Polling day is Whit Thursday. Anybody who knows Saddleworth knows that arranging an election for Whit-week is a bad idea.
For some reason The Wicker Man has just popped into my head.
"Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen [pounds] nineteen [shillings] and six [pence], result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery."
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 26, 2017 17:53:59 GMT
Of course the Labour lead here was only 6k over the Tories last time and a swing of under 7% would shift it. Add to that a considerable UKIP vote last time, the likelihood of some Lib Dem recovery at Labour's expense and the fact this is for the most part (ie outside of the minority part of the seat which is in Oldham itself) not an intrinsically strong Labour area and I think we could be in for an interesting election here.
The Labour vote appears to be quite solid in the Oldham part of the seat, but it has quite a low ceiling overall. If the opposition were to collect around a single candidate it would be an easy win, however that seems quite unlikely to happen.It will be an interesting one to watch but if i was a betting man I would go for a Labour hold with a low percentage of the vote.