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Post by redvers on May 4, 2024 11:50:45 GMT
Bracknell Forest turnout 15.41%
Declaration has been tweeted out:
Con - 36.82% (down 12.51%) Lab - 33.34% (up 7.58%) MPOTV - 12.06% LD - 10.88% (up 2.62%) IND - 6.90%
Conservative lead down from 23.57% in 2021 to 3.48%. Swing from Con to Lab of 10.05%.
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Post by Disgusted Of Tunbridge Wells on May 4, 2024 12:00:32 GMT
Bracknell Forest turnout 15.41% Declaration has been tweeted out: Con - 36.82% (down 12.51%) Lab - 33.34% (up 7.58%) MPOTV - 12.06% LD - 10.88% (up 2.62%) IND - 6.90% Conservative lead down from 23.57% in 2021 to 3.48%. Swing from Con to Lab of 10.05%. Will be interesting to see the RBWM and Woky results. Labour nearly beating the Tories in BF is not good at all for them.
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 835
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Post by Sg1 on May 4, 2024 12:01:36 GMT
In the context of them winning the council in BF, I'm not surprised.
I thought Bracknell might have given the Tories a handbagging.
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Post by Disgusted Of Tunbridge Wells on May 4, 2024 12:04:34 GMT
In the context of them winning the council in BF, I'm not surprised. I thought Bracknell might have given the Tories a handbagging. The Tories in Ascot/Crowthorne/Sandhurst should have given them a bigger boost though, especially with FPTP. If the Libs beat the Tories in West Berks/Woky/RBWM and make inroads in Bucks, they're buggered.
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Post by redvers on May 4, 2024 12:35:00 GMT
Fairly safe to say Labour would have won in the Bracknell constituency itself. First time that would have happened since 1995.
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Post by redvers on May 4, 2024 12:57:25 GMT
Hearing Tories won by 0.5%
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Post by Disgusted Of Tunbridge Wells on May 4, 2024 12:59:01 GMT
Hearing Tories won by 0.5% Looks like Bucks and FPTP saved Barber. "Conservative Matthew Barber has won the most votes in Buckinghamshire: Votes as follows: 28,706 Matthew Barber (Con) 21,403 Tim Starkey (Lab) 12,372 Tim Bearder (Lib Dem) 7,876 Ben Holden-Crowther (Ind) 5,921 Russell Fowler (Ind) " From the Oxford Mail.
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 326
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Post by Ports on May 4, 2024 12:59:26 GMT
Windsor and Maidenhead:
Con 6592 (35.0%) LD 4516 (24.0%) Lab 4204 (22.3%) MPOTV 2011 (10.7%) Ind 1505 (8.0%)
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Post by redvers on May 4, 2024 13:02:39 GMT
Final Thames Valley result:
Tory: 144,092 Lab: 141,749 LD: 84,341 MPOTV: 46,853 IND: 31,460
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 13:27:42 GMT
It was certainly fortuitous for the Conservatives that the removal of the SV element came before this set of elections. Its difficult to find many PCC areas they would have held on that system
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 326
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Post by Ports on May 4, 2024 14:30:57 GMT
West Oxfordshire:
Con 10590 (36.9%) LD 7177 (25.0%) Lab 7063 (24.6%) MPOTV 2425 (8.4%) Ind 1455 (5.1%)
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Post by heslingtonian on May 6, 2024 14:27:34 GMT
Hearing Tories won by 0.5% Looks like Bucks and FPTP saved Barber. "Conservative Matthew Barber has won the most votes in Buckinghamshire: Votes as follows: 28,706 Matthew Barber (Con) 21,403 Tim Starkey (Lab) 12,372 Tim Bearder (Lib Dem) 7,876 Ben Holden-Crowther (Ind) 5,921 Russell Fowler (Ind) " From the Oxford Mail. Although for Buckinghamshire without Milton Keynes, that was a very decent Labour vote.
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Post by Disgusted Of Tunbridge Wells on May 7, 2024 8:27:02 GMT
Looks like Bucks and FPTP saved Barber. "Conservative Matthew Barber has won the most votes in Buckinghamshire: Votes as follows: 28,706 Matthew Barber (Con) 21,403 Tim Starkey (Lab) 12,372 Tim Bearder (Lib Dem) 7,876 Ben Holden-Crowther (Ind) 5,921 Russell Fowler (Ind) " From the Oxford Mail. Although for Buckinghamshire without Milton Keynes, that was a very decent Labour vote. Fairly decent, but again a lot of Bucks is LD leaning.
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,666
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Post by European Lefty on May 7, 2024 8:31:08 GMT
Not really it's not. One of the very few councils I suspect the Tories would have kept control of if they'd been up this year
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Rural Radical
Labour
Now living in a Labour held ward at Borough level for the first time in many years
Posts: 1,600
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Post by Rural Radical on May 7, 2024 17:27:07 GMT
Looks like Bucks and FPTP saved Barber. "Conservative Matthew Barber has won the most votes in Buckinghamshire: Votes as follows: 28,706 Matthew Barber (Con) 21,403 Tim Starkey (Lab) 12,372 Tim Bearder (Lib Dem) 7,876 Ben Holden-Crowther (Ind) 5,921 Russell Fowler (Ind) " From the Oxford Mail. Although for Buckinghamshire without Milton Keynes, that was a very decent Labour vote. I would guess that Labour were ahead in Wycombe
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 11, 2024 20:51:49 GMT
2021 went to a second round here with the same top two as this year, so we can guesstimate the likely result under SV. In 2021 55.6% of votes for lower-placed candidates transferred, and they broke 56%-44% to Labour. Plugging that in to this year's results, we get:
Lab 141749 + 50644 = 192393 (51.1%) Con 144092 + 39792 = 183884 (48.9%)
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