cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,203
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Post by cogload on Nov 4, 2019 16:02:17 GMT
I shall be skipping down the roads of Southsea tomorrow waving them in the direction of a grateful populace.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,273
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Post by CatholicLeft on Nov 4, 2019 16:04:00 GMT
I shall be skipping down the roads of Southsea tomorrow waving them in the direction of a grateful populace. Then walking in a somewhat more butch fashion down the streets of Charles Dickens.
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Post by formerfifer on Nov 5, 2019 13:37:06 GMT
Survation have apparently polled Cambridgeshire South East:
Con 42% (-11%) LDem 31% (+12%) Lab 16% (-12%) Brexit 8% (+8%) Others 4% (+4%)
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 5, 2019 13:42:01 GMT
Another one commissioned by the LibDems, no doubt?
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Post by formerfifer on Nov 5, 2019 13:56:50 GMT
Another one commissioned by the LibDems, no doubt? I assume so. In the interests of full disclosure, I can't find the data tables for this poll and it is not currently showing on Survation's Twitter feed. The figures were shared by Mike Smithson on his Twitter feed.
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Post by lancastrian on Nov 5, 2019 16:47:50 GMT
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Post by justin124 on Nov 5, 2019 20:15:43 GMT
Probably worth noting that the polling data is more than a week old , and likely to overstate the LDs and understate Labour given apparent changes in national vote shares.
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 5, 2019 20:29:05 GMT
Probably not worth noting at all.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 6, 2019 22:01:50 GMT
Just done a YouGov including a constituency poll for Cities of London and Westminster.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2019 22:09:45 GMT
Given that Anthony Wells says Yougov don't do constituency im guessing this is mrp
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msc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 863
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Post by msc on Nov 6, 2019 22:25:09 GMT
Given that Anthony Wells says Yougov don't do constituency im guessing this is mrp
They quizzed me earlier on Glasgow South West too. Named candidates for all bar the Tories who don't have one yet.
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 6, 2019 23:02:36 GMT
58 minutes left before the spending limits kick in, after which we should expect to see fewer (if any) of these commissioned by parties.
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msc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 863
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Post by msc on Nov 6, 2019 23:08:43 GMT
They quizzed me earlier on Glasgow South West too. Named candidates for all bar the Tories who don't have one yet.
Possibly for YouGov's nowcast. It should be up and running within the next couple of weeks. It was surprisingly accurate at the last general election, so it's something I'll be looking at a lot in the run up to the election. Yes, after the last time I'll be interested in its findings too. Kensington, Canterbury and Portsmouth were all outliers called very well.
It struggled with the SNP/Tory seats though.
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 6, 2019 23:09:21 GMT
Wokingham via Survation (commissioned for the Liberal Democrats): Conservative: 42% (-15) Lib Dem: 38% (+22) Labour 12% (-13) Brexit: 5% (new) Green: 3% (+1) NO DATA TABLES so take it with a bowl of orange tinted salt. Get the data here: Edit: as Labour hadn't selected here at the time of the survey, they weren't named as anything other than 'the Labour candidate' in the question. Probably distorts it just a bit.
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Adrian
Co-operative Party
Posts: 1,726
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Post by Adrian on Nov 6, 2019 23:11:02 GMT
Wokingham via Survation (commissioned for the Liberal Democrats): Conservative: 42% (-15) Lib Dem: 38% (+22) Labour 12% (-13) Brexit: 5% (new) Green: 3% (+1) NO DATA TABLES so take it with a bowl of orange tinted salt. Nonsense. The tables are linked to in the tweet. They've also just released results for a poll of Esher.
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Post by manchesterman on Nov 6, 2019 23:36:56 GMT
Wokingham via Survation (commissioned for the Liberal Democrats): Conservative: 42% (-15) Lib Dem: 38% (+22) Labour 12% (-13) Brexit: 5% (new) Green: 3% (+1) NO DATA TABLES so take it with a bowl of orange tinted salt. Get the data here: Edit: as Labour hadn't selected here at the time of the survey, they weren't named as anything other than 'the Labour candidate' in the question. Probably distorts it just a bit.
Given that Labour dont have a hope in hell of winning a seat like Wokingham, but Philip Lee does - this is marvellous news!
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 7, 2019 15:06:37 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 7, 2019 15:10:37 GMT
Two per cent swing to the Tories since 2017 - which oddly enough is in line with Survation's latest nationwide VI polls.
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 7, 2019 15:16:02 GMT
When the Labour candidate is known the Labour vote may go down of course.
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Nov 7, 2019 15:20:02 GMT
From the very small graph in the article it looks to be showing the Brexit Party at around 15% and the Lib Dems around 5%
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