Just looking at the ashcroft polls they put the lib dems a whooping 23% ahead in the last one in november 2014. I wonder if Michael Ashcroft regrets spending so much money on them now.
I doubt it. Those were useful and served a purpose. They were snapshots and whilst weighting might have distorted them they disclosed trends and positions that were largely true at the time. I still contend that the last two weeks and final days saw a transformation in many minds leading to additional votes for the Conservatives. I have disclosed a case of a neighbour (late change UKIP to LD) and know of two other close friends/family who changed at last minute from UKIP to Conservative. It was the Ed-Dave and Lab-SNP thing. Let's not overdo the 'Polls were Wrong' thing.
"Steve Webb should stay on as pensions minister, whoever forms the next government Keeping Mr Webb whatever the outcome of the election would be a victory for politics
But as things stand, he's leaving that job next month. As a Lib Dem he has only a small chance of returning to government in the next parliament. That's a shame but not inevitable. The answer is for our next PM, whether it's David Cameron or Ed Miliband, whatever blend of government they lead, to give Mr Webb his job as pensions minister back again – and a peerage too, if voters in Thornbury and Yate go against him."