Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 14, 2016 11:47:08 GMT
I've incorporated postal votes (using the 2014 figures for postal voters as an aid as per David Boothroyd's suggestion) and have aggregated the results to parliamentary constituency level. For the 2PP vote I have used a formula which takes only those votes that would have transferred - there were 250k 2nd preference votes for Zac Goldsmith but 60k of these had first preferenced him and 100k had first preferenced Khan, hence only around 85k would have transferred representing about a third of the total. Obviously the proportion would have varied in each place, but probably not by very much so this is a rough approximation.
There's a now very established pattern of Labour supporters in the middle suburbs (because that's what the outer parts of London are now, let us be realistic) being way less likely to turn out for Mayoral elections than Labour supporters elsewhere in the capital. Which makes sense when you think about it, but is still interesting.
“Actually, I think ‘A Bend in the River’ is much, much better than Conrad,” Mr. Naipaul said.