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Post by aargauer on May 3, 2024 12:03:16 GMT
Plaid will win Ceredigion and Carmarthenshire. Powys and Pembrokeshire will either be marginal Con wins or Lib Dem / Lab wins. Pembrokeshire could be a Lib Dem win? Er, what? A bold call that Conservative, Lib Dem or Labour will win. Harry's really stuck his neck out on that one. I guess that means Plaid landslide.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,536
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 12:04:19 GMT
Dyfed Powys Results (Plaid Hold) (Nominal Plaid gain based off first preferences)
Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 31,323 (40.93%) (+7.3%) Ian Harrison (Con) - 19,134 (25.00%) (-9.0%) Philippa Thompson (Lab)- 18,353 (23.98%) (+0.3%) Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 7,719 (10.09%) (+1.4%)
Edit:
Results by county
Pembrokeshire Results: Philippa Thompson (Lab) 5,386. Ian Harrison (Con) - 5,168 Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 4,643 Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 1,209
Ceredigion Results: Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 7,146 Ian Harrison (Con) - 1,971 Philippa Thompson (Lab) - 1,716 Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 1,307 (Abysmal for a seat they held at Westminster until 2017).
Powys Ian Harrison (Con) - 6.565 Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 4,795
Philippa Thompson (Lab) - 3,856
Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) 3,172
Carmarthenshire Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 14,739 Philippa Thompson (Lab) - 7,395
Ian Harrison (Con) - 5,430 Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 2,031
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Post by spirit on May 3, 2024 12:04:51 GMT
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 3, 2024 12:07:55 GMT
As percentages:
PC: 40.93% Con: 25.00% Lab: 23.98% LD: 10.09%
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,826
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Post by Harry Hayfield on May 3, 2024 12:53:12 GMT
Dyfed Powys Results (Plaid Hold)
Dafydd Llywelyn (Plaid) - 31,323 Ian Harrison (Con) - 19,134 Philippa Thompson (Lab)- 18,353 Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 7,719
Edit:
Pembrokeshire Results: Philippa Thompson (Lab) 5,386. Ian Harrison 5,168 (Con) Dafydd Llywelyn 4,643 (Plaid) Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) 1,209
Ceredigion Results: Dafydd Llywelyn (Plain) - 7,146 Ian Harrison (Con) - 1,971 Philippa Thompson (Lab) - 1,716 Justin Griffiths (Lib Dem) - 1,307 (Abysmal for a seat they held at Westminster until 2017).
Powys and Carmarthenshire forthcoming?
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,536
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 13:12:27 GMT
Powys and Carmarthenshire forthcoming? Added
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,826
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Post by Harry Hayfield on May 3, 2024 14:33:10 GMT
Based on the changes since the PCC elections in 2021, this is what believe the GE implications are:
Con wins: Montgomeryshire, Brecon, Mid and South Pembrokeshire (-1) Lab wins: Llanelli (unchanged) Plaid wins: Caerfyrddin, Ceredigion (+1)
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