Hammersmith and Fulham Apr 4, 2014 18:30:42 GMT
Post by mrtoad on Apr 4, 2014 18:30:42 GMT
Quite so (though Fulham was Tory-run from 1978-86). The wedge running south and west from Central London has shown a consistent social/ political trend regardless of borough control since the mid 1980s - Fulham, Chiswick, Battersea, Putney, Wimbledon, the Clapham bits of Lambeth,Barnes and Mortlake, north Kingston are all heading upmarket (and Tory) - this wedge produced some of Johnson's best swings between 2008 and 2012.
However, policy can affect it at the margin; back in the early 1990s when I studied this stuff I thought that one of the reasons why Wandsworth was transformed politically was to do with housing tenure - a large private rented sector meant that (1) the inward and outward flow of voters was faster and (2) that gentrification could happen more quickly because houses could re-convert from being rented out to being high-end family homes. It was happening as early as the mid-1970s in some bits of Wandsworth (Nightingale, Between the Commons), before the Tory gain in 1978. Looking at the statistics, I thought that only two other boroughs might be able to emulate Wandsworth if they wanted - Hammersmith & Fulham and Camden. I think the parallel between H&F now and Wandsworth in 1986 is a good one.