Colville is one of those MPs who is eminently forgettable- so much so that I forgot to put him in the forgettable MPs thread*- and the Labour candidate has been pushing hard (I find him very annoying) over several years.
I admit that I don't know anything about Colville either. Unlike his neighbouring MP in Plymouth (Mercer) who is far more well known.
A conservative who has always lived in labour areas.
I don't think I'm breaking any confidences when I say the Conservatives are worried here.
I campaigned almost full time here in 2010 (I briefly lived in the seat) as I was on gardening leave and I didn't think we'd do it. I was very surprised in 2015 and, frankly, I will be surprised if we win this time. Colville is one of those MPs who is eminently forgettable- so much so that I forgot to put him in the forgettable MPs thread*- and the Labour candidate has been pushing hard (I find him very annoying) over several years.
It's a pity Labour didn't run with Chaz Singh, he seems like he'd be pretty energetic and he's a bit more likeable than Luke Pollard.
*His predecessor Linda Gilroy is also one of those forgotten MPs.
I find the best sort of Labour candidates are the ones who manage to annoy the Tories
I am thinking aloud here, rather than speaking with any evidence, but could student votes have played a part?
In the referendum, held in late June, could students have voted not at uni (in Plymouth) but at home (or not at all?) Whereas, this election, in early June, students will vote at Uni? Could that have an impact on seats like this?
This one was fairly close I think (though narrowly leave) it was Moor View that was very strongly for Brexit. I'm not sure if Labour will take this or not as it has a fairly large Green vote and a younger population it depends on what kind of night they're having. If they lose by 10% they will lose here but if they get within 7% they've got a very good shot. Though on the other hand I think Moor View will remain Tory with an increased majority.
Labour MP Luke Pollard's fury as votes left out of result. (from BBC site)
Thousands of votes were not included in the result for a newly-elected Labour MP, Plymouth City Council has said. Luke Pollard won Plymouth Sutton and Devonport with 23,808 votes. However, the actual figure including the missed votes cast in his favour was 27,283. Mr Pollard said the votes from the Efford and Lipson ward were counted in his constituency, but they were not included in the result. He would still have won comfortably over Conservative Oliver Colvile. Mr Colvile's official result on Thursday was 17,806 votes. However, with Efford and Lipson added in he won 20,476 votes. The Electoral Commission has said it will investigate.
The reported turnout was only 58%, which was 20th lowest amongst a number of grim urban seats (like Hull) that always have low turnouts. So this story looks correct, and this would be a worse cock-up than in Newcastle (u-lyme).
Who runs Plymouth Council? I find this sort of ridiculous error deeply dispiriting, and an insult to democracy.
I think the law will say that the declared result is the proper result because that was the declared result and it is not being set aside. But it does seem improper to release ward by ward results for the two top candidates and nobody else -indeed is there a precedent for what Plymouth council have just done or have they just dug themselves an even bigger hole?
Jesus, things must have been bad if Pollard won Compton. That's the only Tory stronghold west of the Plym and the only ward to return a full set of Conservative councillors in 1995, when the council was 55/5. A terrible result for the Conservatives.