Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2015 16:27:43 GMT
West Berkshire UA
Purley-on-ThamesConservative died Ward Map2007 - Con 1272/1261, LD 278/238, Green 264, Labour 261 2011 - Con 1621/1536, Lab 512/318, LD 282/226 Candidates Catherine ANDERSON (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) Steve BOWN (Liberal Democrat) Rick JONES (Conservative Party Candidate) Ian STEVENS (Labour Party Candidate) St Albans DC
Marshalswick South2 Conservative resigns Ward Map2003 - LD 1364, Con 858, Lab 338 2004 - LD 1193, Con 1025, Lab 313 2006 - Con 985, LD 953, Lab 343, Green 251 2007 - LD 1177, Con 843, Lab 270, Green 172 2008 - LD 1190, Con 848, Lab 254, Green 202 2010 - LD 1706, Con 1676, Lab 596, Green 247 2011 - Con 1433, LD 776, Lab 560, Green 303 2012 - Con 929, LD 651, Lab 441, Green 188, UKIP 123 2014 - Con 972, Lab 573, LD 486, Green 258, UKIP 232 Candidates Richard CURTHOYS (The Conservative Party Candidate) David DICKSON (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) Richard HARRIS (Labour Party Candidate) Michael HOLLINS (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) Steve McKEOWN (The Conservative Party Candidate) Jill MILLS (Green Party First Choice Candidate) Elizabeth NEEDHAM (Liberal Democrat) Mark PEDROZ (Liberal Democrat) Tim ROBINSON (Green Party Second Choice Candidate) Vivienne WINDLE (Labour Party Candidate)
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,972 
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Post by maxque on Jan 2, 2015 17:36:37 GMT
The list of candidates for St. Albans will be uploaded on their website on the 5th. I suspect the guy which would upload it is away on holidays.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 5, 2015 9:18:15 GMT
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Post by Merseymike on Jan 5, 2015 11:29:47 GMT
Interesting the Green directive of first and second choice - are split votes expected?
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,249
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 5, 2015 13:54:33 GMT
It was a tactic used in some London boroughs last May. Not really I'm much in favour of and not sure that there's any evidence that its really helpful in a multi-member FPTP situation. In an STV election, i could see the argument for it, but as a stubborn headed voter who doesn't like being told what to do, I may just be tempted to vote the other way round anyway.
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 1,957
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Post by ColinJ on Jan 5, 2015 17:04:08 GMT
It was a tactic used in some London boroughs last May. Not really I'm much in favour of and not sure that there's any evidence that its really helpful in a multi-member FPTP situation. In an STV election, i could see the argument for it, but as a stubborn headed voter who doesn't like being told what to do, I may just be tempted to vote the other way round anyway. Also used in the double-header Callowland ward election in Watford in 2014. It didn't prevent the Greens losing both seats to Labour: www.watford.gov.uk/ccm/content/legal-and-democratic/elections/results---borough-2014---22-may.en#internalSection1 |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jan 5, 2015 17:32:52 GMT
Candidates added to the main post.
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Post by froome on Jan 5, 2015 18:02:45 GMT
It was a tactic used in some London boroughs last May. Not really I'm much in favour of and not sure that there's any evidence that its really helpful in a multi-member FPTP situation. In an STV election, i could see the argument for it, but as a stubborn headed voter who doesn't like being told what to do, I may just be tempted to vote the other way round anyway. I agree with Tony, in that if anyone *tells* me which way to vote, I'm likely to do the opposite, as I'm sure many others are. Having said that, it looks like a ward where the Lib Dem vote is collapsing from first place some years ago to a point where we could get one candidate well above them, which may then put us in a position to challenge at a later election. So possibly a reasonable tactic. |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Jan 7, 2015 8:41:11 GMT
Another one on a Friday. Any reason why?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 7, 2015 8:58:08 GMT
Where is there a by-election on Friday?
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,972
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Post by maxque on Jan 7, 2015 15:56:05 GMT
Another one on a Friday. Any reason why? No. West Berkshire is on Wednesday and St Albans on Thursday. |
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Post by jonnymorris on Jan 7, 2015 16:27:51 GMT
Norman: (leans across, looking away) Who isn't, eh? Know what I mean. Likes games, likes games. Knew she would. Knew she would. Knew she would. Likes games, eh? She's been around, eh? Been around?
Him: She's travelled. She's from Purley.
Norman: Oh...oh. Say no more, say no more. Say no more - Purley, say no more. Purley, eh? Know what I mean, know what I mean. Say no more.
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Jan 7, 2015 17:00:20 GMT
Another one on a Friday. Any reason why? No. West Berkshire is on Wednesday and St Albans on Thursday. Aah so it is. That'll teach me to check a calendar! |
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Jan 7, 2015 17:00:38 GMT
Where is there a by-election on Friday? Wednesday it seems... |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,751
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Jan 8, 2015 22:35:42 GMT
Year of last election in St. Albans?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 8, 2015 23:02:35 GMT
Its the seats which were last fought in 2012 in 2014 if that's what you mean
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 26, 2015 22:11:27 GMT
West Berkshire UA
Purley-on-ThamesConservative died Ward Map2007 - Con 1272/1261, LD 278/238, Green 264, Labour 261 2011 - Con 1621/1536, Lab 512/318, LD 282/226 Candidates Catherine ANDERSON (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) Steve BOWN (Liberal Democrat) Rick JONES (Conservative Party Candidate) Ian STEVENS (Labour Party Candidate) You link to the map is broken |
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Post by middleenglander on Jan 28, 2015 23:24:30 GMT
West Berkshire, Purley-on-Thames - Conservative hold | Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Conservative | 936 | 68.1% | +1.0% | -2.2% | +6.8% | +6.3% | | Labour | 172 | 12.5% | -8.7% | -6.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | | UKIP | 163 | 11.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 104 | 7.6% | -4.1% | -3.7% | -5.8% | -5.0% | | Green | |
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| -12.7% | -12.9% | | Total votes | 1,375 |
| 57% | 61% | 66% | 67% |
Swing Labour to Conservative ~5% (top) / ~2% (average) since 2011 and ~3½% since 2007 - similarly Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~2½% since 2011 and ~6% since 2007
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 29, 2015 13:31:08 GMT
This week's previews (I was out all day Wednesday, and later back than usual because the buses into my town got taken off due to snow).
One by-election on Wednesday 28th January:
PURLEY ON THAMES, West Berkshire council; caused by the death of Conservative councillor David Betts. A former chairman of Purley on Thames parish council, Betts had been a West Berkshire councillor since 2007 and had served as West Berkshire's executive member for highways and transport.
Despite Purley's presence within the West Berkshire district, this is where the Reading built-up area ends and the countryside begins; the area of Reading council has never really kept pace with the growth of the town. Purley on Thames itself is a prosperous Reading suburb which suffers regularly from flooding due to its location on the Thames; the ward also includes the Denefield part of Tilehurst parish (also part of the Reading built-up area) together with the smaller villages of Tidmarsh and Sulham to the south-west.
This is a safe Conservative ward on the district council, although West Berkshire has had no local elections since 2011 which makes it difficult to ascertain more recent trends such as the rise of UKIP. In 2011 the Tories led 67-21 over Labour, who took over second place in that election from the Lib Dems.
Defending for the Conservatives is Rick Jones, the chairman of Purley on Thames parish council. He is opposed by Labour's Ian Stevens, Steve Bown for the Lib Dems (who fought the ward in 2007) and the ward's first UKIP candidate, Catherine Anderson.
Parliamentary constituency: Reading West
ONS Travel to Work Area: Reading and Bracknell
Postcode districts: RG8, RG31
Catherine Anderson (UKIP)
Steve Bown (LD)
Rick Jones (C)
Ian Stevens (Lab)
May 2011 result C 1621/1536 Lab 512/318 LD 282/226
May 2007 result C 1272/1261 LD 278/238 Grn 264 Lab 261
May 2003 result C 577/550 LD 414/376 Grn 194/113 Lab 108
One by-election on Thursday 29th January:
MARSHALSWICK SOUTH, St Albans city council; a double by-election caused by the resignations of Conservative councillors Heidi Allen and Seema Kennedy. Both former councillors have been selected as Conservative parliamentary candidates for the forthcoming general election: Allen is expected to take over the safe seat of South Cambridgeshire, while Kennedy will defend the marginal South Ribble constituency in Lancashire. Both councillors are going before the end of their first term; Kennedy served for less than a year following her election in May 2014.
Like Purley on Thames above, Marshalswick is an area on the edge of a large town which has seen a lot of development since the First World War; in this case the town is St Albans, which has annexed part of Marshalswick from the neighbouring parish of Sandridge. The part of Marshalswick within the St Albans city limits now forms Marshalswick South ward. This heterogeneous ward contains several different demographics: Marshalswick itself is possibly the most affluent area of St Albans, while Bernard's Heath and Sandridge New Town have transformed from Victorian slumland into a bohemian middle-class area. Bernard's Heath was the site of the Second Battle of St Albans, a Lancastrian victory during the Wars of the Roses; many of the ward's street names (Battlefield Road, Lancaster Road, Warwick Road and so on) commemorate the battle.
Election results here have been intriguing. During the last Labour government this was a Lib Dem/Tory marginal ward, but the Lib Dems generally had the edge and the Tories won only once in this period: in 2006 when their Turkish-born candidate Salih Gaygusuz gained the ward by 32 votes, only to lose his seat four years later by 30 votes. Since 2010 the Lib Dem vote has fallen and the ward has turned safe Tory; in 2014 the Tories won with 39% to 23% for Labour, 19% for the Lib Dems and 10% for the Greens, who were just ahead of UKIP. To add to the mix, at county level this ward is paired off with one of the strongest Labour areas of St Albans to produce the three-way marginal St Albans North division, which Labour gained from the Lib Dems in 2013.
Defending for the Conservatives are housing manager Richard Curthoys and hypnotherapist and psychotherapist Steve McKeown. On the Labour slate are Richard Harris and Vivienne Windle. The Lib Dems have reselected Mark Pedroz who fought the ward last year, and he is goined by Elizabeth Needham. The Green slate consists of first choice Jill Mills and second choice Tim Robinson, while UKIP's nominees David Dickson (who fought the ward in 2014) and Michael Hollins complete the ballot paper.
Parliamentary constituency: St Albans
Hertfordshire county council division: St Albans North
ONS Travel to Work Area: Luton and Watford
Postcode districts: AL1, AL3
Richard Curthoys (C)
David Dickson (UKIP)
Richard Harris (Lab)
Michael Hollins (UKIP)
Steve McKeown (C)
Jill Mills (Grn)
Elizabeth Needham (LD)
Mark Pedroz (LD)
Tim Robinson (Grn)
Vivienne Windle (Lab)
May 2014 result C 972 Lab 573 LD 486 Grn 258 UKIP 232
May 2012 result C 929 LD 651 Lab 441 Grn 188 UKIP 123
May 2011 result C 1433 LD 776 Lab 560 Grn 303
May 2010 result LD 1706 C 1676 Lab 596 Grn 247
May 2008 result LD 1190 C 848 Lab 254 Grn 202
May 2007 result LD 1177 C 843 Lab 270 Grn 172
May 2006 result C 985 LD 953 Lab 343 Grn 251
June 2004 result LD 1193 C 1025 Lab 313
May 2003 result LD 1364 C 858 Lab 338
May 2002 result LD 1353 C 667 Lab 321
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Post by BossMan on Jan 29, 2015 13:32:14 GMT
Cheers Andrew
I'm actually just in the process of putting these up on the blogs during my lunch breal, lol...
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