich list, no it is not a three way marginal. The local Tory party is moribund -- their Council election results are humiliating and I haven't had any literature from them at all in the campaign -- and while it is very middle class a lot of it is the sort of urban middle class that does not vote Tory any more, and is in particular not likely to vote for Theresa May's authoritarian Brexit Tory party. You yourself mentioned the importance of the university vote.
The Tories may get into the 20s, but to have a chance of winning they need to be well into the 30s, and they haven't been that high since 1992.