By-elections - December 15-16-17

[maxque]

December 15th

Shepperton Town - Spelthorne BC - Robert Watts (Conservative), the Council Leader, died when his house burnt.

2015: Con 2502/2121/2029, UKIP 823/656, Lab 612/554/524, LD 532
2011: Con 1852/1726/1428, LD 698, UKIP 607
2007: Con 1489/1345/1248, LD 631/608/509, Lab 182
2003: Con 1239/1117/1040, LD 1059/955/862, Lab 144

Colin Barnard (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Jonathan Button (Labour Party)
Brian Catt (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Richard Dunn (Liberal Democrat)
Nigel Scott (Green Party)


December 16th

Gogarth - Conwy - Janet Haworth (Conservative) resigned due to becoming a list Assembly Member.

2012: Ind 368/212, Con 317/248, Lab 279/259, PC 220
2008: Con 454/444, Lab 259, PC 248/180, Ind 216/107, LD 131/92
2004: Con 380/324, Lab 313/154, Ind 296/164/82/70, LD 189/176

Roger Boon (Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru)
Deborah Good (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru)
Mark Pavey (Independent / Annibynnol)
Greg Robbins (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales)
Henry Saville (Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru / Welsh Conservative Party Candidate)


December 17th

Kensal Green - Brent LBC - Dan Filson (Labour) died. He was the chairman of the Scrutiny Committee.

2014: Lab 1819/1808/1730, Grn 621, LD 510/502/481, Con 394/382/330
2010: Lab 2172/2064/1782, LD 1724/1601/1570, Con 760/569/516, Grn 653/466/346, Ind 450
2006: Lab 1331/1169/1108, LD 671/583/555, Grn 573/473, Con 356/326/298
2002: Lab 1157/1017/1008, Grn 303/239, Con 292/280/273, LD 258/209/181

Chris Alley (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Jumbo Chan (Labour Party)
Sarah Dickson (Liberal Democrats)
Jafar Hassan (Green Party)
Juliette Nibbs (UK Independence Party (UKIP))

Hertford Heath - East Herts DC - Adrian McNeece (Conservative) resigned after his motion against prayers at council meetings was defeated 42-5.

2015: Con 739, Ind 344, UKIP 249, Lab 204, Grn 96
2011: Con 753, Lab 319
2007: Con unopposed
2003: Con 528, Lab 109, LD 90

The 2015 Independent was the incumbent councillor.

Hilary Cullen (The Green Party)
Robin Lambie (Liberal Democrats)
Graham Nickson (Labour Party)
Sheila Pettman (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Charlotte Snowdon

Charlotte Snowdon is the Conservative candidate, but due to paperwork issues, she will not appear as such on the ballot.

Derwent - Ryedale DC - Phil Evans (Conservative) resigned for personal reasons.

2015: Con 1077/750, Ind 659, LD 574
2011: Con 719/628, Ind 410, LD 329, Lab 265
2007: Con 753, LD 444, Ind 401
2003: Con 603/510, LD 419

Darren Allanson
Toby Barran (Yorkshire First)
Kerry Ennis (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Mike Potter (The Liberal Party Candidate)
Stephen Shaw (Independent)

Darren Allanson is the Liberal Democrat candidate, but due to paperwork issues, he will not appear as such on the ballot.

Stourport-on-Severn - Worcestershire CC - Jim Parish (Health Concern) died. He was a councillor from 2001 to 2005 and since 2009.

Jun 2013 by: ICHC 1055, UKIP 892, Con 753, Lab 607, Grn 77, BNP 39, LD 30
2013: UKIP 1385/1151, ICHC 1335/1167, Lab 1141/894, Con 984/964, Grn 195
2009: KHHC 2396/2231, Con 1894/1764, Lab 724/703, Ind 510, Grn 318, LD 313, Lib 237
2005: KHHC 3339/2624, Con 3266/3060, Lab 2670/2649, Grn 539/507

ICHC is “Independent Community and Health Concern”.
KHHC is “Kidderminster Hospital and Health Concern”.

Jill Hawes (Labour Party)
John Holden (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Nicky Martin (Independent Health Concern)
Tony Muir (Conservative Party Candidate)
Phil Oliver (Green Party)

[greenhert]

Is the Mike Potter standing for the Liberals in Derwent the same Mike Potter who was the SDP candidate in the Richmond by-election of 1989?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Dec 14, 2015 13:49:18 GMT greenhert said:

Is the Mike Potter standing for the Liberals in Derwent the same Mike Potter who was the SDP candidate in the Richmond by-election of 1989?

Don't know, but the 1989 SDP candidate is on twitter: twitter.com/farmermike2

[J.G.Harston]

Dec 14, 2015 13:49:18 GMT greenhert said:

Is the Mike Potter standing for the Liberals in Derwent the same Mike Potter who was the SDP candidate in the Richmond by-election of 1989?

An interesting election. There was a Liberal candidate, an SDP candidate and a SLD (LibDem) candidate, with the SDP coming a close second.

I've spent 15 minutes Googling and can't find definite proof the two Mike Potters are the same person. Anybody got a picture of him from 1989?

Edit: the ex-SDP Mike Potter on Twitter definitely looks different to the Ryedale Liberals Mike Potter.

[The Bishop]

There is no mention of standing for election recently on said person's Twitter account, so I doubt that it is he.

(they also mention they voted Labour in the Blair years, btw)

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Try www.itnsource.com/en/shotlist/ITN/1989/02/24/AS240289010/?s=%22Mike%20Potter%22#videoPopUpDiv

[Pete Whitehead]

A weird thing here. I cannot see any of the headings of the by-elections. If I quote Maxque's post and preview it I can see them all but then if I post that they are invisible again. Anyone else got the same problem?

[johnloony]

Dec 14, 2015 16:18:26 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Try www.itnsource.com/en/shotlist/ITN/1989/02/24/AS240289010/?s=%22Mike%20Potter%22#videoPopUpDiv

The breathtakingly astonishing arrogance of the continuing-SDP in demanding some sort of agreement with the (Lib) Dems to avoid splitting the vote, just months after the continuing-SDP came into existence as a result of the minority of members who were unwilling to accept the democratically expressed wish of the members of the SDP to merge with the Liberal Party.

[BossMan]

Andrew Teale's previews:
blog.englishelections.org.uk/2015/12/by-election-previews-17-december-2015.html
blog.welshelections.org.uk/2015/12/by-election-preview-16-december-2015.html

[maxque]

Turnout of 25.4%

[maxque]

Shepperton:

Con 858 (62.0; +10.9)
UKIP 180 (13.0; -7.5)
LD 154 (11.1; -2.1)
Lab 123 (8.9; -6.3)
Grn 68 (4.9; +4.9)

[linders]

Strong result albeit in a safe ward. You'd think if UKIP had traction that this is the sort of place in a low turnout by-election that they would at least hold steady.

[Tony Otim]

Two nominations screw ups in the same week! It must be getting close to Christmas.

[maxque]

Conservative hold in Gogarth.

[Pete Whitehead]

[maxque]

Gogarth:

Con 318 (42.5%; +15.7)
Lab 187 (25.0%; +1.4)
PC 167 (22.3%; +3.7)
LD 49 (6.5%; +6.5)
Ind 28 (3.7%; +3.7)

[tomc]

Dec 16, 2015 23:32:32 GMT maxque said:

Gogarth:

Con 318 (42.5%; +15.7)
Lab 187 (25.0%; +1.4)
PC 167 (22.3%; +3.7)
LD 49 (6.5%; +6.5)
Ind 28 (3.7%; +3.7)

So who's the absent candidate from last time if everyone's share is up?

[maxque]

Dec 17, 2015 1:22:22 GMT tomc said:

Dec 16, 2015 23:32:32 GMT maxque said:

Gogarth:

Con 318 (42.5%; +15.7)
Lab 187 (25.0%; +1.4)
PC 167 (22.3%; +3.7)
LD 49 (6.5%; +6.5)
Ind 28 (3.7%; +3.7)

So who's the absent candidate from last time if everyone's share is up?

An Independent which topped the poll.

[maxque]

I think than in Ryedale, Liberals will get many LD votes due to the LD candidate not having a label and people thinking Liberals are LDs.

[The Bishop]

Dec 17, 2015 2:35:33 GMT maxque said:

Dec 17, 2015 1:22:22 GMT tomc said:

So who's the absent candidate from last time if everyone's share is up?

An Independent which topped the poll.

Which surely shows a glitch in the way of calculating vote shares in these contests?

In reality, Independents are massively down (mostly to the benefit of the Tories) not slightly up.