Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 28, 2012 17:40:36 GMT
LAMBETH AND SOUTHWARK BARTLEY Jonathan Charles - Green Party BLACKIE Rob - London Liberal Democrats FLUSS James Gordon - Fresh Choice for London LAMBERT Daniel Peter - The Socialist Party (GB) MITCHELL Michael - The Conservative Party Candidate SHAWCROSS Val - Labour Party Candidate
I don't know what interest there is in the votes in super-safe Labour seats (which they'd win on the first count under AV), but here's how people voted in the wards making up the parliamentary constituency of Vauxhall (not including postal votes)
Labour 12878 (53.7%) Conservative 4763 (19.9%) Green 2704 (11.3%) Liberal Democrat 2515 (10.4%) Socialist Party 593 (2.5%) UKIP 538 (2.2%).
In the 8 wards that will make up the proposed new constituency of Brixton it's even safer for Labour:
Labour 15398 (58.5%) Conservative 3894 (14.8%) Green 3720 (14.1%) Liberal Democrat 2117 (8.0%) Socialist Party 719 (2.7%) UKIP 486 (1.9%)
Looks as if UKIP's strategy (mistake?) of calling themselves "Free Choice for London" didn't work here, not that for all sorts of reasons they should have expected to do any better in areas like this.
Post by Pete Whitehead on May 30, 2012 20:42:58 GMT
Ken Livingstone gained South Bermondsey and Thurlow Park Boris Johnson gained Clapham Town*
On the constituency vote Labour gained Clapham Town*, College and Thurlow Park from the Conservatives and St Leonards, Streaham Hill, Streatham Wells, Newington, Cathedrals, Grange, South Bermondsey, Riverside and Rotherhithefrom the LDs. Conservatives gained Surrey Docks from the LDs
On the list vote Labour gained College and Thurlow Park from the Conservatives and Cathedrals from the LDs
*One of an interesting number of wards which are emerging which Livingtone won 2008 while his party didn't and which did the opposite this time. Most are of a similar type
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 2, 2012 22:48:29 GMT
The formula is applied at ward level rather than constituency level. If party A has a total of 6,000 votes in a borough of which 5,000 are votes cast on the day and 1,000 are postal votes, then I multiply their vote in each ward by 1.2. Party B has a total of 5,000 of which 4,000 cast on the day and 1,000 are postal then the multiplier is 1.25 and so on. This gives me figures for each ward which will add up to the total of all votes cast in a borough rather than just those cast at the polling station. The constituency results are then aggregated from those ward totals. There is some discussion on the Barnet and Camden thread about a more sophisticated method for allocating postal votes but it would not result in a significant difference except in a few areas.