IndyRef Predictions

[Tony Otim]

I don't know how many responses Fraser had to this. FWIW here are my stabs in the dark now the deadline has passed:

Sept 16, 2014 12:43:27 GMT Tony Otim said:

1. 84.7%
2. Orkney
3. West Lothian
4. 44.8%
5. 8 authorities
6. Inverclyde
7. Edinburgh
8. 6.48am

[Andrew_S]

I entered using the same data as the spreadsheet I posted on the other thread.

[Deleted]

too many questions for me, virtually all would have been guesses

[Deleted]

Sept 18, 2014 21:39:51 GMT @fraser said:

Sept 17, 2014 12:57:21 GMT @fraser said:

1) 83.2%

2) = SHETLAND

3) Clackmannanshire

4) 39.9%

5) 0

6) East Renfrewshire

7) Higland

8) 5:45

John Curtice thinking that Clackmannashire will be similar to Scotland as a whole, Fraser the most yes. I would go somewhere in the middle, 5-8th ish.

[Tony Otim]

Sept 18, 2014 8:27:27 GMT Tony Otim said:

I don't know how many responses Fraser had to this. FWIW here are my stabs in the dark now the deadline has passed:

Sept 16, 2014 12:43:27 GMT Tony Otim said:

1. 84.7%
2. Orkney
3. West Lothian
4. 44.8%
5. 8 authorities
6. Inverclyde
7. Edinburgh
8. 6.48am

Well, I was 0.1% out for both turnout and Yes vote and got Orkney right. I should have gone for Clacks being the first to declare, but talked myself out of it. Got West Lothian completely wrong - that, South Lanarkshire and Falkirk were the two biggest surprises in terms of areas for me. My 8th Yes area was North Ayrshire.

I doubt anybody went as late at 8.46 for the official declaration time.

[Deleted]

Sept 19, 2014 7:50:18 GMT Tony Otim said:

Sept 18, 2014 8:27:27 GMT Tony Otim said:

I don't know how many responses Fraser had to this. FWIW here are my stabs in the dark now the deadline has passed:

Well, I was 0.1% out for both turnout and Yes vote and got Orkney right. I should have gone for Clacks being the first to declare, but talked myself out of it. Got West Lothian completely wrong - that, South Lanarkshire and Falkirk were the two biggest surprises in terms of areas for me. My 8th Yes area was North Ayrshire.

I doubt anybody went as late at 8.46 for the official declaration time.

I went for 10.15

Got Clacks and 4 rights and only 0.6% off the overall result.

Managed to get the 4th highest yes and no.

[johnloony]

I think I missed this thread before, so here is what I would have guessed:

1. 82.1%
2. Orkney
3. Western Isles
4. 45.68%
5. 9
6. Clackmannan
7. Argyll & Bute
8. 11:32am

I expected the highest Yes votes to be the Highland / rural north-east (SNP) areas rather than the central belt.
I also expected that most counts would take longer than they did, with places like Glasgow going on until 9 or 10am.

[Tony Otim]

So what are the results then @fraser