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Post by middleenglander on Apr 19, 2017 22:43:36 GMT
11 entries this week with Greernhert returning after last week's absence but nothing from Sir Benjamin after his first entrance last week. brianj gets 3 additional faults for adding to only 97% in Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham. Last week I missed by error the 3 additional faults incurred by brianj for adding to only 97% in Middlesbrough, Coulby Newham. This omission has now been corrected in the table for week 2. |
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Post by greenhert on Apr 19, 2017 23:53:26 GMT
Cheshire West & Chester UA, Blacon: Labour 48, Conservative 27, Liberal Democrats 13, Independent 12.
Harrow LBC, Kenton East: Labour 48, Conservative 40, Liberal Democrats 8, UKIP 4.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 20, 2017 0:02:01 GMT
CHESHIRE WEST AND CHESTER Blacon: Lab 50, C 33, L Dem 9, Ind 8
HARROW Kenton East: Lab 45, C 40, L Dem 10, UKIP 5
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Post by yellowperil on Apr 20, 2017 0:58:40 GMT
Cheshire West & Chester, Blacon: Lab 45,Con 33,LD 15,Ind 7.
Harrow, Kenton E: Lab 40, Con 37, LD 18, UKIP 5
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Post by marksenior on Apr 20, 2017 6:16:03 GMT
Cheshire Blacon Lab 52 Con 34 LD 8 Ind 6
Harrow Kenton E Lab 43 Con 40 LD 14 UKIP 3
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 1,959
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 20, 2017 7:15:45 GMT
I don't normally look at this thread and never participate. I had earlier said I wouldn't make a prediction for Kenton, but, just for a bit of fun:
Kenton East: Lab 44, Con 42, LD 8, UKIP 6.
Blacon: Lab 42, Con 41, LD 9, Ind 8.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 20, 2017 7:29:29 GMT
Harrow LB - Kenton East
Lab 43.2%
Con 43.1%
LD 9.9%
UKIP 3.8%
Cheshire West & Chester UA - Blacon
Lab 49.9%
Con 29.5%
Ind 12.3%
LD 8.3%
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Post by Ruggerman on Apr 20, 2017 7:31:17 GMT
Blacon: Con: 36, Lab: 33, LD: 20, Ind: 11
Kenton East: Lab: 37, Con: 32, LD: 27, UKIP: 4
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hempie
Forum Regular
Posts: 875
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Post by hempie on Apr 20, 2017 7:42:56 GMT
Cheshire West and Chester, Blacon: Lab 46, Con 33, LD 11, Ind 10
Harrow, Kenton East: Lab 42, Con 40, LD 15, UKIP 3
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 20, 2017 18:47:58 GMT
13 entries this week with Colinj and William Hone making a last minute cameo appearance.
Chester West & Chester, Blacon: 11 Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 1% (Colinj to 24% (Lancastrian) with Ruggerman Conservative gain and William Hone Liberal Democrat gain
Harrow, Kenton East: 11 Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 0.1% (Pete Whitehead) to 8% (greenhert, Lancastrian & Robert Waller) with Carlton 43 Conservative gain and William Hone Liberal Democrat gain
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 21, 2017 12:39:43 GMT
I wish I'd had the courage of my convictions in Kenton East. I felt a Tory gain was likely but as I posted my predictions late I allowed myself to follow the herd a bit and to hedge against damage to my position if I was wrong.
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Post by yellowperil on Apr 21, 2017 12:46:47 GMT
Actually I hate to admit it but I also had Kenton East down as a Tory gain on my first draft, then pulled back from it in the hope of better things to come. They didn't.
And,Pete, the herd is a pretty bovine lot
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 21, 2017 13:56:56 GMT
Week 3 & Month:| Authority | Week 1 | Middlesbrough | West Dorset | Weeks 1 & 2 | Weeks 1 & 2 | Cheshire West
& Chester | Harrow | Month | Month | | Ward | faults | Coulby Newham | Piddle Valley | faults | position | Blacon | Kenton East | faults | position | Pete Whitehead | 82.9 | 30.4+10
| 13.9
| 137.2
| 1st
| 26.7
| 19.6+10
| 193.4
| 1st
| Robert Waller | 85.9 | 36.0+10
| 10.3
| 142.2
| 2nd
| 24.1
| 24.6+10
| 200.9
| 2nd
| David Boothroyd | 99.1 | 34.0+10
| 16.3
| 159.4
| 4th
| 35.1
| 24.6+10
| 229.0
| 4th
| Mark Senior | 100.6 | 34.0+10
| 16.3
| 160.9
| 6th
| 35.1
| 26.2+10
| 232.2
| 5th
| Lancastrian | 109.7 | 24.0+10
| 6.3
| 150.0
| 3rd
| 31.1
| 36.2+10
| 227.3
| 3rd
| Carlton | 114.0 | 28.9+10
| 10.3
| 163.2
| 7th
| 41.1
| 50.2
| 254.4
| 7th
| Brianj | 116.5 | 21.0+3+10
| 10.3
| 160.8
| 5th
| 29.1
| 42.2+10
| 242.0
| 6th
| Ruggerman | 122.3 | 26.9+10
| 4.3
| 163.5
| 8th
| 63.1+10
| 54.2+10
| 300.8
| 10th
| Hempie | 126.2 | 32.0+10
| 26.3
| 194.5
| 10th
| 39.1
| 28.2+10
| 271.7
| 8th
| Yellow Peril | 130.2 | 40.0+10
| 4.3
| 184.5
| 9th
| 47.1
| 38.2+10
| 279.8
| 9th
| Sir Benjamin | 146.8 | 100 | 100 | 346.8 | 11th
| 100
| 100
| 546.8
| 12th
| Greenhert | 400 | 36.0+10
| 2.3
| 448.3
| 12th
| 31.1
| 24.6+10
| 513.9
| 11th
| Total | 1,634.3 | 343.0+110
| 120.9
| 2,400.8
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| 502.7+10
| 468.8+100
| 3,492.2
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Colinj 51.1 in Blacon plus 20.6+10 in Kenton East (lowest faults) = 81.7 William Hone 81.1+10 in Blacon plus 84.2+10 in Kenton East = 185.3 Objections please by 5 pm Sunday. At the moment there are just 2 contests in May whilst most of those in June are likely to be concentrated onto 8 June. Please watch this space for the next prediction competition.
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Post by yellowperil on Apr 21, 2017 15:19:09 GMT
Surely in fairness to Sir Benjamin & Greenhert, who have had 400 points deducted for being AWOL from 4 elections, Colinj and William Hone should have 600 points deducted having been AWOL from 6? Why is it different whether you miss at the beginning or the end of the month? Anyway it would make those of us who predicted regularly, with consistently bad results, feel rather better.  |
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 21, 2017 15:46:49 GMT
Surely in fairness to Sir Benjamin & Greenhert, who have had 400 points deducted for being AWOL from 4 elections, Colinj and William Hone should have 600 points deducted having been AWOL from 6? Why is it different whether you miss at the beginning or the end of the month? Anyway it would make those of us who predicted regularly, with consistently bad results, feel rather better. I would have to re-do the table and I can't be ar5ed. Do we have to try and make those who come bottomish of the poll with barely 2% feel better? |
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Post by yellowperil on Apr 21, 2017 17:05:43 GMT
ok- point taken! I hope the post above didn't sound like a serious whinge, which it wasn't. A bit pernickety, perhaps , but I thought that went with this territory. I think all of us taking part, however hamfistedly, appreciate what you do to set it up. Thank you and have a bit of a break from the prediction competition - after all nothing much else to occupy us in the immediate future, is there?
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 21, 2017 17:13:08 GMT
Well, I called the winner correctly and still end up with a piss poor score! I think I might give up on this.
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Post by middleenglander on Apr 21, 2017 17:22:22 GMT
Well, I called the winner correctly and still end up with a piss poor score! I think I might give up on this. When you predict the Liberal Democrat will get 24% but they actually poll 2%, that gets the faults off to a good start!! |
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 21, 2017 17:30:47 GMT
Well, I called the winner correctly and still end up with a piss poor score! I think I might give up on this. When you predict the Liberal Democrat will get 24% but they actually poll 2%, that gets the faults off to a good start!! Yes, that was a very duff call caused by being dim enough to listen to their silly ramping day-on-day! |
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