Adrian
Co-operative Party
Posts: 1,726
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Post by Adrian on Feb 3, 2020 1:03:18 GMT
I've got nothing against LAs co-operating, but can we please stop bundling them together into supercouncils, least of all for reasons of cartographic aesthetics. Voters in towns are usually different to voters in the countryside, and it's much better for democracy if they have separate councils. In the case of Watford and Three Rivers, the voters aren't that different in the two districts. Are people in Abbots Langley, Leavesden, or South Oxhey that different to people in Watford? For most of the length of the boundary, it barely seems to exist on the ground, and two of those fit very naturally into Watford's constituency anyway! Chorleywood and potentially Rickmansworth are a little further from Watford, but they could easily be put into Dacorum along with the more rural bits of Gade Valley ward. I agree that the rise of "supercouncils" isn't great - I instinctively flinch at the whole county unitaries, with the worst of all being Cornwall and Durham who span vast areas and incredibly varied communities. But the abolition of Three Rivers would be more like the creation of Somerset West and Taunton - two relatively small councils merging into a more typically sized one. The move to merge councils seems a cynical ploy to (a) save money that central govt can waste instead and (b) ensure as many people as possible have Tory councils.
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,737
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Feb 3, 2020 8:56:32 GMT
First in a new series of halves councils is Nuneaton and Bedworth 2018. Changes based on 2014: C gain from Grn Weddington C gain from Lab Arbury Attleborough Bulkington (confirming a by-election gain) Exhall Galley Common Heath Poplar Slough Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Attleborough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Bulkington is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Exhall is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Heath is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Poplar is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Slough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Weddington is C/Grn and the Greens are defending in May. There were two big stories at Locals 2018: Lab lose Nuneaton to NOC on a 13% swing from Lab to Con and Lib Dems GAIN South Cambridgeshire from Con on a swing of 3% from Con to Lib Dem. Both councils will be up for election in May and I wonder whether they will go in opposite directions. A swing to Lab in Nuneaton (now that Brexit is done and normal service has been resumed) and a swing to the Conservatives in South Cambridgeshire now that the Remain Alliance has failed.
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Post by finsobruce on Feb 3, 2020 9:02:07 GMT
There were two big stories at Locals 2018: Lab lose Nuneaton to NOC on a 13% swing from Lab to Con and Lib Dems GAIN South Cambridgeshire from Con on a swing of 3% from Con to Lib Dem. Both councils will be up for election in May and I wonder whether they will go in opposite directions. A swing to Lab in Nuneaton (now that Brexit is done and normal service has been resumed) and a swing to the Conservatives in South Cambridgeshire now that the Remain Alliance has failed.Brexit is 'done' but not yet 'dusted' by any means - I suspect that 'normal service' may be a while in returning, and it is unlikely to be a return to an exact replica of the past when it does.
The Lib Dem appeal in South Cambs was hardly due to them being part of any "Remain Alliance" but mostly to their work on the ground which will continue.Their generally low polling and profile may not help though.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 3, 2020 10:04:11 GMT
There are no elections in South Cambridgeshire this May. It will be all up again in 2022
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,737
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Feb 3, 2020 15:04:05 GMT
There are no elections in South Cambridgeshire this May. It will be all up again in 2022 In that case tell Wikipedia as South Cambridgeshire is lit up on their map of councils up for election
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 3, 2020 15:29:02 GMT
There are no elections in South Cambridgeshire this May. It will be all up again in 2022 In that case tell Wikipedia as South Cambridgeshire is lit up on their map of councils up for election They probably lazily reproduced a map of the councils which had elections in 2016. It's not for me to correct them - I'm not an editor.
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jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,809
Member is Online
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Post by jamie on Feb 3, 2020 15:58:26 GMT
Nuneaton and Bedworth 2018. Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Attleborough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Bulkington is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Exhall is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Heath is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Poplar is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Slough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Weddington is C/Grn and the Greens are defending in May. This is going to be car crash for Labour isn't it?
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Post by lancastrian on Feb 3, 2020 16:48:13 GMT
First in a new series of halves councils is Nuneaton and Bedworth 2018. Changes based on 2014: C gain from Grn Weddington C gain from Lab Arbury Attleborough Bulkington (confirming a by-election gain) Exhall Galley Common Heath Poplar Slough Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Attleborough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Bulkington is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Exhall is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Heath is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Poplar is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Slough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Weddington is C/Grn and the Greens are defending in May. On the LEAP site the 2016 map is linked on the 2018 page, and the 2016 page doesn't have a map link.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 5, 2020 11:47:34 GMT
First in a new series of halves councils is Nuneaton and Bedworth 2018. Changes based on 2014: C gain from Grn Weddington C gain from Lab Arbury Attleborough Bulkington (confirming a by-election gain) Exhall Galley Common Heath Poplar Slough Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Attleborough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Bulkington is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Exhall is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Heath is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Poplar is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Slough is C/Lab and Labour are defending in May. Weddington is C/Grn and the Greens are defending in May. On the LEAP site the 2016 map is linked on the 2018 page, and the 2016 page doesn't have a map link. I see what I did there. Now fixed, thanks.
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Feb 5, 2020 11:49:58 GMT
On the LEAP site the 2016 map is linked on the 2018 page, and the 2016 page doesn't have a map link. I see what I did there. Now fixed, thanks. You were showing all the right maps, but not necessarily in the right order.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 5, 2020 18:01:44 GMT
Cheltenham 2018. Changes based on 2014: LD gain from C Leckhampton (the elected councillor here was the former Cheltenham MP Martin Horwood) Warden Hill LD gain from People Against Bureaucracy Group Pittville The Conservatives won the by-election seat in Leckhampton, gaining it from an independent. Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Leckhampton is Ind/LD but, as above, the Conservatives have gained the independent seat and will defend that gain in May. Park is C/LD and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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Post by David Ashforth on Feb 7, 2020 10:23:49 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 8, 2020 22:23:07 GMT
Oxford 2018 (where I was today). Changes based on 2014: Lab gain from Grn Carfax Holywell LD gain from Lab Quarry and Risinghurst Split wards are: Marston: Ind/Lab Quarry and Risinghurst: Lab/LD May's election is all-up on new ward boundaries.
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Post by arnieg on Feb 9, 2020 9:59:48 GMT
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Post by David Ashforth on Feb 11, 2020 16:46:36 GMT
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 13,503
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Post by J.G.Harston on Feb 11, 2020 20:10:32 GMT
All very nice, but as with so so too many websites nowadays, the top million miles of the screen is covered by a function bar that is impossible to remove.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 12, 2020 23:08:18 GMT
Fareham 2018. Changes based on 2014: C gain from LD Fareham East LD gain from UKIP Stubbington (confirming a by-election gain) Split wards are: Fareham East is C/LD and the Liberal Democrats are defending in May. Stubbington is LD/UKIP and UKIP are defending in May. Titchfield Common is C/Ind and the Conservatives are defending in May.
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,444
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Post by European Lefty on Feb 13, 2020 21:07:18 GMT
Not 100% sure where this belong, but here will do. And it might just be the most beautiful thing I've ever seen
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 16, 2020 0:52:49 GMT
Hastings 2018. Lab 24 C 8. New ward boundaries. No split wards (not taking account of by-elections or defections).
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 16, 2020 15:47:53 GMT
Adur 2018. Changes based on 2014: C gain from UKIP Cokeham Widewater Lab gain from C Eastbrook St Mary's Lab gain from UKIP Mash Barn (confirming a by-election gain) Southlands Split wards are (not taking account of by-elections or defections): Churchill is C/UKIP and UKIP are defending in May. Mash Barn is Lab/UKIP and UKIP are defending in May. Southlands is Lab/UKIP; however Labour have gained the UKIP seat in a by-election and will defend that gain in May. Widewater is 2C/1UKIP and the Conservatives and UKIP will defend one seat each in May. That concludes 2016 on LEAP. My plan now is to focus on the May 2017 results. Ninety councils went to the polls that year; to date 29 of them have been entered into LEAP, these being the larger county councils plus districts in Wales and Scotland where there have been parliamentary or devolved by-elections since May 2017 (Flintshire, Newport, Powys, Scottish Borders and Shetland). Gloucestershire, North Lanarkshire and Wiltshire are top of the update queue at the moment.
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