Foggy
Non-Aligned
Inactivist
Posts: 5,551
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Post by Foggy on May 2, 2024 16:58:38 GMT
That's at least two confirmed votes for trickyreturns then. Or three, assuming he voted for himself.
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Post by trickyreturns on May 2, 2024 18:09:24 GMT
That's at least two confirmed votes for trickyreturns then. Or three, assuming he voted for himself. I carefully considered the candidates available and there was one guy very local to me so I voted for him
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,536
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 9:35:43 GMT
Turnout 14.8% in the Wrexham CBC area. Turnout for the whole of North Wales 14.83% in 2012 so the Wrexham figure suggests the turnout will be slightly above 2012 figure.
Edit: Turnout for North Wales 17.19%.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,536
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 12:42:02 GMT
North Wales PCC Results Andy Dunbobbin (Lab) - 31,950 Brian Jones (Con) - 26,281 Ann Griffith (PC) - 23,466 Richard Marbrow (Lib Dem) - 7,129
Turnout - 17.19%
Conwy - 18.33% Denbighshire - 18.33% Flintshire - 15.96% Gwynedd - 18.19% Wrexham -14.77% Ynys Mon - 19.44%
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,371
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Post by Sibboleth on May 3, 2024 12:43:35 GMT
I suppose 'Dunbobbin' is an apt name for a Police Commissioner.
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Post by trickyreturns on May 3, 2024 14:00:27 GMT
For the record
| Conwy | Denbighshire | Flintshire | Gwynedd | Wrexham | Ynys Mon | Labour | 5650 | 5017 | 8271 | 3892 | 6330 | 2790 | Plaid | 3198 | 2173 | 2093 | 9058 | 2809 | 4135 | Con | 5955 | 5473 | 5722 | 2330 | 3997 | 2804 | Lib Dem | 982 | 806 | 2869 | 657 | 1398 | 417 |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,826
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Post by Harry Hayfield on May 3, 2024 14:30:13 GMT
Based on the changes since the PCC elections in 2021, I believe the GE implications are thus:
Con wins: 0 (-5) Lab wins: Everything bar Dwyfor (+5) Plaid wins: Dwyfor (unchanged)
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Post by trickyreturns on May 3, 2024 14:51:57 GMT
Based on the changes since the PCC elections in 2021, I believe the GE implications are thus: Con wins: 0 (-5) Lab wins: Everything bar Dwyfor (+5) Plaid wins: Dwyfor (unchanged) How are you giving Mon to Labour rather than Plaid there?
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,826
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Post by Harry Hayfield on May 3, 2024 15:22:37 GMT
Based on the changes since the PCC elections in 2021, I believe the GE implications are thus: Con wins: 0 (-5) Lab wins: Everything bar Dwyfor (+5) Plaid wins: Dwyfor (unchanged) How are you giving Mon to Labour rather than Plaid there? Change in Ynys Môn 2021 - 2024: Con +3%, Lab +7%, Lib Dem -1%, Plaid -6% Plaid cannot gain the seat (which is a three way marginal between Con, Lab and Plaid) if they are going backwards
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Post by hugh01 on May 16, 2024 19:58:36 GMT
I don't know who Labour have selected for Ynys Mon, but given that Plaid have selected Llinos Medi, Leader of Ynys Mon Council who has a high local profile across the island. I think she would be a hard candidate to beat
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,536
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Post by johng on May 16, 2024 21:29:57 GMT
I don't know who Labour have selected for Ynys Mon, but given that Plaid have selected Llinos Medi, Leader of Ynys Mon Council who has a high local profile across the island. I think she would be a hard candidate to beat
Perhaps, but the PCC results for Plaid on Ynys Mon were pretty poor for them. Compare them to their other 'heartland' areas, Gwynedd, Ceredigion and Carmarthenshire.
And IWJ was very high profile, but still managed to lose vote share and go from second to third.
Of the four seats they could realistically win on today's polling numbers, I'd say it's the least likely by some margin.
Labour have selected Ieuan Mon Williams BTW.
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